I don’t think it ever was. I’d now say it’s a four horse race.
Still wouldn’t bet on Shape of Water simply because it missed a SAG nom. But if it picks up WGA or BAFTA I think it’s winning.
And in a shocking turn of events PGA picks The Shape of Water.
Note they’ve missed two years in a row so far and Shape also missed a SAG nom in an acting heavy film.
Match the 2018 movie to its acronym. Will like 20 posts of the first person who can name them all!!
FB:TCOG
HT3:SV
THWACIIW
FFF
MQOS
RBTI:WIR2
TGITSW
AMATW
S
BP
MM:HWGA
SITS
SSSS
S2S
DWHWGFOF
TTGTTM
RPO
TNATFR
TSWDM
12S:TUSOTHS
GND2:ALITD
W:THTGB
CRA
Avatar has an average running time of 162 minutes. Meanwhile, MCU movies only have an opening montage of 30 seconds! That means you’d have to see 324 MCU movies just to match one Avatar movie!
No Wonder the GA turned out in spades for an average of 2.74b for the Avatar franchise meanwhile only a measly average of 60m or so trailer views for the MCU franchise (Which is GREATLY inflated by the IW and Avengers outliers)
Sticking with these, not going to give much credence to some guys opinion on how he read the crowd
War for the Planet of the Apes
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Shape of Water
5 Days until the deadline, remember to submit your ballots to BOTH me and Spaghetti! If you already submitted a ballot double check to make sure it got to both of us!
If @The Shape of Pasta disagrees, then go with what Spaghetti says. I personally think it should qualify for next years BOFFYs, simply because we've gone by Domestic release dates for everything else (and Paddington didn't have a domestic release until January)