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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. It did well on physical sales: https://www.the-numbers.com/home-market/packaged-media-sales/2018 1 Black Panther 4,490,907 $91,440,357 2 The Greatest Showman 4,382,582 $66,903,991 3 Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Last Jedi 4,044,626 $87,163,992 4 Coco 3,769,748 $72,856,788 5 Avengers: Infinity War 3,741,435 $112,835,415 6 Incredibles 2 3,371,535 $66,584,494 7 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 3,350,026 $65,038,111 8 Deadpool 2 3,345,679 $58,731,341 9 Thor: Ragnarok 3,216,583 $67,404,214 10 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom 3,036,069 $59,338,412 100% of the sales being in 2018 probably help a little bit versus some title that would splitted sales a bit, but still... Legs, cinemascore, post-theater performance are all strong. Beloved do not lead necessarily to a big success sequel either (I imagine people liked Ted quite a bit), a movie success revolving on a high concept like can indeed drop.
  2. Yes Avatar was an impressive 72% of the bo in 3D apparently (in the first month at least) so probably comfortably above 50% in ticket sales: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2657 Avatar's 3D presentations have accounted for 72 percent or $1.35 billion of its total gross. Breaking that down, 3D's domestic share is 80 percent, and its foreign share is 69 percent.
  3. In Avatar case it was a little bit of different movie with a different run time: https://www.vanityfair.com/hollywood/2010/08/qa-james-cameron-talks-about-avatars-re-release Same with the altered post-credit for the Avengers, I would imagine that altering the movie make it more clear-cut re-release, versus re-expension like Jurassic World had.
  4. I think it is easy to forget how big the Hangover / Meet the fockers / Rush hours / Home Alone got. Rank Title (click to view) Studio Adjusted Gross Unadjusted Gross Release 1 Rush Hour 2 NL $360,024,800 $226,164,286 8/3/01 2 Rush Hour NL $269,285,000 $141,186,864 9/18/98 3 Rush Hour 3 NL $183,508,000 $140,125,968 8/10/07 1 Meet the Fockers Uni. $397,998,900 $279,261,160 12/22/04 2 Meet the Parents Uni. $277,441,500 $166,244,045 10/6/00 3 Little Fockers Uni. $168,507,900 $148,438,600 12/22/10 1 The Hangover WB $334,864,700 $277,322,503 6/5/09 2 The Hangover Part II WB $284,602,500 $254,464,305 5/26/11 3 The Hangover Part III WB $120,771,400 $112,200,072 5/23/13 Average mojo ticket Fockers: 31.2 Rush Hours: 30.1 Austin powers: 29.7 Hangover: 27.4 Night at the museum: 24.9 Home Alone made 610M adjusted, the sequel 377m.
  5. Not sure the element here, EndGame was not a Nolan 2D movie, it is one of the biggest 3D grosser of all time, probably the biggest IMAX grosser of all time (https://www.imax.com/content/marvel-studios-avengers-endgame-nearly-doubles-imax-all-time-worldwide-opening-box-office) and I would imagine of most PLF format that exist. If made 540m in 3D tickets OW and 91m in IMAX.
  6. Historically that really did not went well in some case too and I would imagine the fact the theater make so much more on those ticket sales is a good incentive to at least play them. But many study do suggest they should modulate pricing more (period of the year, day, week https://web.stanford.edu/~leinav/pubs/IRLE2007.pdf or in bigger font: http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.197.2740&rep=rep1&type=pdf Apparently the main strength has been distributor that refuse their movie to be played in theater chain that do not do the uniform pricing and a certain time before computer the added complexity, a distributor cannot be involved legally in the ticket price (paramount decree) but can all together influence it by accepting or not the movie to be played at all. IF the law would be changed and that the distributor could be involved in the negotiation of the ticket price, I imagine we would see much more variability in them (but maybe not, maybe it would be seen has extremely dirty to try to underprice the competition and not done)
  7. It is not like End Games wasn't selling a lot of those (and a lot of PLF that proliferated over the year's) https://www.businessinsider.com/avengers-endgame-crosses-2-billion-worldwide-2019-5 May 5: And on the 3D front, tomorrow the movie will be the third in history to generate over $1 billion worldwide in just 3D ticket sales ("Force Awakens" and "Avatar"). 45% of "Endgame" ticket sales are from 3D.
  8. No doubt ? Footage of Gone with the Wind premiere are quire ridiculous (there was rumors of 300,000 people): Phantom Menace is an other quite anticipated non sequel, it is really hard to beat the first Star Wars movie in 15 year's finally happening:
  9. I would bet it was never used in female MMA once and that it is not even a real move (more of a demonstration that require the other person to play along), let alone a practical one if some more realistic variant do exist. It is done for the same reason they do it in art martial demonstration, impressive to look at (that what matter for a movie)
  10. Not sure I remember a reliable publication ever mentionning screening report before a movie release, they are only mentionned if the distributor decide to tell them the score and in that case it will always be positive like : https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/guardians-galaxy-vol-2-scores-extremely-rare-100-test-screening-974277 Has for Deadpool 2 according to the reliable publication it tested better than the first: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/deadpool-2-outscores-original-test-screenings-1095838 I do not remember anyone or any serious platform talking about bad deadpool 2 test screenings.
  11. 400m feel really big for this, 300m would probably be already big hit outside being China heavy scenario like Tomb Raider was. Ocean 8 is a recent reboot of an arguably 66% or so more popular 2000s franchise and was a nice big success at 300m, this will probably be less domestic heavy too, but I am not sure what the argument to get above Ocean 8 is.
  12. People expected 190m dbo / 330m WW for 22 JS ? http://cms.pro.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2014-04-long-range-forecast-22-jump-street Long range pro box office had it : 22 Jump Street Jun 13, 2014 Sony / Columbia $48,000,000 $143,000,000 I think it vastly overperformed, looking at leaking e-mail mentionned and accounting prediction of the movie, they were talking about a target of 75-80m at the intl box office, it made 140m intl, and 135m dbo (close to box office pro forecast) and it almost made 200m. Oh 100m, that a tad higher than I thought, I expected Men in Black/Magnificent 7 treatment and a small 75-80m type of affair. P.S. 22 JS was an over 80m production with a net cost of 69m, not 50
  13. The movie look quite cheaper that the 2 previous entry that made around 260m WW (264m and 259m). Has for Jump street 22 doing only OK numbers, not sure many would agree that a nearly 200m dbo for a mid comedy is just ok. The movie had a small 69m net budget Was expected to break even at 121m WW, was expected to make a good use of money at 177m WW and was budgeted to make 200m at first, it ended up making 331m, business total that was estimated to generating over 100m of millions of profit and over 30m in bonus, 22 JS was a big success story.
  14. The way the action scene is cut, do seem to be a bit more from the pre-Raid and co. change, rapid cut, not seeing much, not feeling real weight/velocity/impact, so I guess it will be more about the comedy. Teaser does not look bad imo, seem to be playing it 100% safe too.
  15. In many market, many have no idea about admission too, only people like you with actual ticket sales numbers know. Specially release with ticket than went from $6 to over $25 like this one, how big rebate Tuesday got over time, must be quite the challenge in markets that do not count admissions, like it is domestic (where it is pretty much impossible like domestic).
  16. There is certainly a plus for a movie to be able sustain interest over time and re-release, it is different it is some strange drive-in affair a la Spectre/Wrinkle in time and a Dark Knight. I get the notion of an * if it is a different movie in some ways (3D added, different cut/supplement material), but if it is the exact same movie every big movie ever get them and it would be really bad otherwise.
  17. If someone got a fairdeal to make unique stuff from WB/Hollywood/(Germany-Tom Hanks) is the The Wachowskis. Fair in the sense they got multiple shot at giant budget, not common on the big screen affair that failed but they made them so much Matrix money that everybody is probably happy with it.
  18. You do not want to upset the Marvel group (and they are probably closer to them) and not giving them that record.
  19. Considering how stable inflation have been and pretty much every country is using the same strategy, I imagine there is some but rather low ? Like 2014/2015 was a very low inflation time but a giant shift in ER. I guess I am not sure what you mean, surely if the US would start to have a 10% inflation rate and no one would follow the dollar would loose relative strength to other device. I feel like big inflation/big interest rate versus the other country would affect ER quite fast and directly but that usual stable affair, like the US has since the mid 90s do not tell us much.
  20. I am not sure we know the budget for either those movies, but inflation adjusted to rise production year Dark Knight rumored $185m net would have become 206m, not that far from the rumored 230M for dark Knight rises. But I am not sure if any of those figure are true, Spider Man 3 made around that time got a 299.76m net budget.
  21. Probably should have been a movie or just a short season, the high concept is interesting and fun to explore but empty quite fast.
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