edroger3

Unfortunately, domestic race is slowing down a lot.

Prediction is based on a similar movie chosen by me, (right or wrong) so the comparaison between leading actors give a negative effect for Maleficent. (by me)Excuse me but i dislike both Fanning sisters. As children actress and as joung adult actress.However, you are right, I had not explained it well, so i added a disclaimer in my post.

Disclaimer: prediction is based on similar movie chosen by me. Differences are in comparison between the two movies, not absolute guests.Similar: Oz TGaP 235 dom + 260 osKey differencesDisney's "Frozen effect" +10%Jolie boost +20% dom +35% osLesser knows characters -10% (os only)Too much dark for kids -5%No James Franco -10%Supporting role actress - 5%Elle Fanning dislike -5%Maleficent Dom 260 Os 290Other: Disney marketing effect is unpredictable: lacking (like Tangled) -10% or standard + 0% or good + 10% or masterpiece (like Frozen) + 25%I think good, so have a Final prediction to 285 dom and 325 os total 610 ww

Researchs tells that In Marvel Cinematic Universe, the characters/actors duo which mostly increases interest in movies only with their presence in cast are Tony Stark/Robert Downey Jr, Loki/Tom Hiddleston and Natasha Romanoff/Scarlett Johansson. So, in Captain America 2, Scarlett in a support role balance the weakness in appeal for moviegoers of leading actor Chris Evans. ...However we like to see her anyway...

Captain America: The First Avenger 370M$ WW +10% Marvel Universe WOM effect + 15% sequel boost + 15% Scarlett extraboost + 5% inflation = 570M$ for The Winter Soldier. (250dom + 320os).

Boxfficemojo update WW gross for Frozen: now OS is at 635,1M$, WW is at 1031,8M$ and it ranks#13 surpassing Star Wars TPM and Jurassic Park. TS3 is at -31,3M$

‘Frozen’ Sells 3.2 Million DVD, Blu-ray Discs in One DayVariety.com report that the DVD and Blu-Ray release of Frozen, based on pre-sales alone, is already the best selling animated and kid's title ever (since 2001) on Amazon.com.

Overseas weekdays vs weekend vs full week WEEK 01 MON-THR $ 0.000.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 16.700.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 16.700.000,00 TOTAL $ 16.700.000,00 WEEK 02 MON-THR $ 8.600.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 30.600.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 39.200.000,00 TOTAL $ 55.900.000,00 WEEK 03 MON-THR $ 14.200.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 31.500.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 45.700.000,00 TOTAL $ 101.600.000,00 WEEK 04 MON-THR $ 15.900.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 35.100.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 51.000.000,00 TOTAL $ 152.600.000,00 WEEK 05 MON-THR $ 40.400.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 50.500.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 90.900.000,00 TOTAL $ 243.500.000,00 WEEK 06 MON-THR $ 46.100.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 52.500.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 98.600.000,00 TOTAL $ 342.100.000,00 WEEK 07 MON-THR $ 24.700.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 27.800.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 52.500.000,00 TOTAL $ 394.600.000,00 WEEK 08 MON-THR $ 7.300.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 24.600.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 31.900.000,00 TOTAL $ 426.500.000,00 WEEK 09 MON-THR $ 15.800.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 20.200.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 36.000.000,00 TOTAL $ 462.500.000,00 WEEK 10 MON-THR $ 17.900.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 24.000.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 41.900.000,00 TOTAL $ 504.400.000,00 WEEK 11 MON-THR $ 16.700.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 24.000.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 40.700.000,00 TOTAL $ 545.100.000,00 WEEK 12 MON-THR $ 16.400.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 18.200.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 34.600.000,00 TOTAL $ 579.700.000,00 WEEK 13 MON-THR $ 7.600.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 9.000.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 16.600.000,00 TOTAL $ 596.300.000,00 WEEK 14 MON-THR $ 8.400.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 6.800.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 15.200.000,00 TOTAL $ 611.500.000,00 WEEK 15 MON-THR $ 1.300.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 3.600.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 4.900.000,00 TOTAL $ 616.400.000,00 WEEK 16 MON-THR $ 3.400.000,00 FRI-SUN $ 10.400.000,00 FULL WEEK $ 13.800.000,00 TOTAL $ 630.200.000,00 (est.) OW TOTAL MON-THR $ 244.700.000,00 (39%) TOTAL FRI-SUN $ 385.500.000,00 (61%) DOM TOTAL MON-THR $ 135.972.000,00 (34%) TOTAL FRI-SUN $ 260.414.000,00 (66%) It's incredible the weekdays gross in 5th and 6th week

After the amazing overseas performances of DM2 and Frozen, and, in part, the success of Lego in North America, it is expected that every animated movie released could be a boxoffice hit. Nothing more wrong. Mr. P&S is cute, but have nothing of interesting for generate strong word of mouth, social network activity and multiple views, which are the key points to became a megahit, especially for an original movie.(key points that frozen exploited in an exceptional way) Someone says that the characters of Mr. P&S were not very well known out of USA: ok, it's right, but before november 2013, some of you know Princess Elsa&Anna from Arendelle? Different for Lego: widely overrated by critics in USA and UK, it's simply boring, and this is enough to explain its overseas boxoffice disaster.

What is the market share of Toho cinemas?

Italy boxoffice sunday 16 march by cinetel 1 300: L'ALBA DI UN IMPERO (300: RISE OF AN EMPIRE) USA warner bros italia s.p.a. € 371.239 adm 48.461 2 MR. PEABODY E SHERMAN (MR. PEABODY & SHERMAN) USA 20th century fox italia s.p.a. € 353.386 adm 54.755 3 ALLACCIATE LE CINTURE ITA 01 distribution € 352.421 adm 53.701 4 NEED FOR SPEED USA 01 distribution € 256.069 adm 33.559 5 47 RONIN USA universal s.r.l. € 182.017 adm 23.889 6 LEI (HER) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 172.081 adm 25.986 7 LA BELLA E LA BESTIA (LA BELLE ET LA BETE) FRA notorious pict. s.p.a. € 161.788 adm 24.111 8 SUPERCONDRIACO - RIDERE FA BENE ALLA SALUTE (SUPERCONDRIAQUE) FRA eagle pictures s.p.a. € 132.856adm 20.206 9 TARZAN DEU medusa film s.p.a. € 111.402 adm 17.438 10 12 ANNI SCHIAVO (12 YEARS A SLAVE) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 111.222 adm 16.641 Full week 10-16 march 1 300: L'ALBA DI UN IMPERO (300: RISE OF AN EMPIRE) USA warner bros italia s.p.a. € 1.964.804 adm 275.759 2 ALLACCIATE LE CINTURE ITA 01 distribution € 1.563.842 adm 264.978 3 MR. PEABODY E SHERMAN (MR. PEABODY & SHERMAN) USA 20th century fox italia s.p.a. € 811.336 adm 126.624 4 NEED FOR SPEED USA 01 distribution € 770.761 adm 100.930 5 LA BELLA E LA BESTIA (LA BELLE ET LA BETE) FRA notorious pict. s.p.a. € 751.285 adm 128.371 6 12 ANNI SCHIAVO (12 YEARS A SLAVE) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 569.616 adm 96.501 7 47 RONIN USA universal s.r.l. € 547.869 adm 71.661 8 LEI (HER) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 509.137 adm 78.487 9 SUPERCONDRIACO - RIDERE FA BENE ALLA SALUTE (SUPERCONDRIAQUE) FRA eagle pictures s.p.a. € 406.640 adm 62.244 10 UNA DONNA PER AMICA ITA warner bros italia s.p.a. € 366.909 adm 62.992 admissions overall low. New releases very poor. Animated Mr.P&S only 126K adm in four days without direct competition!

It's a perfect 10x opening weekend score. Note that It's higher than all of top 20 openings multiplier.

Mr. Peabody & Sherman disastrous opening in Italy: 811K$ 4-day weekend. Another animated flop after Lego Movie. No interest, no word of mouth: regarding animations here everyone keeps talking about Frozen.....

Italy: weekend 14-16 march: € 486.480 - total € 4.217.861. Better than expected.

According by 'Rentrak BO essential' Frozen ranks 5th in it's 17th weekend WW (12,5M$ in 27 open markets - 10,4M$ overseas) and earns more than Lego Movie (12,4M$ in 53 open markets - 4,7M$ overseas).

Italy boxoffice saturday 15 march by Cinetel 1 300: L'ALBA DI UN IMPERO (300: RISE OF AN EMPIRE) USA warner bros italia s.p.a. € 449.382 adm 57.442 2 ALLACCIATE LE CINTURE ITA 01 distribution € 391.442 adm 58.104 3 - new MR. PEABODY E SHERMAN (MR. PEABODY & SHERMAN) USA 20th century fox italia s.p.a. € 317.402 adm 48.407 4 - new NEED FOR SPEED USA 01 distribution € 295.655 adm 37.567 5 - new 47 RONIN USA universal s.r.l. € 201.974 adm 25.552 6 - new LEI (HER) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 198.899 adm 29.604 7 LA BELLA E LA BESTIA (LA BELLE ET LA BETE) FRA notorious pict. s.p.a. € 184.732 adm 26.780 8 - new SUPERCONDRIACO - RIDERE FA BENE ALLA SALUTE (SUPERCONDRIAQUE) FRA eagle pictures s.p.a. € 178.886 adm 26.418 9 12 ANNI SCHIAVO (12 YEARS A SLAVE) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 150.891 adm 21.698 10 - new MALDAMORE ITA bolero film distr. s.r.l. € 106.905 adm 15.694 the sun is shining and the weather is mild: admissions falls. 300 still #1 with 3D boost. Mr.P&S disaster will be saved by sunday?

Ti ringrazio per la precisazione. (thanks for clarification)

in your previous post it seems that MU had more admissions than Frozen. In this post, instead, it seems Frozen have done better. Or MU isn't an imported release?

italy box office friday 14 march by Cinetel 1 300: L'ALBA DI UN IMPERO (300: RISE OF AN EMPIRE) USA warner bros italia s.p.a. € 205.123 28.125 2 ALLACCIATE LE CINTURE ITA 01 distribution € 178.948 30.468 3 - new NEED FOR SPEED USA 01 distribution € 117.438 15.818 4 - new 47 RONIN USA universal s.r.l. € 88.713 11.971 5 - new MR. PEABODY E SHERMAN (MR. PEABODY & SHERMAN) USA 20th century fox italia s.p.a. € 84.126 13.971 6 LA BELLA E LA BESTIA (LA BELLE ET LA BETE) FRA notorious pict. s.p.a. € 80.300 13.756 7- new LEI (HER) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 78.283 12.896 8 12 ANNI SCHIAVO (12 YEARS A SLAVE) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 59.051 9.987 9 - newSUPERCONDRIACO - RIDERE FA BENE ALLA SALUTE (SUPERCONDRIAQUE) FRA eagle pictures s.p.a. € 56.491 9.205 10 UNA DONNA PER AMICA ITA warner bros italia s.p.a. € 39.832 7.037 after 'The Lego Movie', 'Mr. P&S' could be another animated flop, we will see sat and sun.

is safe (if screendaily says the truth) another 5M WW in weekdays = 1,015 b$ before japan start 1,015 b$ + another about 10m$ in other location at the end of the run = about 1,025 b$ then it take only about 40/45m$ in japan to reach top ten WW

yes, screendaily reports official data provided by studios (or at least we hope so) every friday

screendaily.com says: Frozen stands at $619.5m through WDSMPI and debuts in its final market of Japan.

italy box office thursday 13 march by Cinetel 1 300: L'ALBA DI UN IMPERO (300: RISE OF AN EMPIRE) USA warner bros italia s.p.a. € 134.344 adm 19.424 2 ALLACCIATE LE CINTURE ITA 01 distribution € 123.902 adm 22.263 3 - NEW NEED FOR SPEED USA 01 distribution € 75.343 adm 10.598 4 - NEW 47 RONIN USA universal s.r.l. € 56.357 adm 7.833 5 - NEW LEI (HER) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 48.017 adm 8.159 6 LA BELLA E LA BESTIA (LA BELLE ET LA BETE) FRA notorious pict. s.p.a. € 45.845 adm 8.373 7 - NEW MR. PEABODY E SHERMAN (MR. PEABODY & SHERMAN) USA 20th century fox italia s.p.a. € 36.963 adm 6.489 8 12 ANNI SCHIAVO (12 YEARS A SLAVE) USA bim distrib. s.r.l. € 33.134 adm 6.134 9 - NEW SUPERCONDRIACO - RIDERE FA BENE ALLA SALUTE (SUPERCONDRIAQUE) FRA eagle pictures s.p.a. € 27.670 adm 4.755 10 - NEW MALDAMORE ITA bolero film distr. s.r.l. € 20.920 adm 3.573 300 leads for the 8th day in a row six new releases all out of first two spots. daily boxoffice very poor due to strong competition of some sport events

www.cinetel.it >'i nostri servizi' > 'report pubblici'only top ten of last day, last week, calendar year and seasonal (01-08/31-07) is avaliable for free.opening day of new releases is thursday.

BOM totally failed domestic frozen's forecast (180m vs estimated 405/410m). so my final prediction for japan (according to BOM) is less than 50m.