redfirebird2008
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Everything posted by redfirebird2008
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No it won't. I calculated a 60% 3D share with 30% higher prices for opening day and it came out to a 16% boost. TDK adjusts to $581m without 3D. Add the 16% 3D boost and it's $674m. -
Very possible with 3D and inflation, but I'll believe Avengers beating TDK's ticket sales when I see it. Needs $675m to do it.
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haha, yep. Just shows you how frontloaded DH2 was.
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Certainly not impossible. WOM is insane on this one.
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Yeah, that snarky "not a record" crap was unnecessary. She should have just said her sources were telling her such and such.
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It's probably not locked, but it has a great chance at it.
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Have to agree here. I said the reports were bullshit yesterday, but I also figured it was the studios lowballing it. Nothing she can do if she's fed such bad information. Same thing happened on TDK and DH2's opening days.
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Here's what I came up with: OD Total = $80.5m 3D Share = $48.3m (60% of total gross) Adjusted 3D Share = $37.1m (30% lower) 2D Share = $32.2m (40% of total gross) Adjusted opening day in 2D = $69.3m
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I came up with $69m excluding 3D (30% higher prices on 60% of tickets).
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60% 3D. What was DH2?
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All of those will happen.
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It's not in trouble unless you think there's some kind of competition going on between the two. TDKR will make a ton of cash in its own right. Probably less than Avengers, but it is by no means in trouble. In trouble would be a flop type of situation.
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Completely agree.
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Rallax reported 56% at his theater last night. That's all we have so far. We should find out tomorrow or Monday when the weekend reports are done.
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So it ended up where I thought it would after the midnight gross was announced. Nikki and her sources were so full of shit.
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Big disadvantage. I'm predicting $425m for TDKR. The normal 3D boost of 15% would be $489m for either Avengers or Hobbit. I think Avengers has a pretty legit shot at $500m based on the crowd reactions during my showing.
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Did you really just call me a troll for speaking the truth? How can someone complain about Puerto Rico being used for $2m when 3D is having a far bigger impact on these supposedly "important" records?
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Who gives a shit at this point? Potter is only around 5th all-time in opening ticket sales but broke the record by $11m thanks to 3D and inflation. The 3D boost isn't any different than Puerto Rico. Hell, I'd argue it's worse. Puerto Rico is a tiny amount. DH2 would have made $18m less without 3D.
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Sounds about right. So around 30 minutes from now.
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Oops. SM3 is closer to $70m with 3D boost.
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FIFY.
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$60m with the 3D boost is still bigger than SM3's Saturday ticket sales.EDIT: Not really. SM3 with inflation and 3D is close to $70m. Brain fart!
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A little early to say that, isn't it? How about we wait to see how the legs turn out first?
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Nothing quite like a big opener on Friday and Saturday in early May. People are so busy with work and school that the moviegoing has to be crammed into Friday night and all day Saturday for the most part.
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Nikki's current estimate is $70m. Some of us here think it will end up around $75m.
