I also can see a decent possibility (35% chance) for $150M for Trolls where it acts like how Peanuts did last year along with Doctor Strange acting like Spectre did last year, if it gets great (85%+ RT) reviews. At worst, it could make Turbo numbers if it gets middling reviews (<55%). With it having to deal with DS, Moana, and Sing, I see a high 20's OW ($27-$29M) with decent legs ($100-$120M).
While I do see Moana doing anywhere from $250M-$300M this holiday, it depends on how Disney markets Moana these next few months, and doesn't pay more marketing attention to DS or RO. If they botch it $250M is the maximum total, if they ace it $300M+.
Predictions for upcoming $100M+ films
$500M+
Rogue One
$400M+
$300M+
Sing
Moana
FB
$200M+
DS
M7
Passengers
$150M+
Storks
LLL
$100M+
Sausage Party
Sully
The Accountant
Hacksaw Ridge
Arrival
Trolls
Birth of A Nation
Turns out Dory is getting a re release in America, which will really help get it past $1B
Prediction
$488M US
$52M UK
$67-70M Japan
$20-40M Germany
$17-25M Italy
$360M Rest of the world
$1,005B to $1,035B
I mean, personally I prefer Pixar, their movies are better and not to mention their good movies outweigh the mediocre ones, and Illumination, imo, has only 2 good movies: DM1, and SLOP, 2 Mediocre movies: DM2, and Minions, and 2 Bad Movies: Hop, and The Lorax. It was just how the thread changed from 2017 WW blockbuster into Pixar V Illumination.
At worst, Germany plus Italy should provide $35M. Dory is at $930M now, if it gets the U.S. Re Release, it'll add $6M more, U.K. should also add another $6M, Japan should add $5-8M, the other markets left should add $14M at least. Putting it at about $965M without Germany and Italy. And with them it'll get to $1B.