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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. That is where the conversation should focus, the big argument for Endgames above the previous great is that it would have faced much greater competition, making it hard to create a distance for itself above the usual rest, which is not and empty argument at all. But in 2019 quite mediocre with mediocre reception movies like The lion kings remake and frozen 2 did more than 150% of a mediocre Harry Potter in 2009. Is competition had some giant name for sure, but not that bigger than Potter and movies wise just not serious competition, that it can be easily throw away why is domination do not come in the same territory not even close.
  2. Maybe be yes (with both that and market growth, but it went up for every entry domestic as well, 313->339->377 (and the dvd sales was not making any sense versus anything today in that regard) the growth was so significant (880->936->1.14) and quite similar to domestic that I would not have consider ER being a reason without checking,
  3. This (specially adjusted for era), Lord of the rings first 3, Fast and furious are special, franchise that grew tend to have done it on the help of market growing, like X-men, planet of the apes and others, and could not sustain it past the giant jump that slowed until 2014 or so. The biggest Potter is still the first one, Star Wars also arguably as well and so on, Bonds did well with the grow but Goldfinger and Thunderball could be argued for the biggest one. It goes a bit both way, obviously Cameron is way more impressive than the directors of a franchise entry doing very well, that is trivial and not really arguable. But at a franchise level doing that at what over #15 in movies in a franchise (in a short window, is something impossible to fathom not so long ago. I..e Cameron credit anyone on Marvel making a specific movie obviously, but the marvel cast an Feige credit is much above Avatar cast and producer arguably.
  4. Yes popularity in which market would play, but I feel live Avatar was popular enough in new market a la China to fully have benefit of the doubt that it would have fully took advantage of the bresil, China, korea type of growth. I took the third of that franchise, because unlike the first Hobbit that was fully on the train of goodwill, by the third one of that series the box office would have been really "low" before that international boost, that would have possibly be a under 700m WW movie in 2008-2009, that 112m in China, 21m from S. Korea, 20m from Brazil, 30 m from Russia. What you are saying could be truer for a Holmes, Bond, Potter than something doing blockbuster destroying record in China like Avatar (or titanic if we spec re-release success)
  5. It is much easier to look at a table of exchange rate over time than market by market box office evolution, so convenient is also quite literal here and the logic also around it is strong and litteral, unlike ticket price change a exchange rate effect is certain and be calculated. But yes =, you are making 3 time and Harry Potter movie, almost 3.5 a giant transformer movie, that Avatar, that not titanic specially domestic, but that not that far either, it is in similar tier worldwide and how you can transfer between era, what do the equivalent of the biggest franchise in the world do now, like a well received potteror transformer still in is prime, multiply by 3, 3.5 that what Avatar gross look like, Sherlock Holmes was a giant world success, it did 1/5.5 of Avatar, Twilight was an all-time world phenom, it did 1/4 . Québec (province in Canada) got known for a local film (Les Boys) to be one of the extremely few place in the world to have a different number 1, not sure how true it was.
  6. It did get a boost from 2009 to 2014 or so at least. If you look at the all time highest international box office: https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/international/all-movies/cumulative/all-time You need to go for number #39 in that list to find the first non Cameron movie not in the 2010s, there is no non Cameron pre 2015 in the top 10. The mental exercice released in 2009 Furious 7 do not make 1.16 billion international, nor do Lion King do 1.11. The Hobbit battle of the five armies do not get that close to Return of the Kings intl if it is released in 2009. Hollywood box office grew less than the global intl growth, but still grew, someone did graph of just the main 6 hollywood studio alone intl box office and you saw a clear progression until at least 2013-2014 from memory.
  7. I think they always pretty much always did some marathon event on new MCU release in some city ? Maybe not with covid this time.
  8. Not sure it can be both a D+ exclusive for the years to come and be available in any other ways at the same time.
  9. Maybe you are thinking that female percentage are about equal to male one or counting all the 30-35 into your total. You can download the .csv, it is 275,712,601 for the 15-29, around 298-302 with the 30
  10. What could that fact to do (outside that I am not sure it is true) have to do with legs multiplier (which is all relative to the OW) ?
  11. Not sure how it would be relevant but (if you mean including people aged 15 and aged 30) https://www.statista.com/statistics/1101677/population-distribution-by-detailed-age-group-in-china/ (5.11% + 5.63 % + 7.49% + 0.2* 8.61% ) * 1.398 billion = about 279 millions people, which is a bit less than US population of 328 millions. Not sure about that, if most people are between 0 and 70, 16 year's is less than a quarter of that
  12. There is a circular effect here, a culture with low frontloading do not need many screen, a culture with low screen count will not be able to be frontloaded, which come first. American giant cineplex cinema tend to not be any close to full outside some days of event movies, is that they made the market frontloaded or that is in reaction of that market direction.
  13. Not so sure of the question, American Sniper was a WB-Spielberg project (Spielberg developed the script), Spielberg dropped officially because of the studio low budget and went to someone that can and like to work on the cheap with Eastwood.
  14. And if you are in a place with mask mandate you cannot sell food&beverage.
  15. I could misread you (and put words in your fingers) but you seem to take Feng descriptive perception of the world to Feng making any judgment on it.
  16. Maybe wise if you are still young, but that limiting your option. I would suggest (which is a bit stupid to do) 10/10: Any movie that if you would entertain the question, what is the movie you consider the best movie (or favorite movie would be one candidate you strongly consider and have an hard time rejecting and cannot really put a movie above them, because the candidate you put above are a bit apple and orange genre and style wise. 9/10: the best movies that are easy to remove from the list of the best movie ever made. And so on down, with the 1/10 movie that you would entertain has the worst you ever saw.
  17. Apparently: https://web.archive.org/web/20201030224312if_/https://filmmakermagazine.com/people/chloe-zhao/#.X5yXEJP7RhE “It goes back to when I was a teenager in China, being in a place where there are lies everywhere,” Last week they were resurfaced by Chinese social media users, some of whom accused her of “smearing China”, and called for a boycott of the film.
  18. this is a very old message but I missed that thread completely I think , I am 90% sure Ryan will get a juicy back end deal for this. He has giant power on is side, virtually impossible to recast on a giant printing machine franchise and a (if not the) creative force. To give an example Avengers 3 part 1 and 2 total "budget" is significantly above 1 billions by now, I would imagine a lot of that is in back end deal and not just to Feige and RDJ.
  19. Biggest fiction show on earth (arguably) filmed in 4K with a big budget, it would have without a doubt if it was a 2018 release. You are right that the Simpsons is not a perfect equivalent to a Mandalorian or any short series like that, as popular as they are, they are not at that level and maybe more importantly the volume of episode made it less obvious, that perfect streaming content.
  20. That what I meant: https://www.polygon.com/2015/4/10/8382545/the-simpsons-dvd-releases-ending-blu-ray-fox#:~:text=Fox is discontinuing home video,love of hearing ourselves talk." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_The_Simpsons_home_video_releases Seem to have stopped season 20, in 2010
  21. One could compare market for which theater refused versus those who didn't, but at first glance it seem to have a global issues, not just in the US
  22. Maybe you are right, it was always just a theory a lot of people repeated that all that junket was just because Studio didn't want to be the first one to skip them and bad use of money, but maybe it was important after all. I feel like there is also some momentum, 50%+ of ticket were sold to frequent moviegoers (10+ movie a year) that stay somewhat in the loop of the events movie coming out, I imagine a large portion stayed out of the loop and will until there is at least one big movie every 6 weeks or less.
  23. One reason is that you can make really nice collector edition package: https://collider.com/pixar-soul-4k-bluray-release-date-details/#:~:text=Soul will be released on,digital on Tuesday%2C March 23. That remove very little business to D+ and has giant margin For TV series even the simpsons didn't get physical media release before Disney acquisition if I am not mistaken, is there a disney regular movie release that was announced-rumored to not get a physical media release yet ?
  24. But it is not new, they are softer than ever on their policy about movies not respecting the MPAA windows. Terrible practice without having read Disney conditions (and thinking we would know more than them what is good practice, bad precedent to set and so on) sound like well regular talk we do here on this message board thinking about it.
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