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KP1025

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Everything posted by KP1025

  1. KP1025
    The math is also wrong. Subtracting the previews from the OW actuals gives $158.5M (174.8M-16.3M). Using your 3-3.5x multiplier from this figure gives a range of $475.5M to $554.75M, averaging to $515M. Though as mentioned above, multipliers are always calculated from the full opening weekend number with previews included. Unless it has worse legs than usual for a family film, BATB will have no trouble hitting $500M.
  2. KP1025
    Godzilla is much more iconic to Japan than King Kong, so I would expect a big drop from Godzilla. Pacific Rim (another movie featuring kaiju/MUTOs) only made $14.5 million and that at least had mechas to appeal to Japanese pop culture.
  3. KP1025
    Maybe Sing took away some audiences from Moana since both are animated musicals.
  4. KP1025
    I was hoping Moana would have a better hold.
  5. KP1025
    This is a very good start for Moana. Hoping it can at least become second highest grossing WDAS film in Japan after Frozen. I think Your Name will end up around 25B yen, +/- 100M yen. I don't think it is possible to reach Frozen, even with upcoming holiday boosts. Its weekly totals are too low and the drops have become fairly large and steady in contrast to earlier in its run.
  6. KP1025
    Based on the opening weekend in Japan, I would be a little disappointed if it didn't at least reach Zootopia's total ($70 million).
  7. KP1025
    Maintaining the same weekly drops it has had for the past month gets it to around 25 billion yen by September. Unless it gets a big boost from holidays (not likely to be significant since it will probably be out of Top 10 by then), I don't think it will surpass Frozen.
  8. KP1025
    I'm hoping for $100 million+ for Beauty and the Beast.
  9. KP1025
    Hard to say, but I wouldn't get my expectations up. Lego Movie made $1,743,079, and Batman has never been big in Japan. Also facing a lot of competition from other family films in that period (Beauty and the Beast+ Moana + Sing).
  10. KP1025
    This was surprising because China and Japan were two of the biggest OS markets for Avatar. I guess it's not kawaii enough for the Japanese to drive merchandise, but I thought China would at least eat it up.
  11. KP1025
    https://www.visitpandora.com/ Can't wait to see it in person!
  12. KP1025
    Following the Avengers> Ultron drop would put JW2 at $480 million. If it drops as harshly as JP > TLW, then it would hit $418 million.
  13. KP1025
    Amazing run in its own right. I read it won some major awards recently, which could explain the WOM kicking in.
  14. KP1025
    Any predictions for biggest OS markets and their numbers? For reference: Cinderella (2015) 1. China- $71,570,00 2. Japan-$47,180,932 3. United Kingdom- $32,842,481 It's guaranteed to make more than Cinderella OS but by how much?
  15. KP1025
    I think $2 billion OS will depend on USD falling because of Trump. Europe alone would drop about $400 million just because of current exchange rates compared to 2010.
  16. KP1025
    Any predictions for La La Land? It's released around the Oscars, so I'm wondering if the buzz will be big (especially if it wins Best Picture and any of the other 14 nominations). Seems to be doing well in South Korea, which is usually a good bellwether for a movie's potential in Japan.
  17. KP1025
    There is so much potential for the underwater world. The environments in the first film were already jaw-dropping and hard to top visually, but I think Cameron will manage to deliver something even more incredible this time.
  18. KP1025
    Can't wait to see what Cameron has in store for Pandora's oceans. I wonder when we'll get to see the first official image from Avatar 2.
  19. KP1025
    John Williams is always a good choice for a memorable soundtrack. His style lends itself well to dramatic, mysterious environments like Pandora.
  20. KP1025
    A shame Your Name didn't get an Oscar nomination. It really deserved it.
  21. KP1025
    Is Your Name still headed to 30+ billion yen at this pace? Corpse said it was far outperforming Spirited Away's late legs.
  22. KP1025
    I think that's fitting as I still prefer Miyazaki's film to Your Name. I assume #2 position is still locked? It looks like it will have to absolutely collapse to not reach Frozen.
  23. KP1025
    Which movies could reasonably hit 8 billion yen or higher in 2017? SW: Episode 8 has the best chance but would be classed under 2018 based on when it makes most of its gross apparently (Jurassic World was listed as highest grossing film of 2015 and TFA was ranked among 2016 films). I guess that leaves just Beauty and the Beast? Maybe Moana if it has Frozen like reception (not expecting this but it's not impossible)?
  24. KP1025
    This is a good point. My friends were complaining about how slow TFA felt with limited action throughout the movie and not any "WOW" scenes. The other 2015 BO juggernauts like F7, AoU, and JW all vastly surpassed TFA in China because they were exactly the type of film Chinese audiences enjoy watching in theaters. TFA was too story-driven and too boring to watch for many new viewers unfamiliar with the franchise.
  25. KP1025
    Total of $45 million.
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