Jake Gittes

I'm guessing it's Inarritu inventing Leo's Indian wife and kid out of thin air just so they can get killed off and serve as nothing but motivation devices for him. Then there's the moment later when the movie has an Indian woman get raped for no other reason than to give Leo a heroic moment. I'm not terribly bothered by either thing but I'm not a fan either.

Depending on whether you have a hopeful or a cynical reading, either they still find peace, comfort and hope in the idealistic promise of America it describes even when they know it's just a beautiful lie, or Mannix throwing it away is a bitter acknowledgment that, in the end, nothing's gonna change because of something written on a piece of paper - people aren't ever gonna be any less hateful. Or both.

I would have nominated the bear for something if she had actually killed Di Caprio. Goddammit, bear, YOU HAD ONE JOB

Pretty sure I won't get to see any remaining 2015 releases in the next 5 days (sorry Carol, Room and Spotlight), so might as well do this now.

Both. The fact that Morricone's never won obviously plays a major part but it's a pretty kickass score, too.

Hardy's Fitzgerald isn't particularly complex but when surrounded by all the sub-Malick pretensions and Di Caprio making suffering faces his squirmy assholery feels like the most authentic and interesting thing in the world. I'd much rather have watched an entire movie about him.

The ending of Phoenix for Best Scene all the way.

Hardy gives easily the best performance in the movie. Once the (very good) first third was over, I was struggling to stay awake whenever he wasn't on screen.

Eh, it's still got two well-known actresses in leads, a striking look and style and some of the best reviews of the year, and it was riding a wave of buzz for months since Cannes. I'm not saying it ever had the chance be a big hit, but I would have expected it to slowly collect $25-30m DOM at least. Weinstein's mistake was the typical incredibly slow roll-out amidst a lot of competition - where The Imitation Game, The King's Speech and Silver Linings Plybook were crowd-pleasers that could only gain buzz before their wide release, Carol was riskier and probably should have gone wide much sooner. Instead it just fizzled out and got lost in the shuffle. Then again I can't really blame Weinstein for assuming he had a BP nomination locked up.

The box office on this is really disappointing in the end. It might struggle to reach $15m DOM.

He did in Django, and zilch.

One of the reasons I'm putting Segel in lead is that there are so many people in supporting already.

Funnily enough if you asked me to name 5 best male lead performances I saw last year they'd all be by white guys. (Rory Culkin, Jason Segel, Stephen Plunkett, Jason Bateman, Joshua Burge). Yet take the actual Oscar nominees and Jordan and SLJ are better than at least four of them.

I'm thinking lead but a good case could be made either way.

Who's the actor and who's the supporting actor? I'm putting Segel in Actor, don't have a spot for Eisenberg anywhere.

They shouldn't have waited to release Selma this year, Paramount just shouldn't have fucked up the campaign last year. And Jordan and Jackson were at least as good as Fassbender and much more deserving of nominations than Damon and Di Caprio, while Del Toro was good enough to get into supporting actor.

Winslet winning would be pretty silly since she's nothing revelatory in the movie and is the only one of the nominees who's not just a previous nominee but a winner.

The supporting actress race so far feels like in 2007 where three or four different people won at the major awards. Really curious about how the BAFTA and SAG go. I wish Leigh won but her chances don't look too good.

Best Documentary is like that too. There's no reason, say, The Act of Killing shouldn't have been nominated for Best Picture, but "Best Picture" is without exceptions seen as "Best Narrative Feature".

Moss is pretty great in that movie but I really didn't get much out of it overall.

This article did a good job of selling me on it http://www.avclub.com/article/unfriended-redefines-art-direction-webcam-era-230311 if best production design is the most faithful creation of the environment the movie is set in, Unfriended totally qualifies.

FYC: Best Director (Leo Gabriadze), Best Original Screenplay, Best Production Design

OF COURSE Halba already knows what movie is gonna win

If the film is as good as we hope it's about time Scorsese won his second one. Would be jazzed if some combination of Neeson, Garfield and Driver ended up as serious contenders, too.

1. Pulp Fiction 2. Chinatown 3. Once Upon a Time in the West 4. Heat 5. The Mirror 6. Five Easy Pieces 7. Goodfellas 8. Underground 9. Mulholland Drive 10. Before Sunset