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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. Don't you still have to pay for the babby sitter if kids are not in age of being interested in adult movies ?
  2. Comparing end of 2017 and 2018 "shift" in performance for certain type of movie in their Box office ratio between Canada and USA could show the size of the impact (Canada not having got movie pass yet), I imagine. But even if movie pass users went from 16 movie a year to 30 movie a year in average (and say 12 to 22 in weekends), that would on a giving weekend 0.288m more people buying ticket during an average weekend. 0.288m among say 5 movies at a 8.5$ the ticket (because the higher average ticket IMAX type/3D is not accepted), that a 490k average boost for that top 5 movies popular among pass holder, that is big for some movie obviously, but not shifting stuff for most release.
  3. If the movie would have not played with that audience regardless of the existance of the movie pass, is it not a bit irrelevant for them, loosing screens you think ? 1.5m, is around what, 0.6% of the movie going audience and 3.75% of the frequent movie going audience. Except for very specific case, I am a bit unsure what kind of global impact it can have with those numbers, even if a giant amount of them say 50% go see a movie this weekend instead of 20% if the pass would not have existed, split among 5 non-Paddington movie we are talking about 770-850k more at the box office for those.
  4. Some site had really big numbers for it, like 20-22M for the 4 days weekend, studio had talk with the trade of expecting 15 to 18M and not seeing that good of tracking for it, so like pointed depend of who you are talking too, but it was expected to be a really big OW (for the TC/production budget)
  5. Do not think there is any talk about that, that did transpires, we can assume that there is plan if the first one work to make a second, but a bit like Salt even if the first one is a success, it would not be a guarantee, you need the people involved to be interested to replay the same characther, to love the story, etc... unlike when there is no big star attached when they would accepted to be contractually obligated to sequels plans if they happen before date X. One element in the second book that could make it a bit complicated for a studio is:
  6. Being universal specialty division with smaller release budget that never got 3,500+ theater for a release it is not that strange. Sony classic has only one 100m grosser and Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon was quite the exception and for all is long success history, Searchlight has only 3 of those (Juno, Slumdog, Black Swan). Even though 50 shades was produced by them, maybe it was Universal main branch that made the distribution in the USA ?: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2322441/companycredits Imdb could not be less clear about it: Focus Features (2015) (USA) (theatrical) Toho-Towa (2015) (Japan) (theatrical) United International Pictures (UIP) (2015) (Argentina) (theatrical) United International Pictures (UIP) (2015) (Greece) (theatrical) United International Pictures (UIP) (2015) (Hungary) (theatrical) United International Pictures (UIP) (2015) (Philippines) (theatrical) (as UIP-Columbia Pictures) United International Pictures (UIP) (2015) (Singapore) (theatrical) Universal Pictures International (UPI) (2015) (Austria) (theatrical) Universal Pictures International (UPI) (2015) (Australia) (theatrical) Universal Pictures International (UPI) (2015) (Germany) (theatrical) Universal Pictures International (UPI) (2015) (France) (theatrical) Universal Pictures International (UPI) (2015) (UK) (theatrical) Universal Pictures International (UPI) (2015) (Netherlands) (theatrical) Universal Pictures International (UPI) (2015) (Russia) (theatrical) Universal Pictures (2015) (Canada) (theatrical) Universal Pictures (2015) (Italy) (theatrical) Universal Pictures (2015) (USA) (theatrical)
  7. This is true, when you think about your Star Wars movie released in 2022, and look at figure of what the BO, toys, video game and different ancillary market could look like in China in 4-5 year's, you probably do care quite a bit. There was some big ww numbers franchise that did very little in China, Hunger Games for example, but in term of making some big numbers because of a giant push and then dropping massively on the sequels, that a first that come to mind also. As the market mature, it will probably become common like everywhere else to start to see from time to time big drop on sequels.
  8. Is OD in China include some previews making the 95% drop sound more dramatic that it is ? Because that is impressive.
  9. I imagine people think Hidden Figures light type run and not a 7.5 multiplier A+ cinemascore phenomenom.
  10. When people talk about that it is never about paying for only a ticket, it is for the family night out affair with people that have an hard time to say no to food luxury while being there or paying a babysitter depending of the type of movie. For many with a family a cinema night become quite complicated and expensive.
  11. Exactly in that sense yes. That said they could have felt that it was not a move about decency at all, but a stunt trying to cash in/save financially a movie that was going on. And it is a bit hard to argue that they were wrong considering the final result.
  12. Kind of brilliant move and give an hindsight on how he could be rumored to be the highest paid actor in some 12 month stretch....
  13. I am not sure how much people are serious with the names of the characters type of talk, you are certainly right ( I do not remember any of them) but everyone remember the name Machine Gun Joe from Death Race just because of how cool that name sound, how easy they are to remember, are often they are mentioned during the movie and other factor make this criteria quite fishy. Not sure I remember many name outside Ryan of the Saving Private Ryan if I do not go see.... or outside the title name in braveheart either..... The characters has vanished for sure, but the world look and the blue avatar design, the way they reproduce, the concept of being an Avatar have all become common elements of worlds cultures. I have seen that movie only one time (I am one of those that rooted for the humans to get the mineral to help earth over the religious fanatic blue people making the watching experience not that enjoyable) and have a clear memory of is never seen before look. Let alone that it had a boost on a small 3D popularity crazy cultural impact, that a level of cultural impact almost no others modern movie had. (that said legacy since 3D die and never took off at home does not look special in hindsight) If you compare Avatar google trends with other movie release: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today 5-y&q=%2Fm%2F0bth54,%2Fm%2F01295z79,%2Fg%2F11bc6_2t_7 You see that a big blockbuster get to regular Avatar level leading up and right after it's release, that Avatar almost 10 year's after it's release with nothing new going on....
  14. There is almost always one difference between DGA line up and Oscar line up, so yeah Call me by your name Guadagnino could get in. Even if those 5 are the 5 favorite with say an average chance of 80% of getting in, chance of at least one missing are of 67%
  15. And a bit more for imported movie or similar ? Anyway if it is 7% of the bo. 2016: 19.051 2017: 24 26% growth, less ridiculous than the 35% (I suspected fee must have been added), but still quite unsustainable giant growth (you would double BO every 3 year's at that rate, so a movie could do 3 billion in China alone in 6 year's.....) .
  16. And people would more freely talk about it to people not close to the husband, but talking about that rumor to is best friend or is family member's, would be a really big deal and something they would not necessarily do. You could have a situation with a lot of people have heard the rumors except people really close to the guy or the wife.
  17. I imagine it could be tempting to go really slow to keep the movie alive until the winter Olympics (that a speculation made about that very slow release)
  18. At least a blog entry with a tweet pointing to it (or it is maybe just maybe that is not able to follow a twitter "thread" the order and who is talking to who make no sense to me on this)
  19. http://variety.com/2018/digital/news/the-post-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202658186/ A bit of an overstatement, they seem to be putting an above 20m promo on Proud Mary (already had spent 10m on tv alone with a week from release) and is looking like it will make a big opening weekend.
  20. Is the box office boost helped by added fees ? If not, Box office for imported movie (doing box office * imported ratio): 2016: 19.051 2017: 25.8085 That is a massive boost, 35% !!!!!!!! Back to ridiculous growth with just one year break....
  21. I think the issue here is using twitter.... From what I rapidly understood the issue was not talked/improvised element that happened during the nude scene (something that would have never happened on an union shoot were those thing are very detailed to what will be seen on camera in details, that why the $100 was mentioned), not the fact that nudity occurred during it. But because it is only a small tweet that goes around without any details, it does indeed sound ridiculous.
  22. I think in a counter intuitive way the bigger name you were, the older you were in the 90s, the closer you were to Weinstein made it more probable to not know about it. Jane Fonda said she learned about it just one year before the rest of the world for example (she could be lying obviously), when one of the Weinstein rape victim talked to her about it, just before going to the press. I think the step for a victim to talk to a really big name that personally know Weinstein is a really big step that they probably didn't do, for reason similar of why they didn't go on record to the press. When people saying they knew so they cannot believe that someone bigger than them didn't have it all wrong, when they talk about how they heard about it: acting school teacher warning, other actress during the audition of pilot season talking about it, during parties, etc... all situation that would have never occur to Judy Dench or Streep, a young actress that would have heard that Weinstein is dangerous would have never felt the need to tell Streep or Dench to protect them and telling them would have been a really big deal, will they confront him about it, will they say who told them during the argument, etc... ? The other way people said the knew but didn't was the indirect rumors mills, and well every people that have been long enough in the business had rumors about themselves they knew for a fact were false and probably just stopped believe all of those all together, having in general better sources anyway. John Stewart explanation about why he didn't knew about Louis CK when random nobodies on the Internet seamed to know make a lot of sense. Has for working closely with him, that is also to be taken for a grain of salt, Harvey didn't show on set on every movie they distributed are were often a distributor not involved into the creative process, even more so with just actors. It is not like a director.
  23. If true, that figure of 14m, I doubt it has much chance to flop like said above it could do over 100% of is budget in the domestic market OW. The movie trailer's metrics are really good and it's marketing budget seem way bigger than it's production budget, a good sign: http://variety.com/2018/digital/news/the-post-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202658186/ Also of note: “Proud Mary” had the best iSpot Attention Index (135) in the ranking, getting 35% fewer interruptions than the average movie ad (interruptions include changing the channel, pulling up the guide, fast-forwarding or turning off the TV). And it is in some of the genre/target audience that care the less about critics/reviews/RT.
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