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Elessar

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Everything posted by Elessar

  1. Ain't that all 3-day numbers? $6m for 4- or 5-day seems small for a market like Spain.
  2. Actualy, no, since BOFA came out a week later. BOFA's first midweekdays will be more inflated since many more are off school / work.
  3. There's nothing magical about it. And it has nothing to do with lately. People don't just go "okay, going forward we won't appreciate sequels as much any more". Every movie is its own case. There have been sequels increasing and sequels decreasing. Being good is an important factor but that is not for you to decide. Going by user ratings on sites like RT, IMDB and the likes, there's no indication that Hobbit is not liked.
  4. The odds for it dropping a bit from DOS, increasing a bit or doing the same were... well, the same. Could have gone either way. I believe not many are shocked if the former turns out to be the case, just disappointed (if one wants it to do well, that is).
  5. Weekend will be probably around $45m.
  6. I was right on the money... Yeah... let's hope for a good Friday increase...
  7. I think the studio can live with lower takings for one movie when they have two movies (MJ).
  8. But you have to look at the daily gross, without midnights / previews. It's only $13-14m, TTT was over $20m, much higher base to work with. Thursday might be lower than your $12m. Or look at it like that, ROTK had a 5-day to total multiplier of 3. BOFA won't have Oscar buzz and wins. With $85m 5-day, that would amount to less than $255m, might be quite a bit less.
  9. Could be slightly lower even. I think it's unlikely now to reach DOS total numbers.
  10. You are doing a great job. Btw, switch LOTR with comic-book movies and i would almost agree with you (there are actually a few good comic-book movies).
  11. What did the first 2 make? A tad above $20m if i remember correctly?
  12. I think 30m is out of question. DOS did 22m for the day but that was friday. Wednesday will have much lower evening attendance. My guess is around 15m.
  13. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies weekend 1: $122.1 million [37 markets] / $122.1 million The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug weekend 1: $135.4 million [49 markets] / $209 million weekend 2: $97.4 million [56 markets] ($278.4 million) / $406 million weekend 3: $99.7 million [62 markets] ($424.8 million) / $616.1 million weekend 4: $58 million [64 markets] ($527 million) / $756.6 million weekend 5: $22.2 million [62 markets] ($566 million) / $802.8 million (Est.) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey weekend 1: $138 million / $222.6 million weekend 2: $96 million [59 markets] ($288.5 million) / $438.6 million weekend 3: $106.5 million [62 markets] ($464 million) / $686.7 million weekend 4: $57.1 million [65 markets] ($561 million) / $824.8 million weekend 5: $26.2 million ($609.3 million) / $887.5 million
  14. So what's that about: $2.5m is not a lot and it's not like the exchange rate changed so much, so how did they come to that conclusion? It doesn't make sense.
  15. According to that deadline article... I don't understand. Are they referring to local currency? Also... Something doesn't add up.
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