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PanaMovie

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  1. Part A: 1. Will Hannah Grace Open to more than $2.5M? YES 2. Will Hannah Grace Open to more than $5.25M? NO 3. Will Hannah Grace Open to more than $3.75M? NO 4. Will Ralph make more than $30M? NO 5. Will Will Hannah Grace make more than 40% of its OW on Friday? NO 6. Will Creed 2 make more than $20M? NO 7. Will Will Creed and Ralph combine for more than $47.5M? NO 8. Will Robin Hood stay above Green Book? YES 9. Will Fantastic Beasts and Grinch combined make more than Creed? YES 10. On what day will Instant Family pass Nutcracker's total (Fri, Sat, Sun, or None - If it does it early everyone wins)? NONE 11. Will Head full of Honey make more than 50k PTA? NO 12. Will Robin Hood have a bigger percentage drop than Overlord? NO 13. Will A star is born increase more than 200% on Friday? NO 14. Will Widows drop more than 37% on Sunday? YES 15. How about this weekend? Will Robin Hood finally have its moment? NAH Part B: 1. What will Hannah Grace make for its 3 day? $3.26M 2. What will Grinch's percentage change be? -46.7% 3. What will Head full of Honey's PTA be for the Weekend? $21,000 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch 4. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald 6. Instant Family 8. Robin Hood 10. The Possession of Hannah Grace 12. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
  2. Full 20,000 - Aquaman Partial 4,000 - Into the Spiderverse Full 3,000 - What Men Want Full 2,000 - Dog's Way Home Full 1,000 - Serenity
  3. Ralph Breaks The Internet debuted in 18 territories on $41.5m and combined with the North American Thanksgiving holiday launch for $97.2m worldwide, rising to $126m including five days in North America. The animation sequel was big in China, where it debuted on $19.5m to score the third biggest Disney Animation / Pixar debut and has already outstripped the final gross of Wreck-It Ralph. Mexico delivered $6.3m for number one and the top debut for a Disney Animation release, while Russia produced $5.7m for number one and the second highest Disney Animation / Pixar launch. Indonesia generated $1m for the highest opening weekend by a Disney Animation release, while there were number two all-time debuts for the company in India, Malaysia, and the Philippines. Ralph arrives in the UK this week. Source: Screen Daily Amazing debut in Mexico
  4. The Grinch grossed $7.6m from 33 for an early $35.3m and stands at $215.8m worldwide. The children’s film opened in 11 markets led by Argentina on $300,000 in third place, and Portugal on $295,000 in second. He UK provided the top holdover result as $3.9m in second place elevated the running total to $17.8m after three sessions. Source: Screen Daily That's not good for LA But we should wait for Mexico
  5. Part A: (Everything is 3 day) 1. Will Ralph Open to more than $45M? 1000 YES 2. Will Ralph Open to more than $55M? 2000 YES 3. Will Ralph Open to more than $50M? 3000 YES 4. Will Ralph make more than 2.4x its Wednesday and Thursday for its 3 Day weekend? 4000 NO 5. Will Ralph Increase on Saturday? 5000 NO 6. Will Creed Open to more than $30M? 1000 YES 7. Will Robin Hood Open to more than $10M? 2000 YES 8. Will Creed open in the top 2? 3000 YES 9. Will Creed and Robin Hoods combined 5 day totals be higher than Ralph's 3 Day total? 4000 YES 10. Will Robin Hood make more on Wednesday or Sunday? 5000 Wednesday 11. Will Green Book make more than $5M? 1000 NO 12. Will Dragon Tattoo drop more than 60%? 2000 YES 13. Will Overlord stay in the top 12? 3000 NO 14. Will Instant Family stay above Widows? 4000 YES 15. Will Grinch drop less than 15%? 5000 NO 16. Will fantastic beasts drop more than 45% on Sunday? 1000 NO 17. Will Nutcracker have a PTA above $1000? 2000 YES 18. Will A Star is Born be closer to Grinch or Venom's domestic total by the end of Sunday? 3000 Grinch 19. Will any non new opener or major expander increase on Saturday? 4000 YES 20. Will Robin Hood? Or won't it? 5000 I don't know! Part B: 1. What will Ralph make for its 3 day OW? $65.4M 2. What will Robin Hood's Wed + Thurs be as a percentage of its 3 day? 51% 3. What will Overlord's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? 1,084 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Creed 2 3. Fantastic Beasts 2 5. Bohemian Rhapsody 7. Robin Hood 10. A Star is Born 12. Boy Erased
  6. PART A: 1. Creed 2 - $113M - TOO LOW 2. Robin Hood - $28M - TOO LOW 3. Possession of Hannah Grace - $5M - TOO LOW 4. Mortal Engines - $55M - TOO LOW 5. The Mule - $80M - TOO LOW 6. Bumblebee - $100M - TOO LOW 7. Second Act - $40M - TOO HIGH 8. Vice - $65M - TOO HIGH 9. Escape Room - $32M - TOO LOW 10. The Upside - $39M - DOUBLE PART B: Here are 10 questions: 1. Which film will be the lowest grossing except Hannah Grace? Robin Hood 2. Which film will be the highest grossing without making more than $100M? The Mule 3. Will exactly four films make the Domestic top 15? NO 4. Will any film double its predicted gross? YES 5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? YES 6. Will the actual combined total gross for the films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? Higher 7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? The Mule 8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? The Possession of Hannah Grace 9. How many of these films will open in the number 1 position? One 10. Will 4 or more of these films open in 5th or lower? YES
  7. The next two weekends are really important for this movie But I don't see it having a lot of success in Latin America People are really exited about Ralph 2 and they're going head to head in a lot of markets Maybe 255M-290M OS and 230M DOM = 485M-520M WW
  8. More details.. South Korea was the top holdover as box office climbed 2% to rank second on $7.3m and reach $24.5m after three weekends. The UK produced $3.9m to rank third and climb to $45.3m, which means after three weekends Bohemian Rhapsody has overtaken the lifetime total of La La Land. Japanese box office climbed 11% on $3.5m in the second session to hold on to number one and reach $11.8m. In the third session, France generated $3.1m for $18.4m, Australia $2.9m for $16.8m, Germany $2.8m for $13.9m, Spain $2.6m for $13.6m, Brazil $2.2m for $8.5m, Mexico $1.8m for $15.5m, Russia $1.6m for $12.2m, and Holland $1.3m for $5.7m. Source: Screen Daily This is going over 550M+ WW I think
  9. A Star Is Born surged to $154.9m at the international box office and $340.7m worldwide following a $5.5m international session from 64 markets. The drama directed by and starring Bradley Cooper opposite Lady Gaga stands at $35m in the UK after seven weekends, and $19m in Australia after five. It has amassed $13.6m in France, $8.9m in Germany, $7.7m in Italy, $6.1m in Brazil, $5m in Taiwan, and $5m in Spain. Japan is the last major market on December 21. Source: Screen Daily 180M+ OS and 210M+ DOM (not sure about this DOM #) 390M WW
  10. Live-action fantasy The Nutcracker And The Four Realms grossed $6.7m from 42 territories as the early running total climbed to $72.4m, and worldwide reached $116.3m. Europe declined 46% and Latin America fell 53%. China has produced $16.2m, followed by Italy on $9.7m, Germany on $6.2m, and the UK $5.5m. The film starring Keira Knightley, Helen Mirren, Mackenzie Foy and Morgan Freeman opens this week in Australia and New Zealand. Source: Screen Daily So that's almost a 50% drop from last weekend With Aus, France, HK, Japan and SK still to come I think 125M OS and 53M DOM 175-185M WW (BOMB)
  11. Halloween added $1.9m from 62 active territories to reach $92.2m from 66 overall, and $251m worldwide. After four sessions, Germany has generated $10.6m, France $6.4m, and Spain and Brazil $4.1m each. Space race drama First Man stands at $52.3m. Source: Screen Daily So maybe 160M DOM and 95M OS 255M WW
  12. Part A: 1. Will Fantastic Beasts Open to more than $65M? 1000 YES 2. Will Fantastic Beasts Open to more than $80M? 2000 NO 3. Will Fantastic Beasts Open to more than $72.5M? 3000 NO 4. Will Widows Open to more than $14M? 4000 YES 5. Will Widows Open to more than $17.5M? 5000 NO 6. Will Instant Family open to more than $14.5M? 1000 YES 7. Will Green Book have a PTA above $17,500? 2000 YES 8. Will Bohemian Rhapsody stay in the top 4? 3000 YES 9. Will Grinch make more than half of Fantastic Beasts' weekend total? 4000 YES 10. Will Nutcracker stay above Star is Born? 5000 NO 11. Will Halloween's PTA stay above $1,500? 1000 NO 12. Will Overlord have a bigger percentage drop than Spider's Web? 2000 YES 13. Will A Private War enter the top 10? 3000 NO 14. Will Smallfoot drop below the top 16? 4000 YES 15. Will Johnny Depp transform into somebody more GA friendly by the end of the film? I dunno maybe Mel Gibson? 5000 YES Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Fantastic Beasts make for its 3 day? $72.4M 2. What will Nutcracker's percentage change be? -52.6% 3. What will Venom's PTA be for the Weekend? $1,696 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Instant Family 4. Bohemian Rhapsody 6. A Star is Born 8. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms 10. Nobody's Fool 12. A Private War Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  13. I know it's not a movie with a proven record or a franchise but...you know it will be huge OS What do you guys think?
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