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babz06

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Everything posted by babz06

  1. Passengers looks more like a crowdpleaser. Arrival with it's overall cerebral and quiet filmmaking isn't that widely appealing. I think the studio would be happy with a 110-115m finish which is where i think this ends up.
  2. Both Sony and WB are doing well this fall. Disney took a brief vacation and its shocking how Fox has been largely irrelevant since Deadpool, if they didnt have that film it could be argued that this has been a very disappointing year.
  3. Good numbers for Mag 7, especially for a western. Storks is coming in softer than i expected. I wonder what went wrong with that?
  4. This is Denzel's normal range I give him most of the credit with Pratt added in as a benefit. This movie would probably be at a sub20 opening without those two considering westerns are not popular.
  5. Not really. There are two other untitled blumhouse horror films(one from Universal and the other from High Top Releasing) being released that month. Plus another Fox horror film called A Cure For Wellness. A total of 4 horror films in February 2017, which is very weird.
  6. most of this films audience probably uses twitter. The catch is to appeal to other demos, which could be a challenge.
  7. The studio is expecting Martian/Gravity/interstellar type numbers. Anything less than that is gonna be seen as underwhleming.
  8. Assassin's Creed is going to come out the big loser during Christmas. It'll do a little better than Warcraft with Christmas legs but not by much. Im predicting 70 DOM.
  9. I think the trailer look good. It's not beating Rogue One, no matter how down some people are on that film. However, if should find an audience who doesn't care for Star Wars at all. Probably not 200m, because i think Sing will be the only other film this Christmas crossing that mark after Rogue One, but 170-180m is attainable.
  10. Gosling is finally trying for his first franchise with Blade Runner next year so we'll see how it goes.
  11. I don't think so, teen or quirky comedies, yes. But JGL still looks too much like a nerdy boy, not a man. Now Ryan Gosling is someone who is perfect for romcoms. I'm shocked he never took advantage his huge popularity with females and instead chose to do small off-kilter dramas after The Notebook. You'll see what i'm talking about after La La Land breaks out in December.
  12. They just shouldn't put him as the lead. Even Blake Lively as a better track record and she barely works as often as he does.
  13. It's going to lose over 1000+ theaters within the next two weeks so probably not. I think around 320 is where it ends.
  14. horrible for the openers, although Snowden held up about as well as it could. Don't Breathe and SUicide Squad both with good holds.
  15. I don't think there is any way to mess up that marketing campaign. Awards season will basically do most of the marketing for them.
  16. Yeah, horror audiences can be selective too. But since the budgets are usually manageable, you should still be in the black eventually regardless if your movie is trash or not. I did not see much excitement for Blair Witch, honestly most of its audience probably comes from die hard fans and it will likely have normal(terrible) horror film legs.
  17. Renee just aged. White people usually age quicker, she looks thinner and older but essentially the same. You can't expect her to have the same baby fat that she had in her 20s.
  18. Snowden is actually performing above expectations. Not great, but it's atleast going to do better than Steve Jobs and The Walk.
  19. Unfriended did 656k in previews. (15.8m OW) So Blair Witch is looking at around mid to high teens this weekend. The closest comparison to Bridget that I can find is Mother's Day, which did 225k in previews for an 8m OW and This is Where I leave You which did 100k previews for a 11.7m OW. So low teens should be the target.
  20. This is gonna do like 50 OW, and huge drops afterwards. It's going to barely crawl by 100m. Overseas should be fine though, Im expecting atleast 200m OS. Both sequels were shot back to back, so they saved money; i remember it being reported that it only cost 20m on each (40m total). Universal is gonna make in excess of a billion dollars on this franchise when all is said and done.
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