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keysersoze123

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Everything posted by keysersoze123

  1. keysersoze123
    MTC2 Dolittle - overall 1041 shows 3491/136206 39813.00 Bad Boys - overall 1555 shows 21267/243481 256402.00 Same theme as MTC1. I had thought Bad Boys would be MTC1 heavy like Gemini Man was, but this is no where like that. Since this is MLK weekend I would like to look at OD PS to project OW. But with horrible reviews dolittle needs a miracle to salvage its BO.
  2. keysersoze123
    Oops. yes. Need to ruminate to project for 4-day. I have not tracked long enough to project for MLK weekend. Just back after a long flight. Will look at OD numbers as well. But the numbers seen here are very low. Among lowest for a high profile movie that I have tracked. 1/4th of where 1917 was last week. This has RDJ and big budget.
  3. keysersoze123
    Update MTC1. Dolittle - overall 902 shows 5232/145992 76025.06 Bad Boys - overall 1028 shows 28624/216079 430796.76 Dolittle is gonna bomb for sure. Very low previews and probably OW in teens. Bad Boys looks like opening in high end of tracking.
  4. keysersoze123
    I am seeing 14% drop at MTC1 but it did underindex yesterday and so you never know. Its losing lots of shows tomorrow as well. Its not going to be interesting to track. Anyway I am on road next 5 days until I fly back home. So no more updates until I am back home.
  5. keysersoze123
    FYI 1917 prev final at MTC is 50878/132146 735585.70. Could go as high as 3.5m.
  6. keysersoze123
    Release is not huge but its possible to hit 40m if it fills up its prime time shows. OD PS - 45576/412075 676996.13 (2188 shows) it needs to triple its PS by end of day tomorrow to hit double digits pure friday. it needs 11-12m true friday to keep 40m in play as sunday drop will be big. So let us wait and watch how things go.
  7. keysersoze123
    Quick update on 1917 prev. its at 46965/132146 679959.96(779 shows). it increased slightly less than what I expected. I would say range is ~ 3.3m depending on how much MTC1 overindexes. Comps Knives Out Final - 43016/108056 538765.71 (773 shows) Ford vs Ferrari Final - 31459/161048 474271.77 (874 shows) Knives out had early screenings and somehow over indexed big time at MTC1. Hope that does not happen for 1917.
  8. keysersoze123
    So all the movies will drop hard this weekend. Weekly holds look horrendous. But saturday increase should be big. Still movies could drop like ~ 40% this weekend after big boost last weekend.
  9. keysersoze123
    Can you add few Regals as we dont have data from Regal.
  10. keysersoze123
    So MTC1 underindexed slightly yesterday for SW9.
  11. keysersoze123
    Dont forget @el sid. His reports are great.
  12. keysersoze123
    Another Update Dolittle - overall 519 shows 1659/89985 23944.53 Bad Boys - overall 681 shows 6669/158567 106163.90 This does not look like a contest. Bad Boys could do well considering there is more than a week to go.
  13. keysersoze123
    1917 update(MTC1) 1917 Prev - overall 748 shows 22635/128276 347946.07 1917 OD - overall 2083 shows 28162/393845 435101.13 Good increase and let us see where it end up by end of day. I am thinking 50-55K tickets in MTC1 and that should be good for 3.5m previews.
  14. keysersoze123
    SW9 wednesday looks like around 2.25m looking at MTC1 and comparing it to monday. Let us see what the actuals tell us.
  15. keysersoze123
    I am not buying it. Its show count is quite low for a 40m opener. 1917 OD PS MTC1 - overall 1829 shows 19603/342699 308204.05 Needs to hit 2m in MTC1 to hit double digit true friday to keep hopes for 40m OD. That said it should open more than tracking. i would say 30m OW.
  16. keysersoze123
    Cruise has not had a non MI big hit in a long time. Even Edge of Tomorrow with universal rave under performed big time. This is a sequel but I dont think anyone asked for a sequel to Top Gun. That was a product of 80's and I dont see this doing well at all. 80s nostalgia is not going to help. Definitely not in OS markets. Is Top Gun even beloved over in UK !!!! Cruise is popular in Asia and if the spectacle is good it could do well there. But its not breaking out in domestic or Europe for sure.
  17. keysersoze123
    Top Gun will bomb. I dont see it affecting Tenet at all.
  18. keysersoze123
    Good increase for 1917 at MTC1. its at 14521/112561 225965.93(655 shows). So Overall PS should be around 1.1m and it could hit 3m with previews. Let us see how things are by thursday morning. I will not be able to update late on thursday as I will be traveling. In fact not much of an update till next wednesday when I am back home.
  19. keysersoze123
    I agree. You can only do weekly comps for discount tuesdays and this is the 1st one for SW9. At MTC1 SW1 is up 92% in ticket sales but dont know what that will translate to gross. May be 3rd of that would mean around 3.9m tuesday but hard to be accurate here.
  20. keysersoze123
    Next Week releases at MTC1 Dolittle - overall 494 shows 1320/86370 19068.76 Bad Boys - overall 635 shows 3350/148222 55325.20 Bad Boys should easily win the weekend. But not sure if either movie is breaking out big.
  21. keysersoze123
    Are you extrapolating from Michigan numbers. That seems inline with what I am seeing at MTC1 overall. Around 3.1m monday.
  22. keysersoze123
    I checked 1917 and show count is very low for OD at MTC1. But the weekend show count should be updated by wednesday and hopefully we see much bigger count. Otherwise its not sniffing numbers being thrown about in this thread(ignoring the outrageous ones).
  23. keysersoze123
    I had to stop tracking SW9 as I was traveling. Just checked its a D17 number and compared to D7 and extrapolated it to 9.7m. May be with higher kiddie tickets around ~9.3-9.5m range for sunday. YMMV as its just MTC1 and I am comparing different days.
  24. keysersoze123
    Quick check in. I am still out traveling and so stopped tracking movies for a while. Just checked how next week openers are at MTC1. 1917 Prev - overall 287 shows 3073/47383 47265.21 Just Mercy Prev - overall 325 shows 1612/43339 19461.48 Like a Boss Prev - overall 264 shows 1313/36370 18006.62 Under Water Prev - overall 230 shows 1034/26991 13476.41 Very anemic numbers across the board. Probably will see if I can update next thursday depending on my schedule.
  25. keysersoze123
    OS Weekend is not just fss. France is 5 day and Australia is 4 day. Dont forget @RthRise details.
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