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keysersoze123

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Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. Photograph OD PS MTC1 - overall 1991 shows 39976/305079 529711.69 421271.29 MTC2 - overall 1645 shows 23659/226073 253708.03 187809.95 I must admit the it did not increase as much as what i thought yesterday. So double digits friday looks tough but it could still hit 7-8 friday.
  2. Considering OD is looking at 5x previews, I dont see how it does just 12x. I would say 15-17x previews depending on saturday walkups which should be really good looking at previews ticket data today.
  3. I have not looked at D2 yet. Will check tomorrow if its interesting. Mostly I track big breakouts only beyond previews/OD.
  4. Photograph(Previews Update) MTC1 - overall 1028 shows 14052/140237 182804.68 141811.62 MTC2 - overall 944 shows 6325/120500 72524.71 50005.73 Looks to finish around what I thought yesterday(800k previews).
  5. Sonic the Hedgehog(Previews update) MTC1 - overall 1541 shows 50059/238899 719061.52 573940.51 MTC2 - overall 1801 shows 38282/258527 459261.75 326460.74 Very good increase so far. I think it can finish 110K+. Let us see how the walkups are in west coast/central in next few hours. I will check around 9PM. For now I would say 3.75m previews. But it can hit 4m if walkups are better.
  6. I dont know how on earth people can measure buzz for original animation movie whose core audience are families. Onward will do ok. There is a marathon releasing week before(2/29) and so reviews will be out early. I am curious if this has great reviews like most pixar originals. Then OW will ramp up huge. after seeing early tracking I checked at MTC1 and it already almost sold 1500 tickets. That is faster start than Sonic. So I would not worry about this movie's "buzz".
  7. Why on earth did paramount delay reviews for this. it was anyway review proof but with good reviews its potential is even higher.
  8. That would be awful for Onward. Let us see how PS goes. I will provide 1st update over the weekend as openers this week are interesting to track.
  9. Fantasy Island (T-1) OD PS MTC1 - overall 1509 shows 17870/205343 261742.98 211466.52 MTC2 - overall 1499 shows 12917/187556 138857.08 101808.53 Not bad at all. This will do 60-70% of photograph OD.
  10. Photograph(T-1) previews MTC1 prev - overall 963 shows 6830/132886 91447.15 71357.72 +2584 MTC2 prev - overall 940 shows 2393/119901 27698.66 19183.80 +772 MTC1 OD - overall 1905 shows 26624/292669 357842.57 284372.31 +9566 MTC2 OD - overall 1634 shows 16327/225195 176917.28 130237.72 +4639 Not much action for previews. if it triples this number it will hit 800K previews. Let us see how walks up go tomorrow. Edit: updated with OD numbers and they are quite good. With good walkups I could see Photograph true friday > BOP True Friday !!!!!
  11. Sonic the hedgehog (T-1) MTC1 Prev - overall 1512 shows 27613/235631 414979.05 334210.19 +7390 MTC2 Prev - overall 1783 shows 18799/256331 230628.34 164405.34 +5255 MTC1 OD - overall 3545 shows 63886/592581 855607.25 696350.93 +22396 MTC2 OD - overall 3511 shows 60404/548771 644493.47 511724.49 +19419 MTC1 D2 - overall 3562 shows 38544/592039 474017.35 413735.30 +12466 MTC2 D2 - overall 3515 shows 32911/549857 323916.70 274090.48 +9102 Good day but not as good as I expected 🙂 If the preview numbers double tomorrow it should be good for 3.5m. With better walkins even 4m can happen. OD is where the main action is and that had another good day though it tapered off a bit in the evening. Saturday PS is also very robust and what is great is MTC1/2 ratio which shows movie is playing strong in big cities and smaller cities overall. I will stick to 50m+ 3 day and 60m+ 4 day for now.
  12. I am not comparing them as similar movies but movies with big PS. I did not think Sonic is so big that it has to have this big a PS. I dont remember seeing them in most anticipated for the year or anything. Normally kiddie flicks dont have big PS. I dont know if Pikachu was this big and that was in the anticipated list if I am not wrong.
  13. I always talk about true friday. May be I am too optimistic but data I am seeing is clear. Its bigger than Bad Boys even for Saturday PS. Also despite PS I dont see it stay flat on saturday despite VD. There is absolutely no history of a family movie staying flat in February. Plus the TMobile boost should play better during the weekend as friday is a school day. i will post updates detailed later but OD PS up to 107K. Probably will hit 130K today and then let us see how tomorrow goes. Probably not as high what I thought yesterday but still is looking good.
  14. Dont forget its President day weekend. There is no way it just does 43m with 18m friday. Plus Saturday PS is also very promising and still ahead of Bad Boys.
  15. There is no way this is more PS driven than bigger movies we have seen. I am sure @cJS would know for better. Anyway Fantasy Island (T-2) MTC1 - overall 1348 shows 11330/183136 171443.80 138928.75 MTC2 - overall 1487 shows 8438/186400 91118.07 66391.98 Even this is doing better than what it looked couple of days ago. Looking at 3/4 of photograph weekend. Let us see where things are tomorrow.
  16. One thing to note for Sonic is lots of plexes(especially MTC1) are adding shows late and so I am expecting that to bump up huge and so smaller plexes/chain wont show same level of PS as big ones. But starting now its going to amp up. I refreshed just for OD and showcount again jumped quite a bit. OD PS > 91K at this point between the 2 MTC and I am expecting it to increase to > 250K by the time shows start on friday. That is almost 9m in PS for OD. I dont think this will behave like crazy hyped sequel which does 1.9x PS for opening day. So 20m friday should easily happen.
  17. Photograph(T-2) MTC1 Prev - overall 773 shows 4246/106148 57879.06 45388.27 MTC2 Prev - overall 855 shows 1631/112260 18874.91 13075.81 MTC1 OD - overall 1546 shows 17058/240368 229696.09 182355.43 MTC2 OD - overall 1612 shows 11688/222080 126669.82 92867.12 OD PS looks good to me. Looking like low 20's over 4 day weekend.
  18. Sonic the hedgehog (T-2) MTC1 Prev - overall 1198 shows 20223/192772 305491.07 246391.92 +4442 MTC2 Prev - overall 1542 shows 13544/231221 166909.05 118975.37 +3021 MTC1 D1 - overall 2255 shows 41490/389272 560205.36 455871.57 +12830 MTC2 D1 - overall 3034 shows 40985/483422 434845.86 345851.57 +11880 MTC1 D2 - overall 2479 shows 26078/413217 320802.21 280145.80 +8872 MTC2 D2 - overall 3089 shows 23809/490251 232642.45 196859.52 +6148 Thinking 20m+ OD can happen at this point. Let us see how PS moves in next 2 days. MTC1 still will add tons of shows by tomorrow. That would mean huge boost tomorrow.
  19. Sonic PS is amping up big time. I am still in process of getting the data but its looking like a huge breakout. I wonder how high it can go. Lego opened to 69m OW in feb several years back(That was weekend before valentine). Can this can beat that?
  20. hmm. I see only 39 shows listed at MTC1 at this point. it has sold 50/5494. I did not check how photograph did today at MTC1 but it should have done better than this 🙂 I will update once I have MTC2 numbers but I doubt it will be that high either.
  21. its PS is way ahead of Bad Boys at similar point. I could see 200K+ PS between 2 MTC. Should not have an issue with 15m friday despite it should be PS driven than norm. i expect saturday increase to be soft. Still its on course for 50m+ 3 day and 60m+ over the 4 day weekend.
  22. I dont see shows that many shows assigned for it at this point. Since its already open in limited release not sure if PS will be big. But I will check on wednesday once the showtimes are finalized.
  23. Sonic the Hedgehog(T-3) MTC1 Prev - overall 997 shows 15781/165126 238880.77 192663.58 MTC2 Prev - overall 1245 shows 10523/191987 129894.44 92461.34 MTC1 OD - overall 1682 shows 28660/294788 388533.38 316094.89 MTC2 OD - overall 2041 shows 29105/330739 307963.64 243842.62 MTC1 D2 - overall 1751 shows 17206/299862 207854.01 182517.88 MTC2 D2 - overall 1915 shows 17661/311908 170653.42 144597.30 Day 1 seem to continue to dominate the PS with it being OD and Valentine day. I could see 3m previews and 15m true friday.
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