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Everything posted by Nova
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The runs are not the same in the end. Star Wars Episode 8 probably would have done $550M versus the $620M that it did had it had a summer release date. I think you severely underestimate how much the holidays help movies and their total grosses. Yes opening weekends are dampened a bit but it’s all saved with tremendous legs. TLJ would have been lucky to get a 2.25 multiplier in the summer.
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I’m actually interested in the budget for this. Ryan isn’t going to be getting a back end deal or producer money the way he did for the first two Deadpool movies so I imagine he’s going to demand a lot up front ($30M+). Not sure if he gets it or not but if he does then taking Deadpool 2’s budget and adding that salary takes the budget to at least $140M without any other additions. Then I also wonder about the box office prospects for this. DP2 decreased from the first domestically but stayed relatively stable OS (sans China) although decreasing in some markets while increasing in others. But the one thing Feige has been great with is making the third film in all the MCU trilogies very high stakes so they all increase at the box office. Will see what he comes up with for this movie and if it helps out the film at the box office.
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I hope they repeat the deal. I feel like I missed out on all the deals. I signed up earlier this year with Verizon so I missed out on their Netflix promo and their Disney plus promo. Instead I got the useless amazon prime membership. Im hoping as new shows drop, they offer special deals to get subscribers in.
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I mean are we surprised? Everyone I know either didn’t finish The Irishman or had it on in the background while they went to sleep. Although I suppose the “2 minute” rule with Netflix would mean that all those counted as a “watch,” but yea I don’t know a single person who recommended me to watch it so I haven’t....yet. Haven’t watched 6 underground either but the people I know who have watched it claimed it was a mindless popcorn flick with a bunch of bay explosions lol Im currently watching The Witcher and then gonna do season 2 of You. Although with the latter I’m getting really really really uncomfortable with how social medial is treating Joe as if he isn’t a psychopath who murders people.
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A professional doesn’t continue to publish misguided numbers/statements when data clearly indicates otherwise. A professional correctly explains why comparing TROS to TLJ 1:1 is not an accurate way to predict TROS box office run going forward. A professional admits that they were mistaken with their predicts early on and actually gives their readers a realistic range of where TROS ends up. I can’t say any of this about the so called professionals at Deadline or Scott Mendelson but I can say that about several members here.
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It’s wild to see a credible outlet like Deadline and twitter users with blue check marks make such wild statements regarding TROS box office. I don’t know if it’s cause these people are in denial or what but honestly it irks me because there are people who know nothing about the box office reading what they’re saying and thinking TROS is going to make $620M domestically and a billion by the end of the week WW. As someone who was lucky enough to find this forum early on in my days of box office tracking, I’d have been gullible enough to believe what these people wrote if I hadn’t.