Zakiyyah6

Don't see Apes only doing 45-46mil this weekend so I don't believe Spidey has a ghost of a chance of being number one. Apes is at least going to hit 55mil and Spidey will be incredibly super duper lucky if it hits 50mil.

I love seeing Cars and T5 numbers under Wonder Woman's.

I'm sticking with my near 49mil number but of course I easily think that it could do around those numbers. Honestly I kind of expect it to do around those numbers.

I'm convinced the Emoji Movie is going to flop. Not because I don't want to see it but because I don't think it's going to be that appealing to the people that it is aimed. Sometimes people totally over predict movies because they think they look bad but they want to be fair to them and I think this is one of those movies.

I agree it's unlikely but it's in my range anyway.

I'll say between 45-50mil. 50 million is the best case scenario.

Good reviews do not automatically mean that it is going to be huge. People keep saying it's the best movie of the year! So what? That is an opinion and it doesn't mean that the film is going to retain the audience from the previous movie. There are people who keep saying that Logan is the best comic book movie in their opinion and it's not going to be the highest grossing one nor is it going to have the best legs. I wanted it to over perform as well but it isn't and it wouldn't be shocking if it went below 60 million for the weekend. Every time people pretend that the preview numbers don't mean anything they come away disappointed this year. I remember when alien Covenant preview numbers were amazing because they were above the last movie's midnight numbers and so on and so forth.

Spidey is so closely following Ant-Man that it's scary. I honestly wouldn't be shocked if it continued into the weekend. I expected Wonder Woman to stay about even/drop 1 or 2% so that number doesn't surprise me.

That's not a good number for War. It will be lucky to hit 60mil this weekend. I was hoping for more but what are ya gonna do?

It's difficult to say because I've only done a few weeks of number crunching on it and you never know with late legs and good word of mouth. Personally I like concrete second weekend numbers before doing projections.

I predicted an 8 to 10 percent drop for Spider-Man. And even with the final numbers that's what it's going to land. My 48.6mil prediction will not change. I roll my eyes every time I see someone compare Spider-Man's numbers to Wonder Woman's because they have not been behaving the same. That Apes late night number is weak. it needed around 7 million and it didn't get that. 70 million is dead. The studio should be happy if it hits 60mil.

Every year people predict Jessica Chastain is going to be nominated and she isn't. Jessica Chastain is great but I think she's a quiet type of actress who doesn't hustle in that way to get a nomination unless the movie/performance is undeniable to the voters. I would not predict her unless she had a lot of other Award nominations going into the Oscar nominations.

Yes it always would have been more front-loaded but usually movies that have big drops from Friday to Saturday have a corrective drop on Sunday. And by corrective I mean around a 10 - 15% and that didn't happen. It's Sunday drop off was pretty normal. People compared the movie to Dark Knight but the Dark Knight dropped 8% so the comparison is not correct. There has been no sign of course correction in its numbers so far.

If Spidey was so special like Wonder Woman it's weekend multi would have been stronger.

It's weekday numbers are nothing special for July. Of course it has stronger weekdays than Wonder Woman, it's July and it opened with 15mil more. It's not increasing 79% because it's mid July and not early June. Around 60% is the best it can hope for and it wouldn't be surprising if it only increased 51-53%. It's not going up 55% on Saturday because it is mid July, the best it can hope for is 45% but it will probably be more like 35-40%.

And I think you are ignoring Homecoming's frontloaded opening weekend which Wonder Woman DID NOT have. The comparison is dubious at best solely based on that alone. Furthermore good reviews and word of mouth does not automatically equal a less than 50% drop for a film that opens with over a 100mil.

Thanks for the numbers. They are not going to happen but I appreciate that you answered my post. Personally I don't believe it's getting close to 60mil either.

Spidey is doing fine, acknowledging that it will not do 60mil this weekend is not a slight against it.

Please crunch the Thur, Friday, Sat and Sun numbers and show me how the film will make 60mil?

But it's not just highly unlikely it flat-out has no chance of happening. Stop comparing this movie to Get out and Wonder Woman. Its run has been nothing like theirs so far.

60mil was dead when the film only did 12.2mil on Monday.

9.9 is around where I expected it to be. It should have an 8-10% drop today and a 55-60% jump on Friday.

No mid 40's is not a 65% drop.

Of course it isn't.

Yep, that's why we don't get super early numbers for it.