TLK

1) Will Gatsby open to more than 35 mill? YES 2) Will Gatsby open to more than 40.5 mill? YES 3) Will Tyler Perry open to more than 20 mill? NO 4) Will IM3 drop less than 55%? NO 5) Will IM3 have a Friday increase of more than 130%? YES 6) Will Tyler Perry drop by more than 7% on Saturday? NO 7) Will Tyler Perry have one of the three best theater averages in the top 15? YES 8) Will IM3 make more than than the next three films combine (slots 2-4) YES 9) Will Gatsby's weekend gross be more than IM3's Friday and Sunday gross? YES 10) Will Mud drop less than 30% YES 11) Will Pain and Gain drop more than 47%? NO 12) Will Oz stay in the top 10? YES What finishes in spots 4 42 5 Pain And Gain 9 The Big Wedding 13 GI Joe Retaliation Bonus 1: What will the top 10 cume be? $154.5 million Bonus 2: What will IM3 gross this weekend? $73.5 million Bonus 3: What will IM3's WW total be after Sunday's estimates (not actuals, estimates) $933.5 million

Ben Affleck's Live By Night will start production this fall. I am guessing that WB will finance it.

If it is relying on weekends to reach $400 million then it may not get there. TGG won't hurt IM3 but movies like STiD, FF6,TH3,Epic and After Earth will definitely hurt it.

Very interesting article. Click on the link for the full article. I think the most damning part is that Boal/Bigelow flatout denied any sort of Governmental intervention in their movie-making. Obviously, they were lying. Newly Declassified Memo Shows CIA Shaped Zero Dark Thirty's Narrative Kathryn Bigelow's Osama bin Laden revenge-porn flick Zero Dark Thirty was the biggest publicity coup for the CIA this century outside of the actual killing of Osama bin Laden. But the extent to which the CIA shaped the film has remained unclear. Now, a memo obtained by Gawker shows that the CIA actively, and apparently successfully, pressured Mark Boal to remove scenes that made them look bad from the Zero Dark Thirty script. The CIA's whitewashing effort is revealed in a cache of documents newly released under a Freedom of Information Act request about the CIA's cooperation with Bigelow and Boal. The documents include a 2012 memo—initially classified "SECRET"—summarizing five conference calls between Boal and the CIA's Office of Public Affairs in late 2011. "The purpose for these discussions was for OPA officers to help promote an appropriate portrayal of the Agency and the Bin Ladin operation," according to the memo. (Hundreds of pages of CIA documents about the film were released last year; the memo obtained by Gawker was approved for release late last month.) During these calls, Boal "verbally shared the screenplay" for Zero Dark Thirty in order to get the CIA's feedback, and the CIA's public affairs department verbally asked Boal to take out parts that they objected to. According to the memo, he did.

It lost $1.2 million from the estimates. The WOM must be terrible.

I think it will make $165 with a $70 million OD. It will be frontloaded so I am expecting a roughly flat Saturday.

Depp did his best work back in 90s and got zero recognition for it. I don't blame him for not giving a fuck about anything except money.

I think this will be more frontloaded than either TA or IM2.

It took her nearly 9 hours to refine her numbers from 63-71 to 65-70 million.

Gitesh Pandya ‏@giteshpandya 32s Sources put #IronMan3 in the $58-64M range for FRI incl THU night. $150-160M opening wknd possible.

Was 66-68 million. BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 2m Sources tell BoxOffice that it's looking like $65M-$67M on Friday for IRON MAN 3. $165M weekend is likely. #IronMan3

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-report-iron-man-451650 Box Office Report: 'Iron Man 3' on Course for $60 Million Friday

I think Nikki picked over 62 million OW and under 71 million OW in BSG.

Very good article from Deadline. Read the whole article if you have time to spare. Analyst’s Studio-By-Studio Summer 2013 Movie Season Predictions UPDATE (ADDS DETAIL): The Lone Ranger and World War Z are among the “most notable candidates” to join the ranks of “several high profile failures” from the major studios that Cowen and Co’s Doug Creutz predicts this morning. He worries Summer 2013 has “the most crowded release slate in recent memory” and could produce at least 8 underperformers. Creutz has been making these predictions for 5 of the last seven years and here is his studio-by-studio prognostications: Disney is at risk, Creutz says. Although Iron Man 3 will be a hit, and Monsters University should do well, if Lone Ranger bombs it could “sustain the perception that Disney’s film studio has some serious problems away from the Marvel-Pixar axis.” He expects Lone Ranger to generate $120M domestically but says it’s “a strong contender for an early write-down.” Westerns typically don’t play well overseas, he notes, recalling how even Will Smith’s star power couldn’t save 1999′s Wild, Wild West. The analyst also forecasts Paramount is “likely to have a one-up-one-down summer” with Star Trek Into The Darkness and World War Z. He predicts just $85M for World War Z, which “had a troubled production” forcing a delay from the original December 2012 release date. It’s also up against Man Of Steel, and he says that makes the zombie thriller “another likely candidate for a big write-down.”

I posted earlier that its matinees appear to be trailing TA and THG. We won't know for sure until we have the first report from Nikki in a couple of hours.

I don't have any hard numbers obviously but based on a cursory glance its matinees appear to be performing below The Avengers and The Hunger Games at this point on the east coast. I'm not seeing a lot of sellouts as was the case with TA. It is still very , very early though.

Star Trek Into Darkness Into Darkness. Star Trek : The Lightness Of Being Star Trek : 50 Shades of Dark

I'm sorry but this is getting hilarious. http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/bradley-cooper-exits-jane-got-450340 Bradley Cooper Exits 'Jane Got a Gun' UPDATED: The actor becomes the fourth principal to leave the troubled Western that stars Natalie Portman. Bradley Cooper has become the latest actor to exit the troubled Western Jane Got a Gun. Sources say the production went out to Jake Gyllenhaal but that did not pan out. But it is another hurdle in the ongoing saga of the making of this indie Western. As one put it, "The script about the making of Jane Got a Gun could be more interesting than the movie itself."

http://www.rentrak.com/section/movies_and_tv_everywhere/top_entertainment_rankings.html#1

1) Will The IM3 make more than 62 mill OD? YES 2) Will IM3 make less than 55 mill OD? NO 3) Will IM3 make more than 71.167 M OD mill OD? NO 4) Will IM3 make more than 15 mill OW in Russia? YES 5) Will IM3 make more than 8 mill OW in Germany? YES 6) Will IM3 make more than 1 mill OW in Poland? YES 7) Will IM3 have a Saturday drop of more than 15%? YES 8) Will IM3 make more than 16 mill at midnight/thurs? YES 9) Will IM3 make more than 12.5 mill at IMAX domestically? YES 10) Will IM3 have a per theater average of more than $37,200? NO 11) Will IM3 have a cinemascore of A or better? YES 12) Will IM3 fall less than 33% on Sunday? YES 13) Will IM3 make at least 140 mill more than positions 2 and 3 combined? NO 14) Will IM3 make more than 145 mill OW? YES 15) Will IM3 make more than 155 OW? NO 16) Will IM3 make more than 165 mill OW? NO 17) Will IM3 have a world wide weekend of more than 300 mill? YES 18) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 205 million? NO 19 Will Pain and Gain drop less than 55.5%? NO 20) Will Pain and Gain have a Friday increase of more than 120%? NO 21) Will Oblivion have a Saturday increase of more than 35%? YES 22) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? YES 23) Will Nikki's first posting about IM3 contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" anywhere in the post? NO 24) Will Nikki's first "projection" about IM3 be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? NO 25) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not exceeding expectations from a box office standpoint, or at least how amazing the film is doing? Yes 26) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 150 pages by 9AM on Monday morning? (I'll keep track...this would be our first enormous thread of the yr) YES 27) Will The Big Wedding drop less than 45%? NO 28) Will GI Joe drop less than 45%? NO 29) Will any film in the top 12 drop less than 35%? YES 30) Will Mud make the top 12? YES 31) Will Jurassic Park drop less than 55%? NO 32) Will Evil Dead and Scary Movie both drop more than 50%? YES 33) Will IM3 drop less than 45% in UK? NO 34) Will IM3 have an international weekend of more than 150 mill? YES 35) Will The Croods have a Saturday increase of more than 98% ? YES 30/35 5000 31/45 8000 32/35 10,000 33/35 12,000 34/35 15,000 35/35 25,000 Bonus 1: What will IM3s weekend gross be? $153.000 million Bonus 2: What will Pain and Gain's weekend gross be? $8.500 million Bonus 3: What will The Big Wedding's weekend gross be? $3.650 million Bonus 4: What will IM3, Mud and Place BTP combined gross be? $157.000 million Bonus 5: What finishes in spots: 6 The Big Wedding 8 GI Joe Retaliation 10 Olympus Has Fallen 11 The Place Beyond The Pines 13 Oz The Great And Powerful 2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct Bonus 6: According to the International Report in the International section (first report will be the one we go by), Internationally, what finishes in spots: 3 Pain And Gain 4 The Croods 6 Scary Movie V

All I know is that I was infatuated with Lady Macbeth when I was in 9th grade. Now I like Natalie Portman and she will do alright but actresses like Charlize Theron and Jessica Chastain can flatout nail the cold-blooded menacing Lady Macbeth character from the first two acts. You can see them dominate Michael Fassbender's Macbeth. Maybe Natalie Portman will surprise us just like she did in Black Swan.

Pain And Gain made $3,694,451 in Russia this past weekend so how was this question scored in the end? http://www.kinometro.ru/box/show/region/ru/lang/en

Portman is alright but I was hoping for someone edgier like Jessica Chastain. Lady Macbeth is a very edgy, dominating character and Chastain would've seamlessly pulled it off but what the hell do I know?

Awesome. Fassbender will be a great Macbeth. Can't wait for this to come out. I think someone with theater background, like Jessica Chastain, should be a natural for Lady Macbeth.

Amazing opening. Based on numbers from other Asian markets, I am now expecting $80-$100 million from China alone.