BadAtGender

Doctor's probably the best animation director working today. And even if Miyazaki hadn't retired and Kon was still alive, he'd be the best outside of Japan. I like to think that he hasn't jumped to live action like Stanton and Bird because he really, truly understands the medium.

I love that ad. So avant garde. (Absolutely TERRIBLE if you want to convince people to see the film, but it's a thing of beauty by itself.)

The collapse after week 4 seems to be a thing in Korea. It happened with Frozen, too. At this point, is AoU actually going to beat Frozen's admissions? It's still 130k short.

While I can believe 400m in China, I don't think it's assured, just yet. We don't know the exact release date and if it's separated from CNY, it could cut down on the potential by quite a bit. Besides that, 170m may be optimistic for DOM. KFP2 got 165m, and that could be upper bound for KFP3. It could see a modest decline. So something like a 150/300/450 situation (DOM/China/Rest) wouldn't surprise me. But at the same time, I also wouldn't be surprised by a 200/400/500 run. It has the potential to hit a billion, but I don't quite think it's likely, just yet.

This is yet another animated franchise where the DOM gross is a bonus rather than a primary motivator. It'll be curious to see whether it manages to come close to Home's gross. HTTYD2 was beaten by The Croods, after all. For OS, it's clear that being a sequel has benefits. Both Madagascar sequels, KFP2, and HTTYD2 all got better than 70% of their gross OS. As did all three Ice Age sequels and Rio 2. (So did Rio, which is actually a bit strange for a franchise starter.) So this could see a rise in OS-C, even though China is the clear point for huge growth. This could hit 800m OS and still fail to get a billion WW.

All questions worth 1000 All questions pertain to THE THREE DAY unless otherwise specified Due normal time This week might be a bit of a challenge since it is a three day weekend in the US, but we are only asking questions that pertain to the normal weekend. Good luck! 1) Will Poltergeist have at least 1.5 mill in previews? NO 2) Will Poltergeist have an opening day of more than 7 million? NO 3) Will Tomorrowland be number one for the 4 day weekend? YES 4) Will Tomorrowland gross more for the three day than Poltergeist does for the 4? YES 5) Will Pitch Perfect 2 fall more than 45%? NO 6) Will Max fall more than 40%? NO 7) Will any film in the top 10 increase for the 4 day (compared to last weeks 3 day)? YES 8) Will Avengers have a Saturday increase of more than 60.5%? YES 9) Will Home remain in the top 10? YES 10) Will F7 get past 350 mill after Monday, so Monday's gross will count for this question? NO 11) Will Mad Max have a better Thursday drop % wise than PP2? YES 12) Will Age of Adeline have a better drop % wise than Woman in Gold? NO 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 7000 (I think the questions have a good degree of difficulty this weekend. Question 13: Another all or nothing question, but with a twist. Here are four questions. If you go for these four questions, and you get them all correct, not only will you score 25,000 points, but you will have the opportunity at ANY POINT IN THE GAME BEFORE AUGUST 1ST, to challenge any two players to four of these very questions. If they get your questions right, they will receive a 30,000 point bonus, if they do not, they will lose 20,000. The reason they will receive such a high score for being correct is that the pressure is on them. Now, keep in mind, you NEVER have to use this bonus. It is not mandatory. But it will be there if you choose to use it,. All contingent of course on you getting all four questions right this weekend. And of course, if you are correct and at some point of the game you choose to challenge someone, all questions must be in the spirit of the game and they MUST BE APPROVED BY ME. If you are unclear on any of this please let me know. Now of course, if you do not get all four questions right, you lose 20,000....all or nothing. 1) Will Home increase more than 71.3% on Saturday? 2) Will any of the top three films on Thursday, fall less than 10%? 3) Will Avengers have a Friday increase of more than 100%? 4) Will Mad Max have a Saturday increase of more than 25%? ABSTAIN Good luck!! Bonus 1: What finishes in spots: 6 Hot Pursuit 8 The Age of Adeline 9 Paul Blart: Mall Cop 12 Woman in Gold 3000 each and a bonus of 3000 if all four correct. Bonus 2: What will PP2 and Tomorrowland combine to make for the 4 day? 5000 89,984,276 Bonus 3: What will Age of Adaline make on Saturday? 5000 1,002,438

How smart do I look?

Part of the joke is that 1.5 billion can't really be considered meh. I also once called TDKR the first 450 million dollar disappointment. It's still a fantastic amount of money, but relative to expectations... Expectations have an emotional component. When people make a prediction, that's a degree of personal investment. we saw people pushing for 600m DOM, 1.8b WW or more. I think some people were saying above Titanic in both DOM and WW grosses including its 3D re-release. Once they've gone that far, what AoU is doing is going to feel like a profound disappointment. I was considerably less bullish. While I did let my expectations get a bit higher just prior to release, even then I was thinking an opening a bit below the first, a DOM total in the low 500s, and a WW total just a bit above the first (mostly thanks to China & Korea expanding.) Those were fairly conservative expectations and it's going to fail to reach all of them. I'm not disappointed in the performance, but I am at least mildly surprised. There was a lot more that AoU could have done and really didn't. So, yeah. It's a bit meh. But it's still also a really successful run. A box office performance can be fantastic in a vacuum and disappointing when you consider all the factors in play.

I think it's more relative to expectations. In abstract, it's a solid gross, but compared to TA1 or F7 it's just kinda meh. Like the quality of the film, really. It's 1.5 billion dollars of meh. Do studios still get a larger percentage of the gross on opening weekend than later weekends? I seem to remember that huge openings were better for them than long legs. There's typically one every year. Godzilla. STID. Battleship, PotC: OST. It's a pretty common weekend to try and drop blockbuster potentials, because the holiday means a softer second weekend drop.

Not sure why I'm on the list twice, there. I predicted 518m. Was the 380m someone else?

What will have the best total? Inside Out

PP2 probably played broader. Smaller theaters getting stronger numbers and all.

Woo! Seattle represent! (Pac Place is my most local theater. Thornton's actually where I saw FR, though.)

It's an American cartoon and media franchise that was originally developed by taking three unrelated anime series (Super Dimension Fortress Macross, Super Dimension Cavalry Southern Cross, and Genesis Climber Mospeada) and constructing a single ongoing narrative between them. Generally speaking whenever anyone talks about Robotech, they're probably talking about the first season which is largely made up of the Macross saga. Presumably that's what they're going to make the movie out of. (It gets more confusing when you realize that Macross itself has a very long and ongoing continuity which doesn't agree with Robotech at all. And there are some tremendously involved and annoying rights issues because of Robotech that have prevented any of it from showing up in the US since Macross Plus in the mid-90s.)

Frozen was about 10.3 or so? It's really interesting how it, AoU, and Interstellar all had really different runs but ended up in the same ballpark for admissions.

Why do people keep calling the Mad Max films niche. The second and third were the 31st and 24th highest grossing films in their respective years. That's a pretty good sized hit and equates to something around 100-130m in today's environment. That's not niche. Saying that they're niche is saying that Denzel Washington is a niche actor. The Equalizer was the 31st biggest film of last year. 2 Guns was the 45th biggest film of 2013 Safe House and Flight were the 25th and 33rd biggest films of 2012

What women don't like it?

Where did I... Oh, good.

Yes, but unlike the UK the US doesn't have bank holidays and the winter and spring breaks are shorter. Overall students attend school for about the same number of days each year.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/act-four/wp/2015/05/14/how-hollywood-stays-white-and-male/

It probably will hit it. I don't think it's gotten far enough to enter second run theaters, yet.

It should. It may get there over Memorial Day weekend, in fact. But even if not, probably by mid-June at the latest. It still hasn't had the dollar theater release yet, which should give it at least a modest boost.

Probably not in any recognizable way. While possibly disappointing, the movie is still making tons of money and forthcoming MCU films probably won't touch it until Infinity War. If there's a change, it may be more in the belt-tightening department. Up until now, Marvel's been so strong that anything they've done has basically been unquestionable. This is possibly the first stumble compared to expectations. So they could do some stuff to control costs. From who kowhite has indicated the true budget for this was north of 300m. You may see them try to avoid that happening again.

Phenomenal.