misafeco

Option A - Inside Out

I don't think TGD can catch IO in Hungary, the marketing is nonexistent. Opens on Dec 3th here.

60M 5-day x 3.8. Frozen was around 5-day OW x 4.28.

It'll be hard for both, but not impossible. Spectre will lose most of it's theaters by the end of December. I think TGD can make 220-230M with slightly worse legs than Frozen.

Alright, i can offer you that bet again.

Frozen's 2nd weekend was 31M. I dount TGD will gross anywhere near that. 25M is a better target. -50% from 3-day weekend.

You're saying this, but you weren't brave enough to take my 'MJ2 over 2.76 multi' bet. Because you know exactly that MJ2's legs will be great.

MJ1 made more than 55M after that point. Almost 20% of it's final gross.

It was on it's 3rd weekend. I made a club for it and won.

It's in $, right? 14.8M for MJ2 would be great. Better than MJ1's Wednesday despite much bigger competition. 80M+ 5-day. 10.7M for TGD is also way better than the early estimate. 65-70M 5-day has a good chance with this number. Creed went down, but it's still decent.

Part 1: 1. Will The Good Dinosaur have a 3 day Weekend above $40M? Yes 2. Will The Good Dinosaur have a 3 day Weekend above $50M? 3000 No 3. Will The Good Dinosaur have a 3 day Weekend above $60M? No 4. Will Creed and Frankenstein's combined OW be higher than Good Dinosaur's Combined Friday and Saturday? No 5. Will Creed's OW be double that of Frankenstein's? Yes 6. Will the top 3 New entries enter the charts at 1st, 3rd and 4th respectively? 2000 No 7. Will The Danish Girl have a PTA above $20,000? Yes 8. Will Spectre finish above Peanuts? 2000 Yes 9. Will at least 2 films have a Friday increase of at least 185%? No 10. Will the Martian stay above Spotlight? No 11. Will The Secret in their eye's Sunday stay above $1M? Yes 12. Will Mockingjay 2 overtake Spectre's Total gross by the end of the weekend? 2000 Yes 13. Will Bridge of Spies' PTA stay above $1000 Yes 14. Name any film in the top 15 that drops less than 45% (or choose none). 3000 Spotlight 15. Will Goosebumps drop more than 55%? No 16. Will the combined total Grosses of the three highest new entries by Sunday exceed MJ2's OW total? 2000 Yes 17. Will Pan drop less than 30%? Yes 18. Will we all do better for once this weekend? YES 12/18 2000 points 13/18 3000 points 14/18 4000 points 15/18 6000 points 16/18 8000 points 17/18 10000 points 18/18 15000 points Part 2 1. What will be Good Dinosaur's Total by end of Sunday? (5000) 68.2M 2. What will Creed's Saturday gross be? (5000) 10.1M 3. What will be the difference in weekend gross between Frankenstein and Peanuts? (5000) 5.1M Part 3 3. Creed 5. Peanuts 8. The Sectre in their Eyes 10. Love The Coopers 12. Bridge of Spies 3/5 3000 4/5 6000 5/5 10000

Lol, this sounds like a fresh review: Matthew Lickona San Diego Reader November 25, 2015 If the story sounds simple, that's because it is. The complexity here is tonal - zig-zagging from silly to scary - and visual: a super-realistic depiction of nature... contrasted with the foam-rubber, glass-eyed vulnerability of our hero. Full Review | Original Score: 2/5

Mockingjay should make 75M 5-day that would be great.

That TGD number is very bad. Only 3M higher than Penguins of Madagascar's Wed. It needs to go up.

It has better multiplier at this point and i don't think the daily gross will fall below 0.84xMJ1 before SW7.

Unbroken was PG-13? Wow.

MJ2/MJ1 Weekend: 0.842 Monday: 0.951 Tuesday: 0.936 If Part 2 can make 90% of MJ1 from this point, it'll finish with 297M. Unless SW7 hits it hard, MJ2 should make at least 285-290M.

Also: I bet Mockingjay Part 2 makes more than Creed this weekend (both 3-day and 5-day). 100 points, 2 people. I bet Mockingjay Part 2's 3-day weekend drop is better than Part 1's 3-day weekend drop. 100 points, 2 people. I bet The Good Dinosaur makes less than Frozen opening day (wide), 3-day and 5-day. 100 points, 2 people.

I hope it'll be a success. 270M DOM/700M WW is my prediction.

One more person can take this bet.

Sun-Mon drop is not that much better than the earier films drops, but the Sunday drop was better than CF or MJ1 too. Weekend/Monday: HG: 14.1 CF: 12.8 MJ1: 13.6 MJ2: 12.0 CF's Monday was bigger because of the weekend sellouts, but the Tuesday bump was smaller. If MJ2 can achieve an increase on Tuesday similar to MJ1, the early legs will be better. Late legs are a different story, we'll see how much it can make against Star Wars. Now it's behind MJ1 by almost 20M, so another 17M and it falls under 300M by the end.

I thought they handled Coin well. Her character is expanded from the book with more scenes. We already knew that she wasn't afraid to sacrifice someone if that helps winning the war. We knew from Part 1 that she is cold and manipulative. We knew that she sent Peeta after them while he wasn't stable enough. There is a conversation between Boggs and Katniss when they talk about why would Coin do this. The parachutes with Prim's death and the final Hunger Games voting were the final nail in the coffin.

Examples? Big movie with max 2.8 multi followed with sequel which dropped around 20% or more on OW and finished with worse legs. I know, it's specific, but these are key elements imo.

Maybe the audience is smart enough to figure it out? The Katniss vote is the same. Some people didn't get why she said 'Yes', but when i read the book it was clear for me. I knew in that moment that she'll shoot Coin instead of Snow (and it was even more clear in the movie).