The Panda

For animated this is the first year the entire academy got to vote for nominations. Before it was just the animated branch. Yeah, there’ve been snubs, but they didn’t even go indie picks really this year.

Give me time to tally the scores lol

He’s not talking about Patrick Stewart lol.

??? I read that wrong? Who missed? Gotta double check

The Sufjan song snub (with TGS getting in no less) is puke worthy though.

I think SOW is in the best spot rn, but I still could see TB, Get Out or Lady Bird taking it over it. If SOW wins WGA and DGA it’s done though.

Phantom Thread overperformed but Oldman’s winning lol.

Yeah, I think the directing snub is big for TB unless it pulls an Argo. If Greta or Peele pull a surprise DGA win then there’s a race

They totally saw Franco on the noms and quickly scratched his name off in panic

I missed on a 5/5 because I didn’t trust my spreadsheet lol. I was like “no double nom” and changed harrelson for hammer. Dumb panda, robots > man.

Lol, Dench is getting in, isn’t she?

Yikes I got smacked on this category, only 3/5 Bur I like the nominees more than my predicts. Quite a few 5/5 though, that’s neat

How flawed will my new prediction system turn out to be? Let’s see

I hope they don’t force a twist villain for the sake of it. Coco and BH6’s villain were pretty obvious despite attempting to be twists. Zootopia’s villain wasn’t a shocker but it was fairly well done. Frozen’s was fine. Wreck-It Ralph built it up the best imo. I’d prefer they actually develop the villain, twist villains often make you sacrifice building up the character because you’re trying to hide it.

Will Okja Be this year’s Hunt for the Wilderpeople??

My research is definitely entitled, "Furries: An Experimental Approach to Fetish Building and the Nash Equilibria of Attraction Using Sequential Games"

My IRB form got approved! I AM NOW ALLOWED TO (ethically) EXPERIMENT ON SOME PEOPLE FOR RESEARCH AND EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES!

Final Predicts My predicts Best Picture 1. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 2. The Shape of Water 3. Lady Bird 4. Get Out 5. Dunkirk 6. Call Me By Your Name 7. The Big Sick 8. The Post 9. I, Tonya ONLY 9 NOMINEES 10. Darkest Hour Alternate: Molly's Game Best Director 1. Guillermo Del Torro, The Shape of Water 2. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk 3. Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird 4. Jordan Peele, Get Out 5. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Alternate: Luca Guadagino, Call Me By Your Name Best Actress 1. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards 2. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water 3. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird 4. Margot Robbie, I, Tonya 5. Meryl Streep, The Post Alternate: Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul Actor 1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour 2. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name 3. James Franco, The Disaster Artist 4. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out 5. Daniel Day Lewis, Phantom Thread Alternate: Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel Esq. Supporting Actress 1. Allsion Janney, I, Tonya 2. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird 3. Mary J Blige, Mudbound 4. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick 5. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water Alternate: Hong Chau, Downsizing Supporting Actor 1. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project 2. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 3. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water 4. Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name 5. Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World Alternate: Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Original Screenplay 1. Get Out 2. Lady Bird 3. Three Billboards 4. The Shape of Water 5. The Big Sick Alternate: I, Tonya Adapted Screenplay 1. Call Me By Your Name 2. Molly's Game 3. The Disaster Artist 4. Mudbound 5. Logan Alternate: Wonder Cinematography 1. Blade Runner 2049 2. Dunkirk 3. The Shape of Water 4. Darkest Hour 5. Mudbound Alternate: Three Billboards Editing 1. Dunkirk 2. Baby Driver 3. The Shape of Water 4. Blade Runner 2049 5. Three Billboards Alternate: The Post Animated Feature 1. Coco 2. The LEGO Batman Movie 3. Despicable Me 3 4. Loving Vincent 5. The Breadwinner Alternate: The Boss Baby Foreign Feature 1. The Square 2. Loveless 3. In the Fade 4. A Fantastic Woman 5. Foxtrot Alternate: On Body and Soul Documentary Feature 1. Jane 2. City of Ghosts 3. Icarus 4. Chasing Choral 5. Faces Places Alternate: Abascus Production Design 1. The Shape of Water 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. Dunkirk 4. Beauty and the Beast 5. Darkest Hour Alternate: Murder on the Orient Express Costume Design 1. Phantom Thread 2. Beauty and the Beast 3. The Shape of Water 4. I, Tonya 5. Blade Runner 2049 Alternate: Wonder Woman Hair and Makeup Styling 1. Darkest Hour 2. Wonder 3. I, Tonya Alternate: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Original Score 1. The Shape of Water 2. Phantom Thread 3. Dunkirk 4. Blade Runner 2049 5. Darkest Hour Alternate: The Post Original Song 1. "Remember Me" from Coco 2. "This is Me" from The Greatest Showman 3. "Mystery of Love" from Call Me By Your Name 4. "Evermore" from Beauty and the Beast 5. "Stand Up for Something" from Marshall Alternate: "Mighty River" from Mudbound Sound Mixing 1. Dunkirk 2. Baby Driver 3. The Shape of Water 4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 5. Wonder Woman Alternate: Blade Runner 2049 Sound Editing 1. Dunkirk 2. Baby Driver 3. Blade Runner 2049 4. The Shape of Water 5. Star Wars the Last Jedi Alternate: War for the Planet of the Apes Visual Effects 1. War for the Planet of the Apes 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. Dunkirk 4. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 5. The Shape of Water Alternate: Kong: Skull Island Nomination Counts The Shape of Water - 13 (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Costume Design, Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, VFX) Dunkirk - 9 (Picture, Director, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, VFX) Blade Runner 2049 - 8 (Cinematography, Editing, Costume Design, Production Design, Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing, VFX) Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri - 6 (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Editing) Lady Bird - 5 (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay) Call Me By Your Name - 5 (Picture, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Original Song) I, Tonya - 5 (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Costume Design, Hair and Makeup Design) Darkest Hour - 5 (Actor, Cinematography, Production Design, Score, Hair and Makeup Design) Get Out - 4 (Picture, Director, Actor, Original Screenplay) The Big Sick - 3 (Picture, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay) Baby Driver - 3 (Editing, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) Beauty and the Beast - 3 (Production Design, Costume Design, Original Song) Coco - 2 (Animated Feature, Original Song) The Post - 2 (Picture, Actress) The Disaster Artist - 2 (Adapted Screenplay, Actor)

A few hours till the deadline!

The Big Sick and umm not sure what else. Maybe Good Time?

I think Villeneuve should take the Bond film first then use the good will to make this. I want him to be able to make whatever he wants and not be hindered because a few of his movies underperformed.

The Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt is a pretty emotional show. Can’t believe I just started binging this now. It May even be as good as Master of None.

Right now I’d say Billboards - 50% SOW - 25% Get Out - 7.5% Lady Bird - 7.5%

I think you’re fine. The backlash against Ansari as a person is kind of BS.