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Poseidon

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Everything posted by Poseidon

  1. Poseidon
    So Solo might be somewhere in the ballpark of the first Hobbit Movie, but probably won't end up with the same legs.
  2. Poseidon
    Some multipliers for Memorial Day (4D): Pirates 3: 2,02 Indy 4 (opened with a full thursday aof $25m and deflated the WE): 2,49 X-Men 3: 1,91 Fast 6: 2,04 X-Men: DOFP: 2,12 Hangover 2: 2,46 (Opened with a full Thursday) Jurassic Park: TLW: 2,54 The Day after Tomorrow: 2,18 Bruce Almighty: 2,83 X-Men: Apo: 1,95 Now theres your Top 10 all time openers for Memorial Day. If your only hope is a comedy from 15 years ago, theres not much hope at all. I would be quite surprised by anything more than a 2,3 for Solo. I'd rather go lower, if I had to bet.
  3. Poseidon
    I said it before, Solo was only 3rd choice in the Fandango Summer Ranking and the other two movies already sold a lot of tickets. The signs were always there.
  4. Poseidon
    I guess you should have seen it coming, when Disney was not giving out tracking numbers at all.
  5. Poseidon
    https://kachelmannwetter.com/de/sat/deutschland/satellit-nature-5min/20180520-1205z.html Small parts of Bavaria seemed fine, but the rest was cloudy and fairly cold with a big rain band crossing from souh to north.
  6. Poseidon
    Weather in the south was perfect cinema weather, at least 1/3 of the country was influenced.
  7. Poseidon
    So that $6,5m number ist the first wednesday of Alice in Wonderland. What about Infinity War?
  8. Poseidon
    HR: $52m/$130m+ Deadpool $31m Infinity War $5,5m-$6m/$15m-$16m Book Club $6m Show Dogs https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/weekend-box-office-deadpool-2-earns-record-186-million-previews-1113039
  9. Poseidon
    Or maybe a combination of oversaturation and the fact, that the other SW movies were first choice by a mile, while Solo might even be 3rd choice in May for the GA.
  10. Poseidon
    I'm still completely confused by the trailer clicks for Solo. I'm not sure I have ever seen anything like this for a movie, that is supposed to open to 170m in 10 days. It added around 500k clicks on YT in the last week, and the clicks were already low to begin with.
  11. Poseidon
    And what, if it behaves exactly like a SW movie?
  12. Poseidon
    Or, as Sunday is especially inflated with Mothersday ($16,3 Mio for Thor competition, $42,9 Mio for Deadpool), we'll get $152,5m for Deadpool 2.
  13. Poseidon
    Thor was at 8,3% on Sunday Night against movies worth $58m. Deadpool ist at 4% against movies worth $125m for the WE and a boosted sunday. Totally fine I would guess.
  14. Poseidon
    So "Life of the Party" with a 40% score at RT and a 5,2 average is actually pretty good news for Warner. Also 68% and 3,7/5 User Score. Where have all the McCarthy Haters gone?
  15. Poseidon
    Solo more or less holding pace with IW, but slowly losing ground compared to BP and Deadpool.
  16. Poseidon
    Gitesh was providing early numbers, when RTH wasn't even part of this boards wettest dreams, so I don't think he deserves the hate.
  17. Poseidon
    And the one before Titanic made an incredible $22,5m. So Deadpool obviously will make $311m.
  18. Poseidon
    Something seems off there, though, as HR claims, that Solo sold double the number of tickets compared to Black Panther. https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/solo-a-star-wars-story-is-no-2-preseller-year-first-24-hours-1108854 However you spin it, it's a pretty muted performance compared to the other SW movies, but that was to be expected somehow. We'll see, if Solo will be a late bloomer after all the Avengers hype.
  19. Poseidon
    This is a tough one, nothing works in that trailer. Could very well end up in Three musketeers (2011) or Pompeii regions.
  20. Poseidon
    "Rogue One", in my opinion, is a different story. It completely lived off the hype, the big comeback named A force Awakens left behind. Just as a comparison: Rogue One was the #1 most anticipated Movie on Fandangos List for 2016. "Solo" only was #5 (and #3 behind Avengers and Deadpool for the Summer Season). I think that this is quite telling, how much interest it lost by the general audience. Paired with the incredibly low trailer views and the negative press TLJ got and the gap of only a couple of months, I think that this might turn out as one of the rare underperformers for Disney. Hell, when was the last time, a Premium-Disney-Sequel came in under early expectations? I never thought, that there was any possibility, that a Justice League Movie could open to under $100m, but still it did. But we'll see, how things go from here, after Avengers are done and the big marketing push for Solo starts.
  21. Poseidon
    Mh, unaided awareness is not the score I would look at in an environment, where Infinity War, Deadpool and Solo open within a month. It's SW, of Course people know it's coming... I still doubt, it's opening that high, but I have been wrong on SW before.
  22. Poseidon
    I really don't get it. People are fighting over the fact, that they saw it all coming, The $250m (or more like 260m) and the $230m-predictors get humiliated. Reality Check here. We are talking about 10%. Have you ever seen something like this, when one user predicted $45m for a movie and another one $50m?
  23. Poseidon
    And adjusted numbers at best an estimate, taking average ticket prices, while you can bet, that the average Ticket Price for HP is way higher with all the premium formats and 3D.
  24. Poseidon
    Maybe they shifted some of the very late night numbers to Saturday.
  25. Poseidon
    I don't think they grow older, It's more of a genaral hype thing. You need a 4Q crowd to pull those enormous crowds and in the case of IW, it's likely, that those additional crowds are older ones that passed on other Marvel movies, but now show up for the Must See Character of IW.
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