Just look at the Tues numbers. Both DoS and Frozen are neck to neck at 4.7m. I think that's enough not to completely shut out Frozen for any chances at no. 1
This is opening side-by-side woth The Hobbit in Aus on the 26th. Hopefully this manages do great there despite competition.And I think 40m is almost guaranteed in UK now. Phenomenal run over there!
Yeah Frozen stands a great chance because it's actually a very great film unlike some whose chances of winning depends on sympathy votes for being their so-called "last film".