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Jake Gittes

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Everything posted by Jake Gittes

  1. I think the portrayal of the girl (stoic to the point of self-parody and overall a symbol rather than a person, which didn't have to be this way) holds it back from greatness, and I'm not enamored of its use of "Angel Baby" and the PTSD flashbacks either, although I get the purpose of the latter. Everything else very strong, if not as revelatory and uncompromising as We Need to Talk About Kevin was. Inspired use of sound and editing, and the final scene is a multilayered beauty.
  2. I left Ant-Man and Skyscraper in but I'm really nervous about both. Looking at the past few years, basically no major Hollywood tentpoles have been released in China between the first week of July and the last week of August. That seems to be a period reserved for your Monster Hunts and Wolf Warriors and other homegrown blockbusters. Don't be shocked if Deadpool and even Solo appear in the top 5 in the end.
  3. Answer: likely non-existent, since last year Spider-Man, Apes and Dunkirk all weren't released till September. Same deal with RN in 2015. Note to self: in the future, try not to cram practically this whole thing into a single day. Only just finished. Looking at others' predictions, my most daring/dumb predictions are that Skyscraper pulls a White House Down domestically, and Tag becomes this year's Neighbors/We're the Millers/Bridesmaids etc. Almost left it off entirely but then bothered to actually watch the trailer and was surprised by how appealing it looked. If any R-rated comedy (or anything at all) is gonna overperform big this summer it's that one.
  4. I've been looking forward to this, and also to using it as an excuse to catch up with Schrader's earlier directorial work. Been curious for a long time, and this is by far his best-received movie in a couple of decades. I know he's a huge Bresson nut and it's probably safe to assume there's some Diary of a Country Priest in here, which is a great film.
  5. 1. April 27-29 - 271m 2. June 22-24 - 255m 3. July 6-8 - 222m
  6. 1. Avengers, Deadpool, and Solo's combined OW will be: C. Over $475M 2. Solo's China Box office will be: A. Less than $50M 3. Avengers' Total admissions in South Korea will be: C. Over 10M 4. Deadpool's UK gross will be: B. Between $45M and $60M 5. The film with the best mulitplier will be: C. Solo 6. Avengers' number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Deadpool's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Solo's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 will be: B. 14 or 15
  7. Partial 16,000 - Incredibles 2 Full 12,000 - Mission Impossible Partial 1,000 - Crazy Rich Asians Partial 1,000 - Action Point
  8. Russia: 1. Avengers: Infinity War - 30m 2. Deadpool 2 - 29m 3. Jurassic World - 16m
  9. Part A: 1. Will Avengers Open to more than $210M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Avengers Open to more than $250M? 2000 No 3. Will Avengers Open to more than $230M? 3000 No 4. Will Avengers Saturday increase from its true Friday (excluding Thursday previews)? 4000 Yes 5. Will Will Avengers' Sunday be more than 5 times higher than second place's weekend gross? 5000 No 6. Will Black Panther finish in a higher position this weekend than last weekend? 1000 Yes 7. Will Rampage drop less than 50%? 2000 No 8. Will truth or dare stay above blockers? 3000 No 9. Will any film in the top 10 drop more than 70%? 4000 No 10. Will Ready player One's PTA stay above $2000? 5000 No 11. Will Super Troopers increase more than 40% on Saturday? 1000 No 12. Will Quiet Place drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 Yes 13. Will I Feel pretty make more than $9M? 3000 No 14. Will Isle of Dogs increase more than 175% on Friday? 4000 No 15. Will the top 12 make more than $300M? 5000 No 16. Will Traffic stay above Isle of Dogs? 1000 No 17. Will I feel Pretty have the worst PTA in the top 5? 2000 Yes 18. Will Bharat Ane Nenu drop less than 60%? 3000 No 19. Will Blockers make more than $1.25M on Saturday? 4000 Yes 20. Will there be rioting in the streets when IW 'only' makes $185M? 5000 5000 Bonus: 12/20 3000 13/20 5000 14/20 8000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 20,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Avengers make for its 3 day OW? 228.133 2. What will Ready Player One's Sunday gross be? 1.025 3. What will Black Panther's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $2,236 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Avengers: Infinity War 3. Rampage 6. Ready Player One 8. Blockers 9. Truth or Dare 11. Traffik
  10. TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Avengers: Infinity War - 570m 2) Incredibles 2 - 416m 3) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 370m 4) Solo: A Star Wars Story - 345m 5) Deadpool 2 - 324m 6) Ant-Man and the Wasp - 263m 7) Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 223m 8) Christopher Robin - 159m 9) Tag - 154m 10) Ocean's 8 - 153m 11) Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - 124m 12) Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - 97m 13) The Spy Who Dumped Me - 94m 14) Action Point - 91m 15) The Equalizer 2 - 90m Backup 16*) Sicario: Day of the Soldado - 86m *Only used if a film above exits the game B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Avengers: Infinity War - 228m 2) Deadpool 2 - 135m 3) Incredibles 2 - 125m 4) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 124m 5) Solo: A Star Wars Story - 120m 6) Ant-Man and the Wasp - 93m 7) Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 74m Backup 8*) Christopher Robin - 51m *Only used if a film above exits the game C: Worldwide top 12: 1) Avengers: Infinity War - 1.590 billion 2) Incredibles 2 - 1.041 billion 3) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 993m 4) Ant-Man and the Wasp - 710m 5) Deadpool 2 - 699m 6) Solo: A Star Wars Story - 687m 7) Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 632m 8) Ocean's 8 - 377m 9) Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again - 363m 10) Hotel Transylvania 3 - 346m 11) Christopher Robin - 325m 12) Skyscraper - 286m Backup 13*) The Meg - 285m *Only used if a film above exits the game D: China 1) Avengers: Infinity War - 249m 2) Incredibles 2 - 176m 3) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - 175m 4) Ant-Man and the Wasp - 106m 5) Skyscraper - 99m backup 6*) Solo: A Star Wars Story - 49m *Only used if a film above exits the game E: Multipliers 1) Tag 2) Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again 3) Incredibles 2 4) Ocean's 8 5) The Spy Who Dumped Me backup 6*) Hotel Transylvania 3 *Only used if a film above exits the game F: Total Grosses Top 15 Domestic) 3.489 billion Top 7 OW) 901m Top 12 Worldwide) 8.047 billion Top 5 China) 806m G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again B: 200M Mission: Impossible - Fallout C: 300M Deadpool 2 D: 400M Incredibles 2 E: 500M Avengers: Infinity War RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B Avengers: Infinity War B: $1B Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom C: 800M Ant-Man and the Wasp D: 600M Mission: Impossible - Fallout E: 400M Ocean's 8 RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month: A: April - Avengers: Infinity War B: May - Solo: A Star Wars Story C: June - Incredibles 2 D: July - Ant-Man and the Wasp E: August - Christopher Robin
  11. No. Not at all. For me, the fact that you even have to ask (even if jokingly) points to the problem with the movie and Zvyagintsev in general. It's not that people like those in the movie don't exist, of course they do. But he presents the whole thing as this judgmental, didactic state-of-the-nation address that makes it seem like what's onscreen is the only Russia there is.
  12. I can see it doing around $4m next weekend, $5m the weekend after, over $6m on the April 13 weekend, before it starts dropping. Would allow for a finish in the mid-30s, with a shot at 40m.
  13. 7th weekends aren't the same all year round. TFA's was inflated in a big way because its previous weekend was post-MLK and faced a snowstorm. Anyway, reaching 700 would require over 5x multi from this weekend and I don't see where it would suddenly get that when it's been having very consistent 30-40% holds the last few weeks. It's scheduled for May 31 which is when it'll already be online. Also Atomic Blonde made just over $3m and that was more action-packed.
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