Jump to content

Gokai Red

Free Account+
  • Posts

    922
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Gokai Red

  1. In the summer of 2013, when I worked at a movie theater, my coworker and I made a bet. Iron Man 3 vs Man of Steel, me for Iron Man, him on Man of Steel. Whichever movie grossed more was $20 for the winner, and an additional $20 for every $50m over. I won $60 from the bet ($20 for winning in general, an additional $40 since Iron Man made 118m more). Homeboy gave me $60 in pennies. Needless to say, my bank was not ammused.
  2. I don't think TF3 would have ever held the record. DH2 beat it to 1B, so it would've gone straight from ROTK to DH2.
  3. What if, just what if, the MTW scenario is like TFA where all three days saw roughly the same number of people attend and Wednesday gives us an increase from Tuesday? Does anyone else think it's a possibility?
  4. What are the odds the movie finishes with something like 850/2000/2850, becoming WW champion, TFA stays DOM champion, and Avatar stays OS champion?
  5. Just bought tickets for Round 2 tonight in IMAX 2D on a whim simply because my friends told me they were going to see it again. I think walk up business (or I guess non-presale business) will still be pretty strong.
  6. So what are we looking at for final overseas total? Is $1.5B locked? "Only" a $130m increase from AIW seems simple enough at this point.
  7. Part of me wants this movie to outgross Civil War, but part of me wants it to do between 1B and 1.1B so every MCU movie over 1B is in a different 100M range. (1.0 CM, 1.1 CW, 1.2 IM3, 1.3 BP, 1.4 AOU, 1.5 TA, 2.0 IW)
  8. I dunno if anyone has talked about it, but are we actually expecting International Women's Day to have a big effect on Friday? It's not like people get work off for it or anything, and anecdotally, a lot of people I know don't even know it's a thing. I don't think IWD will have any noticeable effect on Friday, and I don't think that CW will be any more or less frontloaded because of it. What are your thoughts?
  9. Sorry for necrobumping, but I realized I never graded myself on 2017. Green text indicates I got the prediction within 10%, Yellow text indicates that I got the prediction within 10-20%, Red text indicates that I got the prediction wrong more than 20% 1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi, 220 (Perfect)/770 (+24%)/1570 (+18%) 2. Beauty and The Beast, 140 (-20%)/450 (-11%)/1070 (-15%) 3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, 160 (+9%)/400 (+7%)/1000 (+16%) 4. The Fate of the Furious, 130 (+32%)/305 (+35%)/1155 (-7%) 5. Spider-Man: Homecoming, 115 (-2%)/305 (-9%)/875 (-1%) 6. Justice League, 140 (+49%)/300 (+31%)/850 (+29%) 7. Despicable Me 3, 100 (+38%)/290 (+10%)/1040 (+1%) 8. Thor: Ragnarok, 100 (-19%)/260 (-17%)/810 (-5%) 9. Wonder Woman, 90 (-13%)/240 (-42%)/740 (-10%) 10. War for the Planet of the Apes, 80 (+42%)/215 (+46%)/715 (+46%) Not predicted: Jumanji and It. Verdict: I still suck at predictions.
  10. Rank. Movie - WW/DOM/OS All numbers rounded to the nearest 25th, and presented in Millions of Dollars If there is a tie in the WW gross, then the DOM gross is used as the tiebreaker 1. Avengers: Endgame - 1925/625/1300 2. The Lion King - 1400/600/800 3. Frozen 2 - 1300/450/850 4. Star Wars: Episode IX - 1250/600/650 5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - 1025/375/650 6. Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw - 1000/200/800 7. Toy Story 4 - 975/350/625 8. Jumanji 3 - 925/350/575 9. Captain Marvel - 900/375/525 10. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 900/325/575 First year where the entire Top 10 breaks $900M
  11. The projections or the Avatar sequels made me laugh out loud at how ridiculous they are.
  12. Alright then friends. I know I don't post much, but when I do, it's for good reason. Today is my last day at home and on this forum for a few months, because tomorrow morning I am leaving for the Basic Training for the Air Force. I've been a member on this forum since late 2013 (I still remember finding this site by looking for Catching Fire predictions, and I still remember this site's prediction for it was 167/390) and since then, I've been on it almost daily reading what everyone else has to say about my favorite things, box office and numbers. I love this site because (pretty much) everyone here has such a positive attitude and we're so much more knowledgeable about box office than any other site or source I know of (seriously, some people that write about box office for a living are trash, but I go here and even though everyone has their bad predictions, they're still a lot better than what some of the "professionals" do and it's awesome). Anyways though, I'll miss this forum and its members while I'm gone, so I hope you keep your conversations civil and your predictions and projections strong. I'll be back around August, and I can't wait to see how this forum has been while I'm gone. Happy posting everyone. Have a good summer!
  13. 7 minutes before my Solo show time and there's about 13 other people in the auditorium with my friend and I. Looking at show times, between 6 and 730, there was a show starting every 15 minutes.
  14. Interestingly enough, Avengers' gross today is roughly identical to Titanic's original run gross before the re-release. AIW: 601.4/1239.7/1841.1 Titanic: 600.8/1242.4/1843.2 Just a fun bit of trivia.
  15. Avatar is the highest grossing film of all time, but its only impact on culture has been to be confused with the Nickelodeon cartoon of the same name.
  16. Before the year starts 1. Avengers: Infinity War, 210/500/1550 2. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, 180/470/1420 3. The Incredibles 2, 140/450/950 4. Solo: A Star Wars Story, 140/380/800 5. Black Panther, 115/350/800 6. Deadpool, 120/300/750 7. The Grinch, 75/270/680 8. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindlewald, 95/260/880 9. Ant-Man and the Wasp, 75/220/620 10. Mary Poppins Returns, 45/210/510
  17. This reply is a little late, but I feel like it has to be said. I've been here on BOT for about 4 years now, since the craziness of the Catching Fire/Frozen runs. And I've been following box office for almost 10 years now (Cloverfield was the movie that got me into following movies and box office). But when I came here, I posted every once in a while, learning what I could, asking questions, comparing movies, what have you. And it's always great seeing new posters and movies break out and break records, and it's sometimes even fun to see a movie underperform and the meltdowns that ensue. But why are the some of the newest people here, or people that apparently haven't followed box office for so long going onto these forums, trying to be the loudest in the room, being disrespectful to our mods and our senior members, and doubting Rth and Empire? Especially this last part. It really grinds my gears seeing people go into someone else's community and act like they run the show. Ask questions, please. I love discussion, but there's a reason our two sources get 20+ likes every time they post numbers, because they know, and we all know they know. 99% of the time, they're right within 5%, if not less. We're lucky they even give us anything, and it's good to see people that are actually a part of the industry on the inside care enough to share their information with us. And I'm not trying to single out any of the current new members, but in general, I've seen this happen frequently every time there's a new big movie that causes an influx of new members, there's always a few that like to come in and be disrespectful. We're all here because we care about movies and box office, so why not try to make it a pleasant experience for everyone?
  18. I know it's been a while, but here we go! Wonder Woman Current Gross: $412, 265, 643 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $388, 573, 980 SURPASSED Quadruple Century Mark: $400, 000, 000 SURPASSED Spider-Man: $403, 706, 375 SURPASSED Iron Man 3 (Top 5 CBM): $409, 013, 994 SURPASSED 4x Multiplier: $413, 005, 884 ($740, 241 remaining) Spider-Man: Homecoming Current Gross: $332, 707, 249 The Amazing Spider-Man 2: $202, 853, 933 SURPASSED The Amazing Spider-Man: $262, 030, 663 SURPASSED Triple Century Mark: $300, 000, 000 SURPASSED Guardians of the Galaxy (highest non-sequel MCU): $333, 176, 600 ($469, 351 remaining) Spider-Man 3: $336, 530, 303 ($3, 823, 054 remaining) Dunkirk Current Gross: $186, 881, 004 Get Out (highest original film 2017): $175, 484, 140 SURPASSED Interstellar: $188, 020, 017 ($19, 139, 013 remaining) IT Current Gross: $290, 775, 232 The Sixth Sense: $293, 506, 292 ($2, 731, 060 remaining) Triple Century Mark: $300, 000, 000 ($9, 224, 768 remaining) Spider-Man: Homecoming: $332, 707, 249 ($41, 932, 017 remaining) Red Text indicates that the milestone in question is a stationary target. Blue Text indicates that the milestone in question is a moving target.
  19. It's been a while... Wonder Woman Current Gross: $412, 265, 643 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $388, 573, 980 SURPASSED Quadruple Century Mark: $400, 000, 000 SURPASSED Spider-Man: $403, 706, 375 SURPASSED Iron Man 3 (Top 5 CBM): $409, 013, 994 SURPASSED 4x Multiplier: $413, 005, 884 ($740, 241 remaining) Spider-Man: Homecoming Current Gross: $332, 707, 249 The Amazing Spider-Man 2: $202, 853, 933 SURPASSED The Amazing Spider-Man: $262, 030, 663 SURPASSED Triple Century Mark: $300, 000, 000 SURPASSED Guardians of the Galaxy (highest non-sequel MCU): $333, 176, 600 ($469, 351 remaining) Spider-Man 3: $336, 530, 303 ($3, 823, 054 remaining) Dunkirk Current Gross: $186, 881, 004 Get Out (highest original film 2017): $175, 484, 140 SURPASSED Interstellar: $188, 020, 017 ($19, 139, 013 remaining) IT Current Gross: $290, 775, 232 The Sixth Sense: $293, 506, 292 ($2, 731, 060 remaining) Triple Century Mark: $300, 000, 000 ($9, 224, 768 remaining) Spider-Man: Homecoming: $332, 707, 249 ($41, 932, 017 remaining) Red Text indicates that the milestone in question is a stationary target. Blue Text indicates that the milestone in question is a moving target.
  20. Wonder Woman, SMH, Dunkirk, and Annabelle Countdowns going into the weekend. The next movie I'll probably track is It, so I might update less frequently until then. Wonder Woman Current Gross: $404, 518, 061 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2: $388, 573, 980 SURPASSED Quadruple Century Mark: $400, 000, 000 SURPASSED Spider-Man: $403, 706, 375 SURPASSED Iron Man 3 (Top 5 CBM): $409, 013, 994 ($4, 495, 933 remaining) 4x Multiplier: $413, 005, 884 ($8, 487, 823 remaining) Spider-Man: Homecoming Current Gross: $316, 118, 082 The Amazing Spider-Man 2: $202, 853, 933 SURPASSED The Amazing Spider-Man: $262, 030, 663 SURPASSED Triple Century Mark: $300, 000, 000 SURPASSED Guardians of the Galaxy (highest non-sequel MCU): $333, 176, 600 ($17, 058, 518 remaining) Spider-Man 3: $336, 530, 303 ($20, 412, 221 remaining) Dunkirk Current Gross: $168, 529, 030 Get Out (highest original film 2017): $175, 484, 140 ($6, 955, 110 remaining) Interstellar: $188, 020, 017 ($19, 490, 987 remaining) Batman Begins: $206, 852, 432 ($38, 323, 402 remaining) Annabelle: Creation Current Gross: $70, 530, 384 Annabelle: $84, 273, 813 ($13, 743, 429 remaining) The Conjuring 2: $102, 470, 008 ($31, 939, 624 remaining) Red Text indicates that the milestone in question is a stationary target. Blue Text indicates that the milestone in question is a moving target.
  21. These WW2 numbers are giving me life right now as DOM summer draws to a close.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.