DAJK

Really? Damn, must really be overperforming locally then

My screening just ended. Without spoilers, this is absolutely the Infinity War of this decade. Beyond the Spiderverse could totally do 200M opening after this.

If this comes at 17.5-18 I don’t think any of us should be disappointed. That’s still a fantastic number, the movie is going to be 2/3’s of its predecessor’s DOM total by the end of its OW which is incredible. Are my comps (Pacific NW/British Columbia) pointing to 20M+? Sure, but movies can overperform or underperform regionally. The beauty of the tracking thread is that each individual tracker’s data should be taken as simply one data point that paints a larger picture.

Afternoon (2-4PM) walkups have been insane on the WC. Seriously guys, this is the breakout of the summer. 19-21M. This is going over 400M DOM.

It’s not just the US guys. Spiderverse is selling like crazy in Canada too, especially west coast presales. Honestly wouldn’t be shocked at all if this thing did 18-20M+ previews. This really is Gen Z’s Incredibles 2 I’m starting to think.

Well, not much of a coincidence that I became a manager sometime after, and then hired on directly as a manager at a different location/company after I moved for school.

This is true. Really was the moment that showed me that BOT was the most accurate box office tracking on the internet. And that was 6 years ago, before our methods were refined.

So happy The Meg 2 has some competition for film of the summer.

Spiderverse is REALLY picking up around here. At this point, as long as it doesn't play like the most frontloaded MCU movies, I don't see how this opens under 100M.

The Barbie/Oppenheimer weekend thread will be good/fun, especially if both movies break out. It’s Twitter/TikTok that I’m worried about; people have been vicious about these movies on those platforms.

The point is that it would have expanded the audience beyond what the movie was already targeted for.

Saw Mermaid last night. Honestly didn't really find anything special about it, but also didn't find much "wrong" with it either. The performances were fine, standouts probably McCarthy and Diggs. What has frustrated me about these remakes is that the added runtime doesn't expand the world or refine the storytelling, but rather just pads the runtime. Too many instances of bad writing in this that it was frustrating. That being said though, it was "serviceable" but nowhere near the live-action remake peaks of Jungle Book, Aladdin, BatB, Cinderella, Cruella imo.

Little Mermaid is reminding me quite a bit of Oz the Great and Powerful. If I remember correctly, that opened to 69M OS. Domestic is stronger, but WOM doesn’t seem as strong as Aladdin. Expecting 315M DOM, 570M WW.

Yea this thread sucks.

Hearing @Blankments story, it is kinda crazy to me to think about all these movies that we talk about each week come and go, but at the end of the day, many of these will be the movies that an entire generation of kids grow up with. It’s like when I was teaching last month and I used Inside Out and Coco as examples, and the kids would say things like “I grew up with that movie!”

Green

Just want to throw this in to see how it holds up tomorrow morning, but numbers I'm looking at in Canada, accounting for the fact that this is a film that'll perform far better in the US than it will here, I'm going with 11.1M previews.

Yea TLM isn't really connecting here today the way I think a 100M+ opener should be. Oh well, it's going to be very weekend-heavy, and US-heavy.

Crazy looking back and seeing how massive Beauty and the Beast was. Like wow, Disney’s marketing machine was on fire for that film.

Suicide Squad?

The fact that Aladdin is rotten while Mulan is fresh is baffling to me. They aren’t even CLOSE in terms of quality.

“Snyder fans” make up far less of the general audience than niche internet circles like us think.

Guys, Eric is only human, with other things going on other than tracking box office sales Let's just be grateful that they spend as much time as they do providing us with numbers.

I really think Little Mermaid is going to have a high Thursday-Weekend ratio. Friday sales are my locals are quadruple Thursday sales. And Saturday is almost just as strong as Friday.

I don't see this being a massive hit, but damn does it look good! Very excited for this, I could really see it sweeping awards nominations this year. I gotta agree with @Prince Eric though, sometimes it's about the flashy and glamorous, which is unfortunate, but it's the way box office works sometimes.