Look it's either this movie wins or No Way Home the Snyder Cut. The former will spread the word of a wholesome family classic, the other will cause the universe to explode. It's your choice.
I mean the Emmy Awards did bounce back from the 2020 ceremony. The bigger issue here is more that the nominees, and specifically the winners like Queen's Gambit and The Crown, were some of the most popular and discussed shows ever for that year. Like not even on Twitter, but in general out in the wild. And for the Oscars for this year, that's not really the case at all.
That's why I've been saying that the Academy will probably just give up and give all the Best Picture nominees next year to Avatar 2 and Lightyear and Doctor Strange 2, etc. just to save the ratings, even if it kills their credibility