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KP1025

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Everything posted by KP1025

  1. I think OS gross will be around $900-950M. Worldwide gross around $1.15 to 1.2B.
  2. I think so too. The drops from F7 to F8 so far in the released markets are estimated in local currency. The drops would probably be even larger when factoring in the strength of the USD since 2015.
  3. If BATB follows Cinderella's multiplier from its 4th weekend, it gets to $509,979,940. If it follows Jungle Book's 4th-weekend multiplier, it gets to $504,739,387.
  4. Poor Moana only got one week in the top spot before Sing took over. Good to see both doing decently well together though.
  5. Kong dropped 24% last weekend when other top movies increased or stayed almost flat (Discount Saturday). That's a sign it won't have great legs for the remainder of its run. 30+% drops are common for most live-action films unless there's a holiday. To stay flat or increase on consecutive weekends requires incredible WOM...e.g Frozen, Your Name
  6. I'm thinking around $600 million OS. I don't see it doing that much better than Finding Dory overseas with current exchange rates.
  7. Definitely Beauty and the Beast. Corpse thinks it can go over 10 billion yen.
  8. The fact that we are even considering (however likely) an opening weekend higher than TFA is crazy. I remember people saying that record would be safe for a very long time, but it looks like it's only a matter of time before China takes it. If not F8 this time, then maybe F9 in 2 years. Or the wildcard Avatar 2 whenever it's released.
  9. That would be incredible. It doesn't look like any other Hollywood film can challenge these two in the foreseeable future except the Avatar sequels.
  10. Cinderella made $71.5M from China. I think BATB is doing as well as it can in China seeing as the musical format isn't really appreciated (opposite of Japan).
  11. I wonder who will win the year between F8 and Transformers 5? F8 looks good for at least $300M and has the potential for $400+M.
  12. I'm pretty sure this is MrMarosa/Cochofles/Beals/moviesareawesomegirl. Almost word for word the same rant they made before being banned.
  13. Anybody able to access Corpse's numbers? The website seems to have been down for several days now.
  14. Warcraft had much worse legs than comparable movies with huge openings, but I'd say its final gross was still pretty impressive. Almost 1.5B yuan and #10 film overall in Chinese Box Office.
  15. Interesting weekend numbers for Rogue One these past 2 weeks. If Blu-Ray wasn't dropping next week, it might have had a slim chance of passing TDK.
  16. For now, I'd be very surprised if it does more than $20 million. I might adjust my expectations higher if Ghost in the Shell does better than expected. Japan is a pretty fickle market, and often times movies I'd expect to do really well there end up disappointing. Pacific Rim for example (which was nearly double Power Rangers' budget). Everything about that seemed catered to Japanese tastes (mechas, kaiju, etc), yet it only grossed $14.5 million there.
  17. Godzilla is probably the exception in that it was a success by Japan BO standards, although there's still the trend that Western adaptations do much worse than their Japanese counterparts. Shin Godzilla (released last year) made 2.5x what Godzilla 2014 grossed in Japan. I would call Dragonball: Evolution a bomb in Japan considering the latest DBZ animated movie made $31 million.
  18. I'm sorry, but Power Rangers will be lucky to make $10 million in Japan. The series still gets multiple movies a year in Japan, and they've never done big numbers. The one that released this weekend will not even make $10 million.
  19. According to Corpse, Power Rangers will likely do under $10 million in Japan. They don't like Western adaptations of Japanese source material, and the newly released Kamen Rider film (the original inspiration for the series that became Power Rangers) is also looking to finish under $10 million (suggesting a ceiling for this type of genre).
  20. If we include Pixar, the only recent Disney animated films that truly disappointed in Japan were Brave ($11 million) and The Good Dinosaur ($15 million). Moana is expected to end up around $45 million, which is quite respectable for an animated film in Japan. It's still higher than Tangled ($31 million) or Wreck-It Ralph ($30 million) in terms of original WDAS films this decade. Frozen ($249 million) was obviously never going to happen, but I think many hoped Moana could match Zootopia ($70 million) or Big Hero 6 ($77 million).
  21. Even TFA might have just barely made $1 billion OS with current exchange rates, and BATB is underperforming almost all of TFA's markets. Even in China, where TFA did not break-out, BATB is looking to finish around $40 million under it. Its only hope is if it has a Frozen type run in Japan.
  22. Great holds, and glad to see La La Land doing so well. Musicals seem to be very successful in Japan.
  23. If any Hollywood film can do it this year, it's this one. Everything about it appeals to the Japanese movie goer.
  24. Japan could be the highest OS market for BATB. Corpse thinks it has a shot at $100 million.
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