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KP1025

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Everything posted by KP1025

  1. KP1025
    There are actually quite a few films whose 4-week totals were under Alice in Wonderland but ended up outgrossing it (some by a lot). Late legs are incredibly important in Japan, and Beauty and the Beast certainly has a path to surpassing Alice's 11.8 billion yen.
  2. KP1025
    That's quite a big jump from Corpse's forecast.
  3. KP1025
    I don't think it has $10 million in remaining OS territories outside Japan. I think it added less than $2 million internationally outside Japan this weekend. With the super early Blu-ray release in NA, I'm also doubtful that it can earn another $15 million domestically. I see it finishing a few million over $500 million. If it's going to beat Frozen, it's probably going to need late legs to be amazing in Japan.
  4. KP1025
    It was #4 that year. #1 was Titanic 3D re-release.
  5. KP1025
    It's actually 12th highest right now because Beauty and the Beast is ahead of it.
  6. KP1025
    Golden Week in Japan accounted for that increase. Many days doubled or even tripled the previous week. It's normal for the week after to drop as much as 80-90% during the weekdays.
  7. KP1025
    It's going to suffer being compared to the Disney version. Sony's Mulan and Universal's Little Mermaid will probably have the same fate.
  8. KP1025
    $500 million domestic is 100% happening. At least $100 million in Japan is looking very good with recent drops.
  9. KP1025
    I don't know if those can top F8, which currently has an 18% domestic to 82% foreign ratio.
  10. KP1025
    I was also very surprised by the number. I thought it would do closer to Cinderella ($16 million). But then again, Maleficient was the top film of 2014 with $33 million.
  11. KP1025
    Now awaiting the next few milestones (guaranteed unless Japan suddenly drops like a rock). 1. $500 million domestic 2. $750 million overseas 3. $1.25 billion worldwide
  12. KP1025
    I don't think it will get to $505 million since Disney is releasing the Blu-ray super early on June 6th. Some films plummet after the Blu-ray release, whereas others seem to be relatively stable. I can also see it bleeding a lot of theaters due to big summer releases coming out week after week starting with Pirates 5.
  13. KP1025
    Fantastic Beasts did well because the Harry Potter universe is incredibly popular in Japan, but I think the absence of stars like the main Hogwarts trio will keep it from reaching the heights of the past Harry Potter films. I think the sequels should be aiming for a similar total or slightly higher than the first, around $70 million.
  14. KP1025
    Deadline is predicting $4.2 million for the weekend (-16%). Cume of $493.5 million. It should hit $500 million around or before Memorial Day I'm guessing.
  15. KP1025
    It improved from Cinderella, which makes it not a disappointment in my eyes. There was a possibility it might have grossed under due to the musical format turning people off. Also, Cinderella is a much more iconic princess/fairy tale to many people growing up in Asia.
  16. KP1025
    For years, we thought animated films had a low ceiling in China. Zootopia proved that it's possible for animation to break-out in a major way if the WOM is good. I suspect it won't be the last example either. There just needs to be a film that is capable of bridging the culture gap to resonate with audiences. Nobody thought a Bollywood film could break-out, let alone outgross a Marvel superhero film either. The same thing will happen with a musical film eventually.
  17. KP1025
    How much more can F8 make?
  18. KP1025
    Where do you think Avatar 2 will land in terms of gross in euros?
  19. KP1025
    Around 50% drop in Europe too. Outside Japan, Brazil seems to be the biggest remaining market. Maintaining the same drops from here on out gives it around $990 million finish like you predicted.
  20. KP1025
    Beauty and the Beast will now be the highest grossing film of the year, passing Fantastic Beasts' 7.3 billion yen.
  21. KP1025
    To be fair, the FF franchise wasn't that huge until F7. F6 grossed $66 million in 2013, while Pirates 4 grossed approximately $70 million in 2011. We might see a similarly large growth since there hasn't been another Pirates film in the interim to test its popularity in the market.
  22. KP1025
    Looking like a weak opening day for GotG2 based on afternoon sales. BatB will easily win another weekend.
  23. KP1025
    Do you think JW2 will win the year over Avengers 3?
  24. KP1025
    So the same day as Digital HD release apparently, which is unusual. Strange that other sites still say the release date is unannounced. In any case, this home release is much shorter than for their past live-action remakes.
  25. KP1025
    I think it will get to $500M before the Blu-ray release in June (has this been confirmed?). Still, the early home release will probably take at least $2 million from its run that it could have made over the summer. I guess as long as it breaks $500M, it won't really matter to Disney.
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