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redfirebird2008

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Everything posted by redfirebird2008

  1. It’s been pacing to finish right around $325M. Tracking very similar to TDKR on a daily basis, which would lead to around $6 million left in the tank.
  2. Very good. I'm not too happy with the domestic weekend. It was running well ahead of TDKR in dailies and then dropped well below TDKR this weekend. That's a bummer, but at least it already cruised beyond $300M. It has also gone past Dunkirk's 3.72 multiplier (a nice milestone), but I don't think Oppy will make it to a 4.00 multi ($330M).
  3. Disappointing Friday increase for Oppy (as usual). TDKR jumped 112% on the same day. Hopefully Saturday will be pretty strong for Oppy. The long runtime and limited screen count really hurts this movie on Friday. Seems to be the same story every week.
  4. My parents like The Neighborhood show. It has a strong timeslot. Our market gets Wheel of Fortune on CBS at 6:30 PM and then it leads into The Neighborhood.
  5. Half of that number would have been a solid result. Kind of crazy to see it reach such a big total.
  6. This Wednesday number is 43% higher than TDKR's Wednesday. Needs to run around 18.5% higher than TDKR dailies the rest of the way to reach $330M, which is the magic number for a 4.00 multiplier from a $82.455M opening weekend. Not sure it will reach $330M, but it has a decent chance!
  7. Even if it comes up short, it would probably be very close. Universal could just take some of the Discount Tuesday money and roll it into Monday to push it over $300M.
  8. Correct. It won’t drop anywhere near as bad on Monday compared to some of these other movies that had massive increases on Sunday.
  9. The IMAX and regular 70mm cameras definitely provide a great experience for this movie, even in a regular 4K laser screen like you mentioned. I was very impressed with a brand new 4K screen on this movie.
  10. Hopefully will get there with Monday’s gross. The other movies that had a huge boost on Sunday are looking at massive percentage drops on Monday, but that should not be the case for Oppy when it already dropped a bunch on Sunday.
  11. So Charlie is estimating a 17.5% drop from Saturday to Sunday for Oppenheimer. Not much of a NCD boost for that movie.
  12. $300M for Oppy. Awesome! Next milestone is to beat Dunkirk’s 3.72 multiplier. Oppy needs about $307M to get there.
  13. The TDKR situation gave them an excuse to make a big change. "Never let a crisis go to waste." They want to squeeze as big of a number as possible out of the opening weekend headlines for publicity reasons, even if it's a dishonest number. And they're all guilty of playing games with this stuff on different movies. At the moment it's Sony pulling shenanigans, but Sony was also the one complaining when Disney had some dishonest reporting on Pirates 3's worldwide opening compared to Spidey 3.
  14. It’s all a bunch of crap that needs to be reported accurately. I remember the old days when early previews (before midnight) were not rolled into opening day numbers. WB tried to do it for Matrix Reloaded and the administrator of Box Office Mojo refused to go along with it. He posted the Wednesday preview number ($5 million) completely separate from the opening Thursday, even though WB wanted all of it rolled together. Similar deal for Pirates 3, which had 7 PM shows on Thursday evening and BOM reported the $13M preview number separate from Friday’s gross, even though Disney wanted it all lumped together. If you go way back in time, you can find Thursday previews reported separately on movies like Batman 89 and Jurassic Park. When the midnight massacre happened with TDKR, the entire industry decided it was a good time to start including Thursday shows as part of the Friday number. It’s a bunch of BS.
  15. I just got an email from Warner Bros about Meg 2 being available for purchase on home video. Sheesh, that’s a quick jump from theaters to home video.
  16. It has been tracking very similar to TDKR the last couple weeks. If that continues, it will finish around $323M.
  17. Deadline said Oppy is going over $700M this weekend. Awesome! UPDATE, SATURDAY August 19: Oppenheimer is on its way to yet another milestone, poised to cross $700M global through Saturday. After five frames, the epic is expected to reach $718M with Sunday's numbers included. That will make it Nolan’s 4th highest-grossing film ever worldwide, overtaking Interstellar. It will also move into the No. 4 spot on the global chart for 2023 so far.
  18. Meanwhile Warner spent a ton of money advertising Barbie when that movie had a massive built-in audience and would have been very successful even with a much smaller marketing budget.
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