MikeQ

Theatre counts for this weekend: << Prev. Week < Last Year View Index Next Year > Next Week >> Rank LW Title Distributor Theater Count Change % Change Week # > NEW RELEASES 1 - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Universal 4,475 - - 1 32 - Boundaries Sony Classics 5 - - 1 > EXPANDING 12 28 Won't You Be My Neighbor? Focus Features 348 +252 +262.5% 3 14 21 Rampage (2018) Warner Bros. (New Line) 291 +3 +1.0% 11 26 44 The Miracle Season Mirror/LD 30 +12 +66.7% 12 > NO CHANGE 2 1 Incredibles 2 Buena Vista 4,410 - - 2 4 3 Tag Warner Bros. 3,382 - - 2 7 8 Superfly Columbia 2,220 - - 2 25 39 Pandas Warner Bros. 35 - - 12 > DECLINING 3 2 Ocean's 8 Warner Bros. 3,656 -489 -11.8% 3 5 4 Deadpool 2 Fox 2,420 -792 -24.7% 6 6 5 Solo: A Star Wars Story Buena Vista 2,338 -844 -26.5% 5 8 6 Hereditary A24 2,002 -996 -33.2% 3 9 9 Avengers: Infinity War Buena Vista 1,456 -708 -32.7% 9 10 10 Adrift STX Entertainment 871 -1,058 -54.8% 4 11 11 Book Club Paramount 672 -984 -59.4% 6 13 14 Overboard (2018) Pantelion 325 -256 -44.1% 8 15 15 Breaking In (2018) Universal 220 -284 -56.3% 7 16 18 A Quiet Place Paramount 215 -182 -45.8% 12 17 25 Ready Player One Warner Bros. 162 -39 -19.4% 13 18 22 First Reformed A24 151 -122 -44.7% 6 19 24 The Seagull Sony Classics 145 -66 -31.3% 7 20 26 Black Panther Buena Vista 115 -31 -21.2% 19 21 12 Upgrade BH Tilt 101 -545 -84.4% 4 22 23 A Wrinkle in Time Buena Vista 90 -155 -63.3% 16 23 30 I Can Only Imagine Roadside Attractions 71 -14 -16.5% 15 24 29 The Rider Sony Classics 54 -40 -42.6% 11 27 36 Disobedience Bleecker Street 27 -20 -42.6% 9 28 33 On Chesil Beach Bleecker Street 24 -49 -67.1% 6 29 38 Beast Roadside Attractions 9 -36 -80.0% 7 30 48 Chappaquiddick Entertainment Studios 8 -6 -42.9% 12 31 49 2001: A Space Odyssey (2018 re-release) Warner Bros. 5 -8 -61.5% 6 << Prev. Week < Last Year View Index Next Year > Next Week >> Peace, Mike

Black Panther has virtually achieved a 3.5 multiplier (sits at a 3.46 multiplier, will finish at 3.47 if it hits $700M). But I acknowledge that is an exceptional case, and not the norm. The Dark Knight also achieved a really strong 3.38 multiplier, even if not quit a 3.5 multiplier. Animated films tend to have stronger multipliers. Even given the more adult skewing nature of Incredibles 2, I still think it is possible for it to hit a 3.5 multiplier. It has the benefit of summer weekdays and a Labour Day weekend boost into September. Dory hit a 3.6 multiplier off of a $135M opening weekend, which may not be over $150M but is still quite substantial. And it did so with another animated film opening over $100M in its fourth weekend, which hurt it quite a bit that weekend with such direct competition. All I'm saying is it's possible. We're not even into the second weekend yet - let's see how Incredibles 2 fares moving forward. I imagine it will have some strong drops after this weekend. Peace, Mike

$26.9-27M for Incredibles 2 is incredible! Bigger first Tuesday than Infinity War, Avengers, Black Panther, The Last Jedi, and Jurassic World. And as @aabattery points out, it is the 6th best Tuesday of all time. The only better grosses are Tuesday openers or Star Wars films, with two of the three better Star Wars Tuesdays being their second Tuesday in the midst of Christmas holidays. These are huge, huge numbers for any film, let alone an animated film. Peace, Mike

Not only is it Tuesday, but the largest animated film of all time is open for business. Incredibles 2 will have a bigger Tuesday than Avengers, Infinity War, Black Panther, The Last Jedi, and Jurassic World. We have to remember that MovieTickets is a relative measure of tickets sold (based on the percentage of tickets sold), not actual numbers of tickets sold. Peace, Mike

Huge first Monday gross for an animated film. Whether $23.9M or $24.1M, the ~54% drop seems right after a 10.8% Sunday hold. It is commensurate to Toy Story 3 dropping 51% after a 13.5% Sunday hold. Peace, Mike

I so hope you’re right, but that seems unlikely to me. Finding Dory dropped 24% on the Sunday before the 43.5% Monday drop. Toy Story 3, on the other hand, dropped only 13.5% on Sunday and then 51.3% on Monday. I think Incredibles 2 is more likely to drop around Toy Story 3’s drop, given the strong Father’s Day hold (10.8% Sunday drop). I hope I’m proven wrong, though! Peace, Mike

Summer RT Update: 2018 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August) The Incredibles 2 — 94% — 7.8 rating Hereditary — 91% — 8.3 rating Tully — 87% — 7.7 rating Upgrade — 86% — 7.1 rating Deadpool 2 — 82% — 7.0 rating Solo: A Star Wars Story — 71% — 6.4 rating Adrift — 70% — 6.2 rating Ocean’s 8 — 66% — 6.2 rating Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom — 60% — 6.1 rating Hotel Artemis — 58% — 5.8 rating Tag — 56% — 5.4 rating Superfly — 53% — 5.5 rating Book Club — 53% — 5.3 rating Bad Samaritan — 52% — 5.6 rating Life of the Party — 38% — 5.0 rating Overboard — 29% — 4.3 rating Breaking In — 25% — 4.2 rating Action Point — 17% — 3.5 rating Show Dogs — 17% — 3.1 rating 2017 — 42 wide-release films 18 fresh, 24 rotten 80% or higher: 14 films 8.0+ rating: 4 films (Dunkirk, The Big Sick, War for the Planet of the Apes, Baby Driver) 2016 — 42 wide-release films 20 fresh, 22 rotten 80% or higher: 9 films 8.0+ rating: 1 film (Kubo and the Two Strings) Peace, Mike

MT Update: Incredibles 2: 66.5% Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: 9.1% Ocean's 8: 4.9% Tag: 3.8% Solo: A Star Wars Story: 2.2% Jurassic World 2 is making its way up even while the behemoth that is Incredibles 2 does huge numbers and holds strong. Next weekend is going to be huge with both films bringing in tons of people into the theatres. Love it when we get a summer like this. Peace, Mike

Edit: duplicate post.

Can't get over the huge weekend for Incredibles 2. Exceptionally strong! (Side note to admins/mods: I've noticed lately that posts actually accept rich text now when copying and pasting, so that all of my formatting of lists - bold, italics, etc - are being retained. So grateful for this - makes posting easier.) Top Animated Film Opening Weekends Rank / Title / Opening Weekend Gross / Multiplier Incredibles 2 (2018) — 180.0 million (TBD) Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60) Shrek the Third (2007) — 121.6 million (2.65) Minions (2015) — 115.7 million (2.90) Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76) Shrek 2 (2004) — 108.0 million* The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53) Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94) Despicable Me 2 (2013) — 83.5 million* Monsters University (2013) — 82.4 million (3.26) Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55) The Simpsons Movie (2007) — 74.0 million (2.47) Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65) Shrek Forever After (2010) — 70.8 million (3.37) The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71) Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84) Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax (2012) — 70.2 million (3.05) *Wednesday Opener Peace, Mike

Anything is possible, but it would be basically unheard of for a well-received Pixar film. Only Cars 2 and Cars 3 have sub-3 multipliers, and they are arguably the worst Pixar films (certainly the worst in terms of critical reception). All of the critically acclaimed Pixar films (90+% on RT) that opened on a Friday had 3.5+ multipliers (Wall-E with the lowest at 3.55). I still feel this will have strong Pixar legs, given the strong critical reception, apparently strong WOM (A+ Cinemascore, etc), and summer weekdays revving up. But you're right in that this is a massive opening weekend - so maybe your hunch will prove to be correct. *shrug* Peace, Mike

As mentioned, $59M for Saturday would be very strong considering both Finding Dory and Toy Story 3 stayed flat on Saturday compared to True Friday. Looks like the weekend could look like this overall (or better if Father's Day buoys it even more - I'm just already surprised by the strong Sat): THU: 18.5M FRI: 53M SAT: 59M (+11%) SUN: 50M (-15%) ------------------ TOTAL: $180.5M This would represent the 8th best opening weekend of all-time. Insane numbers! Shattering the previous animated film record. Top Opening Weekends of All-Time & Share from Previews Rank / Title / Opening Weekend Gross / Share of Opening Weekend from Previews/Midnights Avengers: Infinity War — 257.7 million (15.1%) Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 248.0 million (23.0%) Star Wars: The Last Jedi — 220.0 million (20.5%) Jurassic World — 208.8 million (8.9%) Marvel’s The Avengers — 207.4 million (9.0%) Black Panther — 202.0 million (12.5%) Avengers: Age of Ultron — 191.3 million (14.4%) Incredibles 2 — 180.5 million (10.2%) - potential/projected gross Captain America: Civil War — 179.1 million (14.0%) Beauty and the Beast — 174.8 million (9.3%) Iron Man 3 — 174.1 million (9.0%) Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 — 169.2 million (25.7%) Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 166.0 million (16.7%) The Dark Knight Rises — 160.9 million (19.0%) The Dark Knight — 158.4 million (11.7%) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire — 158.1 million (16.0%) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story — 155.1 million (18.7%) The Hunger Games — 152.5 million (12.9%) Spider-Man 3 — 151.1 million (6.6%) Furious 7 — 147.2 million (10.7%) Peace, Mike

Thank you @Rthanos! How happy I am right now: Peace, Mike

It is because we haven't had any real early numbers or continual updates to discuss. We didn't even get any early Thursday preview numbers from Deadline until Friday morning, and our gods have forsaken us this weekend. Dear @Rthanos, why has thou forsaken us on the biggest weekend of the summer? ❤️ An offering: Peace, Mike

Yes, I think it will make it. Peace, Mike

Black Panther already looks to be getting a boost. Made $44,000 on Friday (+156% Friday increase; +18% from last Friday). Peace, Mike

Finding Dory did have huge weekday numbers in its first week. Incredibles 2 will be more frontloaded in terms of its internal multiplier this weekend, and I think likely for its drop next weekend (thanks largely to the huge previews which will likely make for a bigger Friday-to-Friday drop). But its overall legs, and particularly late legs, could be quite strong with great WOM, what seems to be a very entertaining and rewatchable film, summer weekdays, labor day weekend boost into September, etc. Again, I wouldn't be surprised if Incredibles 2 is, overall, more frontloaded than your typical Pixar film, but it isn't a sure thing at this point. I'm sure each and every day this week, with each day's new number, there will be conversations rehashing out the debate (Just poking fun... glad we're all passionate enough about box office to have these conversations.) Peace, Mike

$71.6M opening day is incredible - more than the original film made in its entire first weekend. This also represents an exceptional $53.1M True Friday, a top 10 opening day. Best Opening True Fridays (i.e. Opening Friday sans Thursday Previews) Avengers: Infinity War — 67.3 million Jurassic World — 63.5 million Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 62.1 million Marvel's The Avengers — 62.1 million Star Wars: The Last Jedi — 59.7 million Avengers: Age of Ultron — 56.8 million Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 53.9 million Iron Man 3 — 53.3 million Incredibles 2 — 53.1 million Furious 7 — 51.6 million Black Panther — 50.7 million Captain America: Civil War — 50.5 million Spider-Man 3 — 49.8 million The Dark Knight — 48.7 million Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 — 47.6 million Peace, Mike

It's hard to say, though. It is certainly possible Incredibles 2 is more frontloaded than your typical Pixar film in terms of legs (I wouldn't be surprised). Incredibles 2's opening weekend will be inflated somewhat by Father's Day Sunday and its huge preview gross. So, you may very well be right. And yet Pixar's previous films that were their highest grossing openers, Toy Story 3 (second largest animated opening weekend of all-time when it opened) and Finding Dory (current record holder of largest animated opening weekend of all-time) had strong 3.76 and 3.60 multipliers, respectively. And those were both follow ups to much adored originals/franchises after many years. Dory was the record holder for animated preview gross (with a large $9.2M, before Incredibles 2's giant $18.5M usurped it), so it was clearly anticipated as well. And Dory, in particular, faced a $100M+ opening animated film as competition in its fourth weekend. Time will tell... will be fun to follow the run. Peace, Mike

Hasn't happened since Pixar's earlier days, when Toy Story 2 (1999), Monsters Inc. (2001), Finding Nemo (2003), and The Incredibles (2004) all got A+, four in a row for Pixar. Peace, Mike

I think Incredibles 2 and Jurassic World 2 will be able to co-exist next weekend. We're entering height of the summer where most schools will be off or soon off, and I think it's possible for an animated film and action film to co-exist, even if the animated film is also action oriented. If Incredibles 2 opens to $170M, then a 47-50% drop next weekend (Dory and Toy Story 3 each dropped 46% in their second weekend) takes it to $85-90M next weekend. I'm stilling pegging Jurassic World 2 at $130-150M. It looks to be selling well (in top 5 at MovieTickets despite dominance of Incredibles 2) and anecdotally I've seen a lot of interest from friends and family in a way that suggests general audience interest, from my experience. Peace, Mike

Assuming a $69M Friday gross, this is what I will project for Incredibles 2 for now: THU: 18.5M FRI: 50.5M SAT: 51M (+1%) SUN: 44M (-14%) ---- TOTAL: 164M Dory and Toy Story 3 both opened on the same weekend and stayed flat on Saturday compared to their True Friday, so those seem like the only good comparisons I have to draw from in projecting Incredibles 2. I expect the Sunday drop to be strong due to Father's Day. It could be stronger than I am projecting. I hope I'm wrong and it does even better, but this in itself would represent an INSANE opening weekend, besting the previous animated film record (Dory's $135M) by about $30 million AND besting Shrek 2's adjusted animated film record ($161.9M). Also, all this is assuming $69M for Friday. Hopefully the Friday gross goes higher through the night. Please come entertain us, @Rthanos! Peace, Mike

I understand that, but Finding Dory is not an animated film that benefits from Father's Day. The kinds of films that benefit from Father's Day Sunday historically are those that are more likely to attract male audiences (male-centred or action oriented, etc). Toy Story 3, for example, opened on Father's Day weekend and only dropped 13.5% on the Sunday. I expect a drop around there for Incredibles 2 on the Sunday, not a 24% drop like Finding Dory. Peace, Mike

I don't expect it to follow Dory on Sunday, as Father's Day will make for a great Sunday hold. Peace, Mike

A $69M Friday for Incredibles 2 would mean a $50.5M True Friday gross, up there with the best of all-time. Best Opening True Fridays (i.e. Opening Friday sans Thursday Previews) Avengers: Infinity War — 67.3 million Jurassic World — 63.5 million Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 62.1 million Marvel's The Avengers — 62.1 million Star Wars: The Last Jedi — 59.7 million Avengers: Age of Ultron — 56.8 million Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 53.9 million Iron Man 3 — 53.3 million Furious 7 — 51.6 million Black Panther — 50.7 million Incredibles 2 — 50.5 million Captain America: Civil War — 50.5 million Spider-Man 3 — 49.8 million The Dark Knight — 48.7 million Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 — 47.6 million Peace, Mike