Gopher

Haha, I came into this thread to report the same vicious response my audience had. In my view it's a solid psychological thriller (I never saw a trailer, Krishna was all I needed to see to buy a ticket for this one) and I'm glad A24 bit the bullet and put in front of as many eyeballs as possible. Time is usually kind to movies like these that actually work but may not have been set up for viewers the right way.

I presume Pirates and Guardians will both get boosts next weekend thanks to Cars 3. The former should end around 160m which is less than the third movie's adjusted opening. The latter should end around 390m which would be within spitting distance of Civil War. Nothing's gonna slow down Wonder Woman though. It counterprograms everything pretty well. 350m should happen.

Captain Underpants is maybe the best of all of them actually... (if anybody here thinks I'm joking it's because they haven't seen the movie, it's this year's Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs and it totally rules)

I'm of the opinion that between Logan, Guardians Vol. 2 and Wonder Woman (and LEGO Batman if you want to count that) we're in the middle of the best year for superhero movies ever. Thor and Spider-Man very well could continue this...

Wonder Woman's going up. High 30s day and mid 90s weekend could mean it will parallel the first GOTG throughout June. Competition will be tougher so 300 isn't a lock but if audiences love the film anything is possible. Even Suicide Squad managed a 2.5x. 3m for Guardians today would lead to another weekend above Ultron's. 400 is a stretch but it's gonna have a better multiplier than any summer opener in five years. Didn't realize Captain Underpants was a 30m movie?? Incredible if so and could lead to a solid low-risk future for DWA.

Why did they wait 10 years past the peak popularity of the books to make a Captain Underpants movie...

The most singular and loving Marvel effort in years. It's weirder, funnier, and more emotional than the first movie, filled with compositions that blend the loads of previsualization with gorgeous angles and production design, and builds on the first's weaknesses (Yondu, Nebula, Gamora, Rocket) in surprising ways. Haven't rewatched a Marvel film in theaters since Avengers but I'll come back for this one.

Right where I had it on Monday I projected 86 mil second weekend (-52%), but if I had to adjust I'd go up to 90 flat

What the week looks like to me - 17 Tues 11.5 Wed 10.5 Thurs 23 Fri 36 Sat 27 Sun 86 mil weekend (-52%)

YES baumer and I wholeheartedly agree on a movie. This is a magnificent writing/directing debut and I'm so excited to see what Peele does next.

Kind of incredible Wick did that well given 36 mil in new marketplace competition and on the heels of every January action/thriller/horror film. Hoping it's not too frontloaded and word of mouth gives it something of a leggier run. Curious what kept Batman from breaking out. I wonder if there's an argument similar to Penguins of Madagascar, how Lego Batman has existed in many forms since even before the first LEGO Movie (video games, DTV spinoffs, etc) that there wasn't an extra oomph to get audiences out for this one. As well as we're reaching a saturation point for DC titles (three Batman appearances the last calendar year, yeesh). Good news is it's probably gonna have incredible legs. Not as big a weekend as we were expecting, but certainly solid overall. Split and Hidden Figures are still doing quite well too.

OH MY GOD Jai bless this day

Count me in as one the (apparently) several members here only checking in to see how MOANA is doing

Funny enough, Disney is probably gonna be the one to save theaters from this proposed 2-week model. After the year they've had they refuse to get onboard with anything that could affect their box office.

I still feel like we're a far cry away from that awful Christmas where the Squeakquel destroyed Princess and the Frog. Moana did really well and even by Disney's astronomical standards these days will go down as a hit.

3.21m for La La Land

Totally uninformed observations, based on online searches - La La Land is having a very good day. Fences is nearly selling out everywhere but it's not playing on more than one screen per theater. R1 continues to kill. Nobody is seeing Sing or Passengers in 3D but 2D showings are doing well (especially Sing).

WEEEAAAKKK all around. Sing's 5-day is gonna come in 10-20m below tracking. Passengers not gonna hit a 3-day in the teens. WH is a dud. Everything better see big jumps on Sunday.

I'm like 70% sure you made a typo but it'd be really cool if you didn't

"M E N!" - this thread

Imo the ending's super clear. Both of them propel each other to success and their success naturally splits them into different worlds. The version of their lives we see in the final montage where they end up together results in Seb giving up his dreams - it's somebody else at his piano. Their final glances towards each other acknowledge this reality and bittersweetly accept it. Emotionally it's almost beat-for-beat the ending of Umbrellas of Cherbourg, Chazelle's favorite movie.

Moana's gonna be fine, I think. It's not losing many theaters on Sunday. If it loosely follows Tintin it'll be pulling ~4 mil a day next week and should cross 210 mil by New Year's Day. Respectable run - should finish ahead of Ralph, Big Hero 6 and Tangled - that just didn't become an event for WDAS like Zootopia or Frozen.

Totally on topic: Just saw Fantastic Beasts. Did the board like it? I thought it was abysmal.

Phenomenal. Somewhere between Umbrellas of Cherbourg, New York New York and American in Paris, yet unmistakably from the same mind who gave us Whiplash, a film with a similarly delightful moral quandary about being an artist at its center. The music works, the performances work, everything works.

Cannot imagine a more hellish logline for a film than "talking animals meets American Idol" but that's just me Seems particularly poor for Passengers / the rare occurrence for a tentpole where reviews probably mattered a lot