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POTUS 2020

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Posts posted by POTUS 2020

  1. 11 hours ago, JjFit said:

    This post didn’t age well...

     

    January 20th can’t come soon enough.

     

    On 11/5/2020 at 11:32 PM, dudalb said:

    This is Thrusday morning;

    You might want to give that a second look.....

    it aint over til.....

    Image

    If you follow the vote tally like you follow BO you would see the anomalies

    many anomalies

    We will win in court

    • ...wtf 1
  2. On 3/10/2020 at 3:07 AM, charlie Jatinder said:

    So 70% cases recovered already. Very brave of China to shut its entire operation for a disease one in 20,000. Anyways, since 70% cases have recovered, I expect them to rise at 90% in Week. We could see China back on track by April quite easily.

     

     

    On 3/10/2020 at 3:07 AM, charlie Jatinder said:

    So 70% cases recovered already. Very brave of China to shut its entire operation for a disease one in 20,000. Anyways, since 70% cases have recovered, I expect them to rise at 90% in Week. We could see China back on track by April quite easily.

    Those numbers are way low. 

    Italy will show the true numbers and the severity.

     

    And then the second wave hits.

    Dont mean to be a bummer but,

    There's always a second wave

    And usually bigger because the first seamed like a false alarm and a less or longer delayed precautipn occurs.

    History just cant help repeating itself.

    Sheeple  baa baa

     

     

     

     

  3. On 3/13/2020 at 11:50 PM, ChipDerby said:

    So... I don't know how @POTUS 2020 does the excel prediction thing. So if someone would like to show me how, I can't post it!

     

    But we had a surprisingly decent amount of predictions this week. We'll see how the next few months go.

    I stopped after missing a few. Not to critcise andy, im sure he is busy, but with being published late in the last few months, it has dropped the players incuding myself.

    We were at 30-40 for a long time

    Maybe ill start up again

    • Like 1
    • Sad 1
  4. On 3/13/2020 at 11:50 PM, ChipDerby said:

    So... I don't know how @POTUS 2020 does the excel prediction thing. So if someone would like to show me how, I can't post it!

     

    But we had a surprisingly decent amount of predictions this week. We'll see how the next few months go.

     

    On 3/14/2020 at 7:04 AM, Arendelle Legion said:

    I’ve got a medium level of spreadsheet competency, happy to try to help.

    Derby page: Weekly Scores: Current week: click xcel logo:. Open. copy first 3 columns of picks. Not inc title

     

    1. Click on a prior link

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ab3hsLbx8w6977GEJw7Z_RaiJuNCk50Weirj-gao-Yc/edit?usp=drivesdk

    2. Menu: Share-copy: Make a copy: Retitle for current date.

    Paste in the first cell under title of the first column

    Delete old picks at the bottom if there were more players in the prior week.

    The prediction % column auto populates.

    The other 4 columns. DHD Prob Studio and actual are manual. Delete data. Add daily by copying name and prediction%. Pasting data only and sorting

    Or copying the auto sort columns on on the second page.  Tab at bottom. "Ordered automatically". Then pasting under the DHD

     

     

    • Like 2
  5. Just saw this

    https://www.thestar.com.my/news/world/2020/02/23/south-korea-to-raise-disease-alert-level-to-highest-as-coronavirus-cases-climb

     

    Highest alert implemented.  I assume they close theaters with that statement

     

     

    South Korea's Yonhap News Agency said the alert level also enables the government to forcibly prevent public activities and order the temporary closure of schools.

     

     I bought 1 month's supply of food.  Going to the store to buy another month.

    I suggest you do the same

    I heard about shelf clearing in Taiwan, Hong Kong and now SK.

    In the 10 towns in Italy they closed all shops including supermarkets and they aren't allowed to drive out of the towns. Not sure what people that keep little food in the house are supposed to do.  Stock up now

  6. On 2/22/2020 at 10:10 AM, danhtruong5 said:

    22/02/2020

    8AM update: 346 people

    4PM update: 433 people

     

    602 now

    1 hour ago, imbruglia said:

    people are really overreacting tho. lol

    the media is doing most, report little everything as breaking news.

    everyone is panicking.

    20% of infected end up in ICU struggling to breathe as if they are drowning.  no such thing as an overreaction to that.

    this thing is for real and may be mutating to be deadly like sars with reports out of iran.

    At this rate SK theaters will closed within a week.  Italy locking down 10 town with 50k people total. All businesses including theaters shut down there.  Cases in Milan and Turan as well.  Hard to contain.  

    I think spring BO in SK, Japan, Europe and elsewhere is likely to be gone

     

    • Like 1
  7. On 2/18/2020 at 10:49 AM, Olive said:

    situations outside hubei are under control now, new diagnosed cases less than 100 per day now, several province zero increase last few days,

    I think Cinemas will be back as early as April.

    Like BO, you are low end and I am high end.

    I say $300m, you say $200m on some movies.

    I said 3 months and you now say 2 for theaters to open. 😃

    Just announced, Hubei factory restart delayed until March 10th. They say its subsiding but extended shut down by 17 days. 

    SARS came in 3 waves. 2nd and 3rd wave came after loosening restrictions and and didnt die off until the summer heat. I dont think theaters open until after factories open and a second wave is not seen coming for a couple of months.

    We may have to wait for summer heat for all things clear.

    South Korea is rapidly increasing. They are asking people to stay home in some cities. Japan is right behind SK. 

    BO may be gone for several months in both countries as well. We'll know within 10 days.

     

    • Like 5
    • Sad 1
  8. 1 hour ago, stephanos13 said:

    Disaster for Hollywood.

    HLWD gets just 25% of CBO rev.  

    FF9 will take the biggest (delayed) hit, $100m.  Other big films will miss out or get later just $25-50m.

    21 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

    Bruh these things are not needed to be said with every post. Of course the most important thing is about the people.

     

    My comment is about box office only. Come on dude...

    True.

    Its a BO forum. 

    People keep saying its about the tragedy.

    Mods keep saying stay on topic.

     

    • Like 2
    • Haha 1
  9. 52 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

    Now that @Madhuvan has brought it up. I do wonder what it's going to be for the rest of the year even after cinemas open up. Could even an October release like Venom 2 be affected (causing it to do less than half of the first film in China)?

    July censorship left kept moviegoers on the sidelines.  Looked like the year would be down 5%.  But then NZ in August and Oct holiday blew up.  $1b+ in BO got postponed for CNY. That money will show up in months to come. This will take weeks to subside, It may be be a slow road back in spring but i see record DBF and records for summer months coming. Should be fine by Oct unless this challenges 1918

    • Like 1
  10. 18 minutes ago, john2000 said:

    why ? black widow will be released in china same as mulan , fast 9 too, the only question is when 

    At least 6 weeks of movies will be pushed. and the first month back will be cautious and doubtful the studios will release the big ones. It will be a very busy summer.  Record summer. Huge

    • Like 1
  11. 1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:

    And so it begins.

     

    Yikes, too many people in too small a land mass

    Slightly larger number today but smaller percentage.  162 of 170 death are in Hubei.  Makes me wonder if the lag is more than 3 days since very few have passed elsewhere.  its 6.1% of 3 days ago.  13% of 5 days ago.

    One idiot expert thought it to be 3%, which would be the percentage of the prior day.  Most are not dying within 24 hours, obvious to me since no one has died in other countries in the week since its been discovered and now up to 110, was 44 three days ago, and again zero deaths.

    Corona Total Inf Count Daily Count Daily % Inc 2 day % Inc Deaths % of Inf 3 days ago Healed Foreign Infect Daily Count Daily % Inc 2 day % Inc Deaths
    12/08/19 1                      
    01/17/20 45                      
    01/18/20 62 17 37.8%                  
    01/19/20 121 59 95.2% 168.9%                
    01/20/20 198 77 63.6% 219.4%                
    01/21/20 270 72 36.4% 123.1%                
    01/22/20 420 150 55.6% 112.1%                
    01/23/20 570 150 35.7% 111.1%                
    01/24/20 800 230 40.4% 90.5%                
    01/25/20 1300 500 62.5% 128.1% 41 9.8%            
    01/26/20 2019 719 55.3% 152.4% 56 9.8%            
    01/27/20 2794 775 38.4% 114.9% 80 10.0% 47 44        
    01/28/20 4474 1680 60.1% 121.6% 107 8.2% 63 59 15 34.1%    
    01/29/20 6057 1583 35.4% 116.8% 132 6.5% 110 87 28 47.5% 97.7%  
    01/30/20 7911 1854 30.6% 76.8% 170 6.1% 133 110 23 26.4% 86.4% 0
                             
    02/20/20 100,000,000 Proj at current rate                
    • Thanks 1
  12. Financial institutions to open monday with reduced staff with masks.  Non essential businesses/factories to remain shut until Feb 9 in some provinces.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.ft.com/content/6964ebea-425f-11ea-a43a-c4b328d9061c

    This could be extended and theaters will open weeks after factories I assume.

    20 to 90% of computer chips, Iphones, medical supplies, steel and a plethora of other products are made in China. Big WW supply chain issues coming.

     

     

    • Thanks 1
  13. On 1/28/2020 at 4:19 PM, Madhuvan said:

    I just hope this doesn't spread to India. It will be total chaos. 

    Still clear in India.  they just announced suspension of China to India flights. but not until the 31st. 

    It has started to spread.  There are 2 cases of 87 in other countries that did not originate from Chinese passengers.

    I shall track that now

    Corona Total Inf Count Daily Count Daily % Inc 2 day % Inc Foreign Infected Daily Count Daily % Inc 2 day % Inc Deaths % of Inf 3 days ago Healed
    01/17/20 45                    
    01/18/20 62 17 37.8%                
    01/19/20 121 59 95.2% 168.9%              
    01/20/20 198 77 63.6% 219.4%              
    01/21/20 270 72 36.4% 123.1%              
    01/22/20 420 150 55.6% 112.1%              
    01/23/20 570 150 35.7% 111.1%              
    01/24/20 800 230 40.4% 90.5%              
    01/25/20 1300 500 62.5% 128.1%         41 9.8%  
    01/26/20 2019 719 55.3% 152.4%         56 9.8%  
    01/27/20 2794 775 38.4% 114.9% 44       80 10.0% 47
    01/28/20 4474 1680 60.1% 121.6% 59 15 34.1%   107 8.2% 63
    01/29/20 6057 1583 35.4% 116.8% 87 28 47.5% 97.7% 132 6.5% 110
                           
    02/20/20 100,000,000 Proj at current rate              

     

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