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Everything posted by CloneWars
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The drop is fine for NWH. People are scared of Omnicron. The older demos are still not coming back to theaters. Clearly, Covid is still affecting box office. If I were a studio, I would seriously consider delaying anything targeted to older demos or sell that shit to streaming. That box office audience seems gone. Also, I believe NWH would have better drops if it were not for Covid. Occums Razor is relevant here. The easiest explanation is the most plausible.
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2022 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
CloneWars replied to Eric the Fall Guy's topic in Box Office Discussion
I don't agree. This isn't a Fast and Furious 7 or TDK where the actor was present for both films. A new Black Panther will take over the mantle, and I don't think it will be enough novelty to draw people like Fast 7 and TDK did. I think the film will be a crowd pleaser like most MCU films are, but I think MoM benefits from the multiverse, being fresh off NWH, and I think it's going to be heavily marketed and will deliver the multiverse goods big time. Thor 4 has the benefit of Ragnarok (which has gained a big following after it came out) plus IW and EG and also the Guardians being in the film even if for a little bit. Thor's popularity has grown. The whole Chadwick's legacy argument I don't think holds up. -
2022 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
CloneWars replied to Eric the Fall Guy's topic in Box Office Discussion
Currently, I predict both Thor and MoM to make more domestically than BP:WF Avatar 2, I have no fucking clue. My range is $300M-EG levels Domestic. But, if it gets a China release it will end up being the highest grossing movie of all time worldwide. -
I was going to see this in theaters, but watched on MAX instead. I don't think it is anywhere near as divisive as Reloaded or Revolutions nor that risky. How the movie plays out makes a lot of sense for a Matrix movie. It was an interesting reboot, but felt pretty average to me. The Last Jedi this is not nor is this any sort of masterpiece.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
CloneWars replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
My dad who is in his 60s wants to see Matrix. Everyone in younger demos though talking Spider-Man. I think Matrix skews to an older demo like 30 and up mostly, and well the older you get, the less likely you are to go to the theater based off current moviegoing habits -
I think $200M OW is in the cards, especially if the Multiverse aspect is really played up. This is fresh off NWH and Doctor Strange has really had time to build himself up since 2016 after the first film. He played a pretty big role in IW, EG and NWH. Plus, Wanda and Spoiler from trailer in it helps a lot.