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Everything posted by Gopher
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Interesting to see how much TLK's run is mirroring BATB's domestically. Swinging higher on weekdays and lower on weekends. Presuming TLK has a 4x from a 38m weekend (BATB had 3.44x from its third weekend, will give the end of summer haziness the benefit of a doubt for TLK) it'll end up at 542m, just shy of BATB's multiplier (2.84x vs. 2.88x). It's safe to say Disney's out of IP for remakes that can make these numbers again on their own. Little Mermaid is a possibility but I'd expect closer to Aladdin's final total (still ungodly).
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Gonna point out in all the doom and gloom that Rocketman's going to hit a 42-43% drop off a solid opening weekend, easily the best of last weekend's releases. Will likely leg its way out past 90m. Totally respectable for a 40m grosser (though I imagine marketing was at least that much), which will clear 200 worldwide. Whether this was the best time of year to put it out for the film itself I'm unsure about, but it's definitive proof that an original movie for adults can fight its way past the summer insanity if 1. the marketing buy is strong enough 2. the movie is good.
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Glass | Jan 18, 2019 | The 22nd Most Profitable Movie of 2019
Gopher replied to WrathOfHan's topic in Box Office Discussion
It's a strangely paced film (so was Unbreakable though!) and one of its plot developments I could see didn't even play with a crowd of die-hard M. Night fans. But I found the movie consistently entertaining and really admired its ambition. I'd much rather filmmakers at this level of attention make these sorts of risks, many of which landed for me. The reaction will be mixed but it will have its ride-or-die supporters. -
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018)
Gopher replied to DeeCee's topic in Review That Movie! (Spoilers Allowed)
Am I... gonna love this? -
Monday's Numbers 23.9...eeeerrrr...24.1 according to Forbes
Gopher replied to sfran43's topic in Numbers and Data
I think this holds closer to a Marvel than a Pixar, maybe down -53% to 85 mil for a 360m 10-day. I think it will co-exist with JW fine but it's going to be burning off a lot of demand during the week. From there it would need a 3.83x to hit 600. Dory did a 3.74x with a more competition (Pets) than I2 will face. It will be close. All that said... having seen this twice, both of my audiences were locked in to the movie. Repeat viewings are going to be kind to it. -
THE Incredibles 2 | June 15, 2018 | NO SPOILERS!!!!
Gopher replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
If presales are just outpacing Dory's, it's not outopening Dory. 10m previews 47m OD 40m Saturday 33m Sunday 120m OW (the original opened to 103m adjusted when CGI was a massive novelty and Pixar was undefeatable... this would be a good start) -
Comedy sequels decrease, as do most superhero sequels outside the MCU, and Deadpool is proving the law of both. I think the only world in which a straight sequel to the first movie would increase is if they teamed Deadpool up with Logan or whatever. The fact that it's going to mirror the original's opening and was well received critically is kind of miraculous (it's also a far superior film to the original...)
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15m Thurs (-9%) 33m Fri (+120%) 54m Sat (+64%) 41m Sun (-24%) 128m (-50.4%) / 465m 10-day Assuming a slightly lower Friday bump than Avengers because of the stronger Monday hold. Its Saturday/Sunday are gonna be on par with Guardians 2's opening Saturday/Sunday this weekend last year...
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