[Wednesday Estimates (Nilephelan)]

1.8M? Surprising

 

Guess it went down a lot on estimates. Oh well, hopefully it stays flat today.

[Wednesday Estimates (Nilephelan)]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice  17m17 minutes ago

THE FOREST earned $296K on Wednesday. 6-day domestic total is $23.0M. #TheForest

 

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice  15m15 minutes ago

13 HOURS: THE SECRET SOLDIERS OF BENGHAZI earned $1.38M on Wednesday. 6-day domestic total is $22.4M. #13Hours

 

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice  11m11 minutes ago

DADDY'S HOME earned $0.48M on Wednesday. Domestic total is now $133.05M. #DaddysHome

 

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice  4m4 minutes ago

THE BIG SHORT earned $0.44M on Wednesday. Domestic total is now $52.8M. #TheBigShort

[Tuesday (19 January) actuals | Revenent 3.14 | SW7 $2.38 | Ride Along 2 $2.278 | 13h $1.84 | DH 702k | Big Short 573k | chart p.4 | major release date changes p.1]

1 minute ago, Baumer said:

 

My bad.  You are right.

 

And has about a 7.7 multiplier on original release so, no way TFA beats that 

[Tuesday (19 January) actuals | Revenent 3.14 | SW7 $2.38 | Ride Along 2 $2.278 | 13h $1.84 | DH 702k | Big Short 573k | chart p.4 | major release date changes p.1]

Heading for a flat thursday I believe.

 

My model is still in working order for 900M on Feb 1st. We're even 2M above!

[Tuesday (19 January) actuals | Revenent 3.14 | SW7 $2.38 | Ride Along 2 $2.278 | 13h $1.84 | DH 702k | Big Short 573k | chart p.4 | major release date changes p.1]

17 minutes ago, junkshop36 said:

Thought this was funny when I read it in the Numbers.com weekend wrap up:

 

The film could still reach $900 million domestically, but it will be very close

 

haha

 

 

900 M is actually the floor right now. The odds of Star Wars finishing below 900 M are astronomically low. Hell, it might reach 900M by Feb 1st!

[Tuesday (19 January) actuals | Revenent 3.14 | SW7 $2.38 | Ride Along 2 $2.278 | 13h $1.84 | DH 702k | Big Short 573k | chart p.4 | major release date changes p.1]

7 minutes ago, Baumer said:

 

Does it really matter.  She's doing the best she can.  Cut her some slack.  She taught herself how to speak English.  

 

I wasn't quoting terrestrial Baumer, I was quoting Scott Mendelson 

 

edit: I was quoting Scott Mendelson who was being quoted by terrestrial. There, that is the correct answer

[Tuesday (19 January) actuals | Revenent 3.14 | SW7 $2.38 | Ride Along 2 $2.278 | 13h $1.84 | DH 702k | Big Short 573k | chart p.4 | major release date changes p.1]

4 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

Disney should just cement the Episodes into bi-annual Christmas events, period.

 

I don't think he understands what bi-annual means.

 

bi·an·nu·al

ˌbīˈany(əw)əl/

adjective

adjective: bi-annual

1. occurring twice a year.

 

Twice a year, on Christmas? Doesn't make any sense.

[Tuesday (19 January) actuals | Revenent 3.14 | SW7 $2.38 | Ride Along 2 $2.278 | 13h $1.84 | DH 702k | Big Short 573k | chart p.4 | major release date changes p.1]

Star Wars: The Force Awakens (PG-13)

 

Jan 19, 2016

$2,380,910

[Tuesday (19 January) actuals | Revenent 3.14 | SW7 $2.38 | Ride Along 2 $2.278 | 13h $1.84 | DH 702k | Big Short 573k | chart p.4 | major release date changes p.1]

So will Avatar 2 keep the same release date? It's set to release 1 week after Star Wars Episode 8.

 

That would be the biggest box office clash I can think of in recent history. No way that they're letting this happen.

[Tuesday (19 January) actuals | Revenent 3.14 | SW7 $2.38 | Ride Along 2 $2.278 | 13h $1.84 | DH 702k | Big Short 573k | chart p.4 | major release date changes p.1]

4 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 

Disney will now release STAR WARS: EPISODE VIII on December 15, 2017.

 

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

Disney will now release PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MEN TELL NO TALES on May 26, 2017.

 

[Tuesday (19 January) actuals | Revenent 3.14 | SW7 $2.38 | Ride Along 2 $2.278 | 13h $1.84 | DH 702k | Big Short 573k | chart p.4 | major release date changes p.1]

Pretty much an expected drop, no surprises there. Damn good drop for The Revenant.

 

Also, I am pretty sure that Star Wars won't drop 55% the next week-end. We shall see.

[4-day weekend actuals = Ride Along 2 $41.01 | Revenent $37.53 | SW7 33.02 | 13h 19.22 | DH 11.9 | NotN 9.38 | Forest 6.98 | Big Sh 5.44 | Sisters 5.48 | Alvin & H8 4,33 | chart p.4]

4 minutes ago, misterchief81 said:

 

But considering that Jurassic World came out 6 months ago, the adjusted list shouldn't even apply to it yet.

 

Hell it was still grossing $ on November 19th, just 2 months ago!

[4-day weekend actuals = Ride Along 2 $41.01 | Revenent $37.53 | SW7 33.02 | 13h 19.22 | DH 11.9 | NotN 9.38 | Forest 6.98 | Big Sh 5.44 | Sisters 5.48 | Alvin & H8 4,33 | chart p.4]

Box office mojo's all-time adjusted chart just went haywire.

 

101 Dalmatians is now at 869M and Snow White 948M (918M for 2015 ticket price)

 

Someone really needs to make a proper list one day, because this is getting quite ridiculous and arbitrary. 3rd time now that BOM adjusts the average ticket price in like 2 months.

 

edit: Somehow Jurassic World is now at 687M adjusted. 35M in 6 months! Because that makes so much sense... Adjuster definitely not broken /s

[4-day weekend actuals = Ride Along 2 $41.01 | Revenent $37.53 | SW7 33.02 | 13h 19.22 | DH 11.9 | NotN 9.38 | Forest 6.98 | Big Sh 5.44 | Sisters 5.48 | Alvin & H8 4,33 | chart p.4]

5 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

@Daxtreme what do you think

 

Yes colors definitely help! The confusion mainly came from the fact that you posted disjointed numbers from different days (monday vs week-end), and like 1 or 2 movies at a time xD

[4-day weekend actuals = Ride Along 2 $41.01 | Revenent $37.53 | SW7 33.02 | 13h 19.22 | DH 11.9 | NotN 9.38 | Forest 6.98 | Big Sh 5.44 | Sisters 5.48 | Alvin & H8 4,33 | chart p.4]

7 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

post 4 has monday's and later on I combined the days (not meant to nag, only not sure if you have seen it)

 

I don't know, don't think I did. Then again, as your tabs are right now it's pretty confusing! I just posted that so that it was straight to the point, with the 3 biggest movies and nothing else.

[4-day weekend actuals = Ride Along 2 $41.01 | Revenent $37.53 | SW7 33.02 | 13h 19.22 | DH 11.9 | NotN 9.38 | Forest 6.98 | Big Sh 5.44 | Sisters 5.48 | Alvin & H8 4,33 | chart p.4]

Monday: 

 

1. Star Wars - $6,678,148 (-25,7%)

2. Ride Along 2 - $5,763,610 (-41,6%)

3. The Revenant - $5,731,586 (-41,8%)

[4-day weekend actuals = Ride Along 2 $41.01 | Revenent $37.53 | SW7 33.02 | 13h 19.22 | DH 11.9 | NotN 9.38 | Forest 6.98 | Big Sh 5.44 | Sisters 5.48 | Alvin & H8 4,33 | chart p.4]

2 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS took in $33.02M over the 4-day weekend and has grossed $858.95M to date domestically. #TheForceAwakens

 

6.643 M monday I think? Big hold, and Star Wars is back at #1 !

[4-day weekend actuals = Ride Along 2 $41.01 | Revenent $37.53 | SW7 33.02 | 13h 19.22 | DH 11.9 | NotN 9.38 | Forest 6.98 | Big Sh 5.44 | Sisters 5.48 | Alvin & H8 4,33 | chart p.4]

Well, seems like @nilephelan was right after all. 

 

Unexpected drop for The Revenant. I wonder how it's going to hold up next.

 

edit: how does mentioning someone work?  - thanks @75live

[Weekend revised estimates and 4 days totals pg 43 4 day est: RA2: 41.6: The Rev: 39.0... SW7: 32.5]

7 minutes ago, philippe08 said:

-55% almost impossible.

 

Monday, January 4: -63%

Monday, January 11th: -75%

 

I think -65% minimum.

 

Yeah but it's still discount Tuesday. Wednesday drop's gonna be huge though.

[Weekend revised estimates and 4 days totals pg 43 4 day est: RA2: 41.6: The Rev: 39.0... SW7: 32.5]

That would be a 41,6% drop for The Revenant on Monday. So unexpected.

 

If that holds up, it seems I was right again - Disney was lowballing Monday as well, right after lowballing Sunday!

[Weekend revised estimates and 4 days totals pg 43 4 day est: RA2: 41.6: The Rev: 39.0... SW7: 32.5]

5 minutes ago, Vadermort said:

Nope it's false. 

 

Revenant did 7.2M as you said.. 

 

 

It's still only an estimate, and not based at all on any actual number on Monday (the estimate was made on Sunday)

[Weekend revised estimates and 4 days totals pg 43 4 day est: RA2: 41.6: The Rev: 39.0... SW7: 32.5]

1 hour ago, nilephelan said:

Monday

 

$6.8m for TFA

$5.75m for The Revenant

 

 

Going from 7.2M to 5.75M for Revenant... how is that even possible?

 

Is this true?

[Title for Episode VIII - Speculate within here! (WARNING: SPOILERS)]

Alright boys and gals, the time has come to speculate on the TITLE for Star Wars: Episode VIII

 

(Spoilers for Episode VII below, you have been warned!)

 

As a reminder, here are the titles of the previous 7 entries (is there even 1 person here who needs reminding?)

 

Episode I - The Phantom Menace

Episode II - Attack of the Clones

Episode III - Revenge of the Sith

Episode IV - A New Hope

Episode V - The Empire Strikes Back

Episode VI - Return of the Jedi

Episode VII - The Force Awakens

 

Episode VIII - ??!!

 

All we know is that it's a sequel to Ep 7 and features mostly the same characters, along with a few addition.

 

What would be a worthy title?

 

I'll start!

 

I think the title could be

 

Star Wars: Episode VIII - Shadow of the Empire

 

Why? Because they're all still living under the shadow of the Empire's former domination. Kylo Ren still wants to pursue his goal of honoring his Grand Father, the First Order is still behaving mostly like the Empire it was before, or tries to, and the good guys still feel like they're fighting more of the same. The former Empire is still relevant 30 years later, and its legacy lives on as a remnant of its shadow lingers upon the galaxy and the New Republic.

 

What do you think would be a worthy title?

 

Disney will announce the title within the next months so... don't miss the opportunity to speculate!

[Favorite star wars Character(s) per movie]

Ep 1 - Qui Gon

Ep 2 - R2-D2

Ep 3 - Yoda

Ep 4 - Han Solo

Ep 5 - Darth Vader

Ep 6 - Luke Skywalker

Ep 7 - Rey

 

honorable mention throughout the movies to Senator/Emperor Palpatine

[Weekend revised estimates and 4 days totals pg 43 4 day est: RA2: 41.6: The Rev: 39.0... SW7: 32.5]

2 minutes ago, Nasok said:

So the Force is strong enough to win the Monday?

 

It might pull 2nd place ahead of RA2, but 1st place is out of reach.