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Everything posted by titanic2187
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The Force Awakens, Avatar, and Exchange Rates
titanic2187 replied to LinksterAC's topic in International Box Office
exchange rate really work against SW7, that's fact, but there is others counter variable which neutralize the disadvantage. And, SW7 has already earn what it deserved, it's a remake-sequel after all.....not an original cinematic revolutionary event~ -
well, that's nothing in this world existed to be directly comparable, once you are released in different time frame, different year, different competitors, during demographic, different level of WOM, there wont be a directly comparison. We just need to ensure an as fair as comparison and including rerelease data into final nominal gross is certainly a fairer comparison. However, the number of times getting rereleased should also consider like GWTW and Snow white that getting multiplessssssssssssssssssssss rerelease is really against my argument. But JP, star war 4,5,6,&1, titanic, well, that just re-released once or twice,so that shouldn't be a big problem in interpreting the movie performance, since we have neglected so many factor that work against them like the expansion of foreign market recently,inflation, and 3D-IMAX premium.
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personally, i think we should include 2012 re-release figure, and that is a common consensus across the board. 1) SW7 has 3D +IMAX advantage while titanic during 97 didnt have 2) SW7 has China market which explode in recent year, in 97, china is still a very small market. Given that 2 huge difference, we should include 2012 figure into overall total, but i oppose to take in to account of adjusted inflation figure~
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let us compare JW and SW7(final projection estimate) to see any chance for SW7 to beat titanic JW SW7 different US 652m 950m +300m UK 100m 200m +100m Jpan 75m 100m +25m Germ 50m 100m +50m Fran 40m 90m +50m Italy 16m 26m +10m Spain 25m 35m +10m Aus 38m 68m +30m Russia 25m 26m == Brazil 28m 26m == Mexico 44m ~30m -15m Argen 15m 7m -8m Vene 28m 16m -12m India 26m 6m -20m China 228m 158m -70m Taiwan 26m 6m -20m SK 43m 28m -15m Final 1670m +415m For the given bucket of major market, the SW7 win over JW with $415m, which means SW7 could earn $2.1b in the end, which is still off from Titanic, it's on the verge now, mostly depend on how China would perform and how US and Japan's leg..........
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let us compare JW and SW7(final projection estimate) to see any chance for SW7 to beat titanic JW SW7 different US 652m 950m +300m UK 100m 200m +100m Jpan 75m 100m +25m Germ 50m 100m +50m Fran 40m 90m +50m Italy 16m 26m +10m Spain 25m 35m +10m Aus 38m 68m +30m Russia 25m 26m == Brazil 28m 26m == Mexico 44m ~30m -15m Argen 15m 7m -8m Vene 28m 16m -12m India 26m 6m -20m China 228m 158m -70m Taiwan 26m 6m -20m SK 43m 28m -15m Final 1670m +415m For the given bucket of major market, the SW7 win over JW with $415m, which means SW7 could earn $2.1b in the end, which is still off from Titanic, it's on the verge now, mostly depend on how China would perform and how US and Japan's leg..........
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I dont think from 96m to 47-48m this weekend is a bad hold,it just drop 50% and it's better than i expect, it hold well in the rest of the market actually since SK,italy and some part of the major market are giving the collapsing type of dropping, it means the rest of the country do very well then only would limiting the drop to just 50%
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it is impossible to expect SW7 to behave like TF series and FF in china, again, I don't think it's underperformed but certainly it showed that chinese are less excited about SW, anyway it just day 2, anything upward trending could still happen ~ But if it really scored $150m, i think we can start to use taiwan, malaysia as an indicator of how the film will perform in China, i find that it's quite correlated recently~