Aristis

1st Trend: Joker 475k (-33%) 2,67M - IM would increase from 6,17x to 7,09x. Maleficent2 175k (-40%) 545k Terminator 175k Ich war noch niemals... 130k (+15%/+7%) 302,5k Addams Family 95k Parasite 52,5k (-0%/-22%) 145k 7. Kogustaki Mucize 52,5k (+22%) 140k - I don't know anything about this turkish movie but it seems to have great WOM among its audience. It opened with 15k in 31 theatres, increased 180% to 43k (47 theatres) and has another increase now. Normally turkish movies tend to be very frontloaded here.

Thursday numbers: #1 Joker 67k (-42%) €610k/$677k - worse than I hoped for... with last weeks IM it'd get to 414k WE. Hope it can be higher. #2 Terminator 25k // €230k/$255k - worst OD for the franchise since the first (Genisys had 40k OD) #3 Maleficent 23,5k (-53%) €225k/$250k #4 Ich war noch niemals... 18,5k (+23%) €160k/$178k - that is a nice surprise #5 Addams Family 10k // €75k/$83k

Thursday: #1 Joker 115k (-18%) €1,05M/$1,17M #2 Maleficent 50k, €500k/$550k #3 Ich war noch niemals... 15k #4 Gemini Man 12k (-25%) #5 Horizont 11k (-29%) #10? Parasite 7k

Well, those are just estimates that can be off quite a bit (last week the estimate was 128k and the actual 140k). But the numbers indicate around 20% drop for Thursday which should lead to ~110k. We will see tomorow.

Updadet Top15 FSK16 OW: Admissions Theatres Average 1 1.788.781 1.124 1.591 Matrix Reloaded (2003) 2 1.353.030 739 1.831 Fifty Shades of Grey (2015) 3 1.318.961 893 1.477 Mission: Impossible 2 (2000) 4 1.165.253 835 1.396 JB: Tomorow never dies (1997) 5 1.070.139 713 1.501 I Am Legend (2008) 6 1.031.758 474 2.177 Terminator 2 (1991) 7 976.476 873 1.119 Terminator 3 (2003) 8 947.575 734 1.291 Matrix (1999) 9 937.213 660 1.420 IT (2017) 10 868.763 754 1.152 The Dark Knight (2008) 11 848.703 648 1.310 Scary Movie (2000) 12 847.752 1.069 794 Matrix Revolutions (2003) 13 847.356 712 1.190 Fifty Shades of Grey 2 (2017) 14 841.002 690 1.219 Joker (2019) 15 780.837 663 1.178 Scary Movie 2 (2001) http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekord16.htm And TLK crossed €50M as the 32nd movie: € Admissions ATP 21 58.506.360 7.274.964 8,04 Honig im Kopf (2014) 22 57.929.442 6.945.769 8,34 Minions (2015) 23 57.479.601 5.123.866 11,22 Avengers – Endgame (2019) 24 56.530.290 8.709.881 6,49 Ice Age 3 (2009) 25 55.683.049 11.899.893 4,68 The Lion King (1994) 26 55.468.003 9.272.424 5,98 Independence Day (1996) 27 54.997.906 7.411.899 7,42 Fack Ju Göhte (2013) 28 53.789.118 8.035.758 6,69 Harry Potter 4 (2005) 29 53.347.812 6.136.279 8,69 Fack Ju Göhte 3 (2017) 30 52.041.305 6.700.208 7,77 Ice Age 4 (2012) 31 51.276.038 9.165.932 5,59 (T)Raumschiff Surprise (2004) 32 50.019.753 5.429.458 9,21 The Lion King (2019) 33 48.754.108 8.747.561 5,57 Ice Age 2 (2006) 34 48.415.306 9.395.450 5,15 Jurassic Park (1993) http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DAlltime100bo.htm It'll probably end around €50,6M+, above the original run of TLK (€50,38M).

That sounds extremely pessimistic towards SW9. If it wouldn't get to 5M+ it'd be disastrous... I'd say either SW9 or Frozen2 will win the year. SW3 fell to 5,62M after 5,7M for SW2. With the same drop from SW8 (5,9M), SW9 would still get to 5,8M - around that should be the low end (I still believe it can increase to 6M+ again). Frozen2 seems like the biggest wildcard of the year it could Minions numbers (6,95M) or just 4M...

And one week later it has 415k admissions. That probably shows how unbelievable this is... So Greece must be undoubtly the most impressive market for Joker by far!

Well, I think there is one other interesting thing: First there's two Will Smith and now there's two OUATIH

It's actually just 8% drop http://www.insidekino.de/BO/P2019.htm

Monday numbers: Joker opens to 835k (4-day) and 925k. That's the 3rd biggest OW of the year, the 9th biggest ever in October and the 14th biggest FSK 16. Gemini Man 100k (-53%/-57%) 385k Horizont 107,5k (i.P.) Shaun 70k (-62%) 480k AB2 57,5k (-60%) 510k Abominable 57,5k (-52%) 325k Dora 52,5k

The same Person said now that Joker had 750k admissions - he wrote those were the numbers from Thu to Sat but that seems impossible (it would mean 350k Sat...) so more probable it's from Wed to Sat? Wed 100k - Thu 140k - Fri 260k - Sat 250k - Sun around 150k (it would also mean MarkG only expects 50k on Sun...) http://www.forum.insidekino.de/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=4845&start=50

It's possible but with the improved weather it's still safer to expect maybe 900k to 950k. We will see what happens tomorow

One from the InsideKino forum said that after 500k this isn't too optimistic before Sat and Sun - did I understand it correctly that he has some more insight and knows that the movie did that much until Friday? That would imply Wed 100k - Thu 140k - Fri 260k which would be great...

2nd Trend: Joker is up to 850k 5-day. MarkG stated that this is still cautious so it could be 100k higher on Monday! Horizont 105k Gemini Man 85k (-60%/-64%) Shaun2 75k (-59%) Abominable 65k (-46%) AB2 60k (-58%) Dora 57,5k IT2 40k (-65%) Downton Abby 40k (-61%) Systemsprenger 40k (-32%) ... TLK 30k (-59%)

It's hard to say really. Since there are no daily numbers I don't really know the way the days behave apart from Thursday. But weather is improving on Sat and Sun so that might affect Joker a little, though as it mostly plays in the Evenings when it's dark this time of the year anyway, that effect might be small... Another point is that there are holidays in some parts of the country which probably inflate the weekdays a bit. To sum up, we will have a clearer picture tomorow when MarkG publishes his 2nd Trend. I can't give you a satisfying answer unfortunately...

I hope I understood what you said correctly. MarkG expected in his Octobre preview, weeks before Joker had opened anywhere, that it should get to 800k total - now it's looking to potentially get there in its first five days and should be able to become the biggest DC movie since TDKR (passing Aquamans 2M). So I'd say that's a big overperformance. As for the numbers: The Friday estimates are seeing 227k. They were 127k for Thursday and actuals were 140k and other reports seem pretty good, too. It really shouldn't go below 200k today.

Wow, Joker 2nd Thursday just 10k below OD Thursday in Germany... Joker is on a whole other level in Italy

Other recent DC OD: BvS 140k SSquad 115k WW 60k Aquaman 60k JL 35k

1st Trend: Joker 710k (800k including previews), 3rd biggest OW of the year. That would mean €7,4M i.P. and $8,1M. Horizont 105k Gemini Man 85k (-60%/-64%) Shaun2 75k (-59%) Abominable 65k (-46%)

Joker has a huge OD of 140k (€1,3M) and 100k in Wednesday previews!!! The other movies have big drops after the holiday last Thursday. Gemini Man 16k (-76%) Dem Horizont so nah 15,5k Shaun2 14,3k (-75%) Abominable 12,8k (No numbers last Thursday but they probably weren't higher than 30k so the drop is better than -60%) Dora 12k

I wouldn't expect 1M+ just yet - Joker would only be the 7th FSK16 (german counterpart of R rating) movie to get there, bigger than IT or TDK... Those are the 30 biggest OW for FSK16 (IT2 this year would be 31st with 590k). Joker should land anywhere among them: Admissions Theatres Average 1 1.788.781 1.124 1.591 Matrix Reloaded (2003) 2 1.353.030 739 1.831 Fifty Shades of Grey (2015) 3 1.318.961 893 1.477 Mission: Impossible 2 (2000) 4 1.165.253 835 1.396 JB: Tomorow never dies (1997) 5 1.070.139 713 1.501 I Am Legend (2008) 6 1.031.758 474 2.177 Terminator 2 (1991) 7 976.476 873 1.119 Terminator 3 (2003) 8 947.575 734 1.291 Matrix (1999) 9 937.213 660 1.420 IT (2017) 10 868.763 754 1.152 The Dark Knight (2008) 11 848.703 648 1.310 Scary Movie (2000) 12 847.752 1.069 794 Matrix Revolutions (2003) 13 847.356 712 1.190 Fifty Shades of Grey 2 (2017) 14 780.837 663 1.178 Scary Movie 2 (2001) 15 765.413 779 983 Bad Boys II (2003) 16 749.735 482 1.555 Django Unchained (2013) 17 749.059 826 907 Scream 3 (2000) 18 746.528 630 1.185 Ransom (1997) 19 745.709 602 1.239 300 (2007) 20 713.887 523 1.365 Deadpool (2016) 21 710.656 696 1.021 Gladiator (2000) 22 709.972 545 1.303 Ted (2012) 23 700.424 500 1.401 Die Hard with a vengeance (1995) 24 690.651 720 959 Live Free or Die Hard (2007) 25 689.727 695 992 Unbreakable (2000) 26 649.104 557 1.165 The Sixth Sense (1999) 27 633.153 814 778 End of Days (1999) 28 618.257 788 785 Gone on 60 seconds(2000) 29 602.597 725 831 Air Force One (1997) 30 601.566 794 758 Red Dragon(2002) http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekord16.htm

I have a veeery good feeling about this movie now. Previews and bookings for tomorow seem to be great (according to the InsideKino forum, Joker http://www.forum.insidekino.de/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=4845 and SSquad http://www.forum.insidekino.de/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=2671&start=25) For example: SSquad: 3k Joker: 2,8k SSquad opened to 500k, so to top that is totally possible. I'm hyped to see it tomorow

For holdovers it really is. Just the Gemini Man drop isn't great... I hope Joker can surprise next WE!

2nd Trend: Gemini Man 225k Shaun 210k (+60%/+43%) AB2 165k (+60%) Abominable 135k (+61%) IT2 120k (-10%) Downton Abby 100k (-7%) TLK 85k (+60%) Eine ganz heiße... 75k Rambo 65k (-23%) Ad Astra 55k (-25%) Systemsprenger 55k (+17%) OUATIH 50k (-2%) Deutschstune 50k

Thursday numbers: #1 Gemini Man 66k #2 Shaun 58k #3 AB2 45k #4 IT2 33k #5 Downton Abby 32k #8 Eine ganz heiße Nummer 2 21k #11 Deutschstunde 15k This seems awesome...