edroger3

This means that Frozen audience should be at least a 40% of adult moviegoers (probably female) do not go to the movies to accompany their childrens or nieces or lil sisters, but simply because they like Frozen. If so, (audience isn't almost entirely composed by kids like Doraemon), then post-holidays decrease could be less than expected.

Why Doreamon makes only 10% of daily admissions from 14.30 to 22.00?

Divergent starts slow in Italy, only 101k euros and 16300 adm in opening day, despite a massive marketing campaign and a big number of screens.

Frozen boxoffice run is totally unprecedented.

Japan vs South Korea Weekend (3-days vs 2-days) South Korea Japan Diff % Week 1 $ 7.622.257 $7.531.463 - 1,19% Week 2 $ 9.061.559 $8.530.751 - 5,86% Week 3 $12.829.792 $8.569.604 -33,21% Week 4 $ 8.926.334 Week 5 $ 5.817.992 Week 6 $ 2.894.684 Week 7 $ 1.741.385 Week 8 $ 747.960 Week 9 $ 296.489 Full Week South Korea Japan Diff % Week 1 $ 8.787.964 $ 9.731.697 10,74% Week 2 $22.591.208 $29.535.712 30,74% Week 3 $44.479.362 $51.579.593 15,96% Week 4 $58.035.620 Week 5 $66.994.336 Week 6 $71.978.926 Week 7 $75.110.539 Week 8 $76.250.734 Week 9 $76.695.633

So today #9 WW.

Japan daily grosses Adm Toho Adm Total Gross diff-1w diff-2w total 1.037.832 5.313.708 $62.313.273 fri 48.769 242.138 $ 2.170.234 sat 59.121 293.536 $ 3.619.296 sun 64.414 319.816 $ 3.941.726 mon 19.967 99.136 $ 1.243.167 tue 21.651 107.497 $ 1.348.015 wed 43.281 214.890 $ 2.694.723 thr 26.909 133.603 $ 1.675.384 fri 69.267 343.911 $ 4.312.640 42,03% sat 67.663 335.947 $ 4.242.336 14,45% sun 68.400 339.606 $ 4.288.545 6,19% mon 28.363 152.026 $ 1.702.688 42,05% tue 33.679 180.519 $ 2.021.818 55,55% wed 83.675 448.498 $ 5.023.178 93,33% thr 40.801 218.693 $ 2.449.366 51,63% fri 37.236 199.585 $ 2.235.352 - 46,24% - 17,57% sat 58.906 292.174 $ 3.608.346 - 12,94% - 0,46% sun 80.450 399.032 $ 4.967.948 17,62% 24,77% mon 40.807 218.726 $ 2.447.539 43,87% 120,63% tue 69.958 374.975 $ 3.847.690 107,72% 248,82% wed 74.515 399.400 $ 4.473.284 - 10,95% 85,86%

Unfortunately, I'm beginning to think that Maleficent could be the 2014's 'Lone Ranger'. A 'Sleeping Beauty' reboot based on villain's point of view now seems to me a silly idea: people is really interested to know how is born 'the mistress of all evil'? or a new perspective for Aurora character? (novaday the nickname 'sleeping beauty' is often understood in a negative sense). I hope I'm wrong.

IMHO Maleficent, for Disney, can be the next Lone Ranger. Too dark and scary for 'like Frozen' audience, I think that Maleficent have only one similarity with Frozen: production budget.

TF4 may have a strong increase only in China, in the rest of world, included North America, I think there will be a decrease from 3rd movie. So we could see how big will be China boost. My prediction is 250M$ China, 800M$ OS, 300M$ DOM,1100M$ WW and #1 2014.

Last wed: Japan update by 14 30Tohotoday 46478 -6% last wed (the biggest toho day). Could be a +25M$ week.

It needs another 6M$ in next two days, less than mon/tue gross. Should be easy.

Adm Toho Adm Total Gross D-1W D-2W tot 963.317 4.914.307 $57.892.129 fri 48.769 242.138 $ 2.170.234 sat 59.121 293.536 $ 3.619.296 sun 64.414 319.816 $ 3.941.726 mon 19.967 99.136 $ 1.243.167 tue 21.651 107.497 $ 1.348.015 wed 43.281 214.890 $ 2.694.723 thr 26.909 133.603 $ 1.675.384 fri 69.267 343.911 $ 4.312.640 42% sat 67.663 335.947 $ 4.242.336 14% sun 68.400 339.606 $ 4.288.545 6% mon 28.363 152.026 $ 1.702.688 42% tue 33.679 180.519 $ 2.021.818 56% wed 83.675 448.498 $ 5.023.178 93% thr 40.801 218.693 $ 2.449.366 52% fri 37.236 199.585 $ 2.235.352 -46% -18% sat 58.906 292.174 $ 3.646.329 -13% 0% sun 80.450 399.032 $ 4.979.919 18% 25% mon 40.807 218.726 $ 2.449.726 44% 121% tue 69.958 374.975 $ 3.847.690 108% 249%

Italian cinema in history Year Tickets sold 1955 - 819.000.000 1960 - 745.000.000 1965 - 663.000.000 1975 - 514.000.000 1980 - 242.000.000 1985 - 123.000.000 1990 - 91.000.000 1996 - 96.000.000 2001 - 107.000.000 2005 - 107.000.000 2013 - 107.000.000 Year - Screens 1955 - 10.570 1960 - 10.393 1970 - 10.849 1980 - 7.949 1990 - 2.276 1998 - 2.619 2000 - 2.948 2004 - 3.610 2006 - 3.850

Top ten admission for animation movies 1980-2012 (Official data by SIAE) 8.640.000 – THE LION KING 1994 7.194.000 - ALADDIN 1993 5.957.000 - BEAUTY AND THE BEAST 1992 4.893.000 – HUNCHBACK OF NOTRE DAME 1996 4.508.000 - MADAGASCAR 2 2008 4.392.000 – FINDING NEMO 2003 4.266.000 – ICE AGE 3 2009 4.076.000 - MADAGASCAR 2005 4.069.000 - SHREK 2 2004 4.024.000 - TARZAN (Disney) 1999 Top ten admission for other USA movies 1980-2012 (Official data by SIAE) 13.707.000 - TITANIC 1997 10.298.000 - E.T 1982 7.518.000 - AVATAR 2010 7.338.000 - JURASSIC PARK 1993 6.847.000 - RAMBO 2 1985 6.772.000 – WHO FRAMED ROGER RABBIT 1988 6.565.000 - FLASHDANCE 1983 6.404.000 - RAMBO 1982 6.009.000 - RAIN MAN 1988 5.843.000 - ROCKY IV 1985 Top ten admission for Italian movies 1980-2012 (Official data by SIAE) 10.244.000 - LA VITA E' BELLA (Life is beautiful)1997 9.819.000 - IL BISBETICO DOMATO 1980 9.068.000 - INNAMORATO PAZZO 1981 8.110.000 - IL CICLONE 1996 7.826.000 - IL MOSTRO 1994 7.510.000 - FUOCHI D'ARTIFICIO 1997 6.855.000 - CHIEDIMI SE SONO FELICE 2000 6.830.000 - CHE BELLA GIORNATA 2011 6.779.000 - RICOMINCIO DA TRE 1980 6.145.000 - COSI' E' LA VITA 1998 In 2013 is expected only one new entry, italian movie Sole a Catinelle with near 8,5M admissions. SIAE numbers are different by Cinetel numbers: Cinetel database is updated every day but refers to about 90% of total screens, while SIAE had 100% of screens and local projection data, but done a public report only at the end of the year.

Total Season 2013/2014 (01 august 2013 - 31 march 2014) Top 10 1 SOLE A CATINELLE ITA € 51.936.318 adm 8.022.153 2 FROZEN - 3D - IL REGNO DI GHIACCIO (FROZEN) USA € 19.363.683 adm 2.909.103 3 CATTIVISSIMO ME 2 (DESPICABLE ME 2) USA € 15.962.368 adm 2.399.528 4 LO HOBBIT: LA DESOLAZIONE DI SMAUG (THE HOBBIT: THE DESOLATION OF SMAUG) NZL € 12.792.022 adm 1.680.893 5 UN BOSS IN SALOTTO ITA € 12.291.596 adm 1.883.925 6 THE WOLF OF WALL STREET USA € 11.875.833 adm 1.821.683 7 COLPI DI FORTUNA ITA € 10.953.230 adm 1.606.010 8 SOTTO UNA BUONA STELLA ITA € 10.218.301 adm 1.629.659 9 MONSTERS UNIVERSITY - 3D USA € 9.072.408 adm 1.422.316 10 UN FANTASTICO VIA VAI ITA € 9.054.440 adm 1.353.001

In my country Shibas are very rare and almost nothing known, while Akitas have enjoyed the popularity of 'Hachiko' movie, but unfortunately are very expensive.

We don't know distribution and marketing costs. I think they are much more, and outside Usa and UK, more than studio revenues (according to Rentrak at least 50 markets opened, average gross 1,5M$, average studio revenues 800K$ for each one!)

Finding Nemo numbers are inflated by 3D re-release. I don't think Dory will reach1b. Toy Story should be comes to the end. The only animated franchise that have a possible good developement is Desplicable Me with Minions spin off or a new story based on Gru family. If there are no surprises, Frozen can be beaten only by Frozen 2.

Actually I like Japan for two reasons: Frozen boxoffice run and Yuko, my wonderful Akita Inu dog.

Certainly Disney did not expect 16 weeks in a row in top ten, but could not postpone the dvd release date due the astronomical number of presales.

Italy boxoffice 2014 Jan-Mar Top Ten 1 UN BOSS IN SALOTTO ITA warner bros italia s.p.a. € 12.291.596 adm 1.883.925 2 THE WOLF OF WALL STREET USA 01 distribution € 11.875.361 adm 1.821.592 3 SOTTO UNA BUONA STELLA ITA filmauro/universal € 10.217.099 adm 1.629.419 4 TUTTA COLPA DI FREUD ITA medusa film s.p.a. € 7.851.426 adm 1.260.483 5 FROZEN - IL REGNO DI GHIACCIO (FROZEN) USA walt disney s.m.p. italia € 7.578.294 adm 1.173.182 6 BELLE & SEBASTIEN FRA notorious pict. s.p.a. € 6.988.657 adm 1.152.586 7 300: L'ALBA DI UN IMPERO (300: RISE OF AN EMPIRE) USA warner bros italia s.p.a. € 5.782.529 adm 796.298 8 IL CAPITALE UMANO ITA 01 distribution € 5.555.680 adm 900.308 9 CAPITAN HARLOCK (SPACE PIRATE: CAPTAIN HARLOCK) JPN lucky red distrib. € 5.102.748 adm 620.356 10 THE BUTLER - UN MAGGIORDOMO ALLA CASA BIANCA USA videa-cde s.p.a. € 5.093.405 adm 812.689 Four Italian movies, six foreign movies. Big numbers for Wolf. Surprieses Belle & Sebastien, The Butler and Captain Harlock (2nd ranking animated, better than Lego and Mr Peabody). 300 Roae the only 2014 Hollywood blockbuster. Frozen actually is biggest animated in calendar 2014 and the only 2013 release in top ten.

Frozen grosses 398,4M$ DOM after a poor 660K full week. Will achieve 400M$? Would be a disappointment if does not make it.

Italy boxoffice full week 24-30 march 1 CAPTAIN AMERICA - THE WINTER SOLDIER USA € 2.951.633 adm 410.683 2 AMICI COME NOI ITA € 986.172 adm 173.794 3 STORIA DI UNA LADRA DI LIBRI (THE BOOK THIEF) USA € 949.481 adm 150.963 4 MR. PEABODY E SHERMAN (MR. PEABODY & SHERMAN) USA € 542.872 adm 93.447 5 LEI (HER) USA € 390.215 adm 66.547 6 NON BUTTIAMOCI GIU' (A LONG WAY DOWN) GBR € 387.831 adm 67.133 7 300: L'ALBA DI UN IMPERO (300: RISE OF AN EMPIRE)USA € 374.587 adm 60.188 8 ALLACCIATE LE CINTURE ITA € 335.497 adm 57.956 9 YVES SAINT LAURENT FRA € 260.092 adm 45.994 10 QUANDO C'ERA BERLINGUER ITA € 213.195 adm 33.769 Captain America 2 admissions -23% of Thor 2.

Interstellar is sure for me. Inception was one of the highest grossing original release of past years. Nolan brothers builds a very strong fanbase all around the world. Leading actor is the oscar winner.I agree for Hobbit (the last Tolkien movie), but not for Trasformers, cast appeal is less important in this franchise than for example for Pirates of Caribbean. Good or bad marketing is the point.Hunger games could be have a run like Twilight, strong increase for second movie, small increase (or no increase) for 3rd and 4rt and new increase for the final movie. So billion is for Mockingjai 2.