-
Posts
10,487 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Everything posted by BadAtGender
-
It's bleeding screens, but it still had a DOM weekend above $1m. It hasn't hit second run theaters, yet, which I'd guess it will do sometime later this month. That will arrest the falls and possibly provide an increase. It could gross another $5-$6m DOM. Yeah, that's another factor. Right now a double feature with JW is probably the best weapon in Universal's arsenal for F7 to overtake TA1. If JW gets to the heights that some are expecting (north of $100m), then it could be very lucrative indeed. We shouldn't expect a John Carter with Avengers performance (jumping 1200% over previous weekend) but it's entirely possible that it stays flat (as Cinderella did) or has a modest increase.
-
Very likely it will decrease, but in its favor, F7 exceeded expectations by such a huge amount that even a fairly large decrease by F&F8 won't be a disappointment. Granted, who knows what the Chinese market and the exchange rate will be like in two years.
-
Drops from Thursday: MMFR: 25% PP2: 30% Tomorrowland: 30% AoU: 24%
-
It's not really a new concept for disaster films: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquake_%28film%29
-
Class Project - Movie Theater Ticket Regression Analysis
BadAtGender replied to MatthewHogan's topic in The Speakeasy
For the number of Theaters, you could try to contact the National Organization of Theater owners. They may have archives of that information on file. Box Office Mojo has a listed number of total screens from 1980 to 2002 here: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/ And the final weekend where they had a screen estimate without some large data chunks missing is here: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=screens&yr=2014&wknd=45&p=.htm So you can assume that there's in the range of 48k screens available in the US right now. -
Not ALL. I mean, a huge chunk of LEO has been wiped clean, so it sucks. How much is kinda flexible, since the Hubble is about 160 km further than the ISS, but assume it would be a large swath. That would probably take out most any communications that are done via satellite constellations in that range would be taken out. However, anything further than the damage distance would be fine. So anything in MEO, GEO, and even HEO (though I don't know how many are out that far) wouldn't be affected. The GPS satellites orbit at MEO and many broadcasting satellites are at GEO. So those are unaffected and could probably be utilized to keep up a communications network. Besides that, much internet traffic goes via sub-ocean cable, not satellite, and again wouldn't be directly affected. It would SUCK, but it's not going to completely set us back. The bigger issue is that it'd likely make it very difficult to get anything else up there. So there'd be a time while waiting for orbital decay of the debris and hoping that's less time than the lifespan of the remaining satellites that we'd be using.
-
In most cases people aren't going to be familiar with many buildings in a region outside of the big landmarks. Besides the big circular building, I couldn't identify a skyscraper from LA out of a lineup. The Space Needle's Seattle's clear point, but there's a lot of other buildings that are big and interesting. I mean, hell, the Rainier Tower would be really cool to see in a disaster, even if it's not a super famous building. While the "see the buildings I'm familiar with get destroyed" is definitely a thing, I think in general people are happy to just see building carnage.
-
BSG Week 5 (Back to normal)
BadAtGender replied to baumer's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
All questions worth 1000 Due normal time All questions pertain to numbers off the three day Memorial weekend, unless otherwise specified....please be cognizant of this. All questions pertain to the top 12 UOS 1) Will San Andreas open to more than 40 million? NO 2) Will San Andreas have an opening day of more than 15 million? YES 3) Will any film, in more than 2000 theaters, fall less than 42%? YES 4) Will AOU fall less than 56.3%? NO 5) Will Pitch Perfect 2 make more than Tomorrowland? YES 6) Will Mad Max fall less than 50%? YES 7) Will Poltergeist fall more than 59%? YES 8) Will Hot Pursuit increase more than 50% on Saturday? NO 9) How many films will make more than 400K on Thursday? (I'm not spelling this out for you, figure it out. How many films that are reported, will make more than 400K on Thursday..domestic only of course) 5 10) Will any film fall more than 30% on Sunday? YES 11) Will any film increase more than 110% on Friday? YES 12) Will Mad Max increase less than 27% on Saturday? NO 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 What finishes in spots: 6 ALOHA 7 POLTERGEIST 9 FAR FROM THE MADDENING CROWD 11 HOME 15 THE AGE OF ADELINE 2000 for each spot right, bonus of 3000 if all spots correct. Bonus 1: What will be the Friday accumulated gross for the top 3 films? 5000 26,395,439 Bonus 2: If you add up the drops for the films that finish in spots 2-3-4, to three decimal spots, what is your total? So your answer will be something like 175.668%. 5000 157.268% Good luck! -
Avengers: Age of Ultron OS Thread | $945.7M OS | $1.405B WW
BadAtGender replied to Olive's topic in International Box Office
On one hand, I mentally forgot it. Oops. On the other, though, I'm not sure it's going to remain in that upper tier. Skyfall had the 50th anniversary tie-in going for it, which isn't going to apply here. Spectre probably sees a drop, and it could be pretty harsh in some markets. I don't think it'll drop back to the numbers of Casino Royale and Quantum of Solace, but something like 250 DOM / 650 OS could be in the cards. Solid, but probably a bit short of Minions, which is likely to see a bigger bump in China. -
Avengers: Age of Ultron OS Thread | $945.7M OS | $1.405B WW
BadAtGender replied to Olive's topic in International Box Office
If you're just looking at OS grosses, F7 is going to beat SW7 pretty handily. I'd guess SW7 ends up in the 800-900m range for that. By all reports, SW7 isn't going to play super well in East Asia; I could see it sacrificing 200m to F7 in China alone. So if it's going to beat F7 WW, it needs to do that by making up the difference domestically. It probably needs to be close to TA1's DOM gross to do it. Possible, but not the sort of thing you bet on, really. It could easily end up down closer to 500m. Right now, I'd say the yearly worldwide top 5 will be: F7 SW7 AoU Minions Jurassic World -
Cruise is still a huge draw overseas, for sure. Kevin Hart is proving himself pretty solid. However, for sheer ability to get people to see movies in the US, I'd probably give the edge to Denzel Washington. He doesn't do any franchise bait films, so he's pretty much the only draw. And he's super consistent.