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Everything posted by TLK
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Early Friday Numbers. Croods-11, Olympus-10, Spring.Admission-2.5
TLK replied to Vanilla's topic in Numbers and Data
Spring Breakers is getting slaughtered on twitter. https://twitter.com/search?q=%22Spring+Breakers%22&src=tren -
Early Friday Numbers. Croods-11, Olympus-10, Spring.Admission-2.5
TLK replied to Vanilla's topic in Numbers and Data
Yep. I see a bunch of $100 million movies in there and a handful of movies are going to do really, really great business. -
Early Friday Numbers. Croods-11, Olympus-10, Spring.Admission-2.5
TLK replied to Vanilla's topic in Numbers and Data
Yes but they have a very busy summer lineup. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/chart/?view2=upcoming&view=company&studio=tristar.htm -
Early Friday Numbers. Croods-11, Olympus-10, Spring.Admission-2.5
TLK replied to Vanilla's topic in Numbers and Data
Yes, she is a very good writer but outside of her mimicking Sarah Palin she hasn't done anything noteworthy as an actress. She plays herself in every single role. -
Early Friday Numbers. Croods-11, Olympus-10, Spring.Admission-2.5
TLK replied to Vanilla's topic in Numbers and Data
THR The Croods 11 million Olympus $9 million+ Admission $2.5 million Spring Breakers $2.1 million+ -
My prediction is that Monuments Men is going to be one of the biggest disappointments of the year. Sony is rushing this and I just don't see Clooney being able to deliver a quality product on their time table. From what I understand the shooting will last into late June and any serious contender needs to have the screeners ready by Thanksgiving. How is Clooney going to get the movie ready when he has other commitments too (Gravity opens in October).
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Megan Ellison may have an infinite amount of money to spend but most financiers don't and there are only limited number of people who make investment in Hollywood. It is the same reason why $200 million tentpoles have decimated smaller studio movies.
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Ellison is different because she is spending more money than she should which makes other studio spend more money than they need to spend on a related project ( Oscar-bait movie). The problem with $40 million movies is that they cost way more than $40 million because studios/distributors cannot follow the platform release formula as that is guaranteed to lose money for you. This isn't that hard to follow. We know what $200 million movies did to the overall movie market. Jacking the price up for mid-level movies is going to drive out small distributors and smaller "studios" out of the market. People who love $200 million tentpoles don't give a fuck about smaller movies and I am seeing the same thing from people who'd rather PTA get $40 million for a $20 million type of movie even at the cost of harming the smaller indie movies.
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All actions have consequences. It is pretty normal these days for big businesses and deep-pocketed people to come in and drive out small businesses in pretty much any industry you can think of. When you have a lot of money you are not thinking about little things like annual profit and loss within the sub-market. This never ends well. Mid-majors and Indie branches of majors are not going to leave the field open to the likes of Megan Ellison. If the asking price for a "smaller" movie becomes $40 million you'll see more $40 million movies being made. At the same time you will see fewer movies made because if you are putting $40 million in producing a movie you are not going to rely on platform release and VOD to recoup the cost. You will be more aggressive with marketing and that leaves fewer resources and less financing for smaller independent movie. Like I said, Ellison gets to make her half a dozen movies with bloated budgets every year but the business will suffer on the whole.
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I am not in the business but it is a small industry and like any other business if one party is artificially inflating prices then every other competitor will suffer. We've already seen the adverse consequences of big budget tentpoles on small and mid-budget movies, She is going to make half a dozen movies every year but her actions will result in jacking up the production cost for other 100+ independent movies that are made every year.
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This isn't a good business model. People will start getting out of the Independent movie business if they can't afford to compete with someone who isn't interested in actually running a honest business.
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She is hurting the business if this is true. FoxS's offer was more realistic and consistent with the market price but she inflated the market price because she has billions lying around and nothing to do with that kind of money. I am sorry but artificially inflating the market and creating a bubble is a bad idea for any industry. What if she gets bored in couple of years and decides to put her billions in ,say, horse-racing? What will happen to the bubble that she has created ? Most financiers are in the business to make money and not to play God. People who try to play God are bad news for any industry.
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Nicole Kidman is great at picking roles. Even if the movie flops, her role will always get her noticed, eg. her recent movies like PaperBoy and Stoker.
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MGM/Paramount confirmed that they are developing the sequel.
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Early Weekend #s - The Call Ahead Of Wonderstone!
TLK replied to Ezen Baklattan's topic in Numbers and Data
I am happy that The Call did so well. Brad Anderson has made some really good movies that made nothing at the Box Office. This is kind of a poetic justice for him that The Call made more money on its opening day than all of his earlier movies combined at the Box Office. -
Early Weekend #s - The Call Ahead Of Wonderstone!
TLK replied to Ezen Baklattan's topic in Numbers and Data
http://www.deadline.com/2013/03/1-oz-holding-huge-for-143m-domestic-halle-berry-shocks-for-2-in-the-call-and-beats-steve-carell-jim-carrey-in-no-way-incredible-burt-wonderstone-warner-bros-5th-straight-bomb/#utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter 1. Oz The Great and Powerful (Disney) Week 2 [Runs 3,912] PGFriday $11.4M, Saturday 18.8M, Weekend $42.0M, Cume $144.9M 2. The Call (Troika/TriStar/Sony) NEW [Runs 2,507] RFriday $6.2M, Saturday $7.0M, Weekend $17.2M 3. The Incredible Burt Wonderstone (Warner Bros) NEW [Runs 3,160] PG13Friday $3.7M, Saturday $4.1M, Weekend $10.5M -
Early Weekend #s - The Call Ahead Of Wonderstone!
TLK replied to Ezen Baklattan's topic in Numbers and Data
Either Olivia Wilde doesn't know how to pick the right scripts or her luck is really, really crappy. -
Early Weekend #s - The Call Ahead Of Wonderstone!
TLK replied to Ezen Baklattan's topic in Numbers and Data
Actually it reminded me of that movie with Chris Evans and Kim Basinger (Cellular opened to $10 million+ in 2004) but dunno I was actually expecting $15 million or so. -
Early Weekend #s - The Call Ahead Of Wonderstone!
TLK replied to Ezen Baklattan's topic in Numbers and Data
It was marketed as a horror. $17-18 million isn't an extraordinary number for horror as most horror wide releases end up in the 10-20 million range.