Nobody is passing Final Judgement. people are discussing what the potential numbers could be. And they'll discuss what the actual estimates are when they come in.
If it continues to follow Ant-Man then of course I think that it could easily drop 60% and I'm already predicting something close to that. I might even predict 60% when I see all the numbers. And I'm already predicting a 60% Boost from Thursday to Friday by the way. That's why how I'm coming up with my projections. Of course I'm predicting it to drop 9 or 10% today. The Thursday number will be really important.
So I'm projecting Spidey to play out like this.
15.05mil
9.8mil-35%
8.9mil-9%
14.2+60%
19.2mil+35%
15.2-21%
Weekend Total:
48.6mil-58.4%
Of course my projections will change when the real numbers come in.
I think 400mil is going to be a close call either way for Wonder Woman. It will be interesting to see how Baby Driver holds up in the face of competition like Apes.
I don't think 50mil is guaranteed. It really depends on how it holds up against Apes. I'm basing that on number crunching I did last night. Of course I had Tuesday doing 15.9mil. I wasn't far off enough to care about the difference.
Who said the number was bad? Why are you so bothered by certain people's analysis of the numbers? There is a reason that no box office analyst are treating these expected numbers as amazing.
Transformers is just profusely bleeding audience. I still think it's funny that even though the international numbers are still huge that they have gone down significantly from the last movie. This one truly is the end of the line for the Bay Transformers I think.
I feel like I'm an opposite land this year. It is amazing to see the amount of hardcore Marvel fans be so jealous of the success of the Wonder Woman movie. Usually it's DC fans crying about Marvel success. It's very interesting. Certainly I wish these hardcore groups could enjoy more than one thing but they can't.
I stand by my nobody checks on Metacritic to decide whether to see a movie or not. It's nowhere near as ubiquitous and popular as Rotten Tomatoes. Studios boldly use Rotten Tomatoes in their advertisements. If they use Metacritic it's a tiny little thing.
I agree with your assessment but I'm afraid to say that for fear of looking like a hater or an overreactor or something.
People continue to say The Dark Knight dropped 29% but the Dark Knight also dropped 8% from Saturday to Sunday. Usually movies that have Hefty Friday to Saturday drops stabilized and have really tiny drops on Sunday and Homecoming's drop-off merely okay. I know the conversation is going to change when the movie gets it's normal Tuesday bump and people forget that every movie gets that but right now and I haven't seen anything that is super impressive about it's run.
I remember when people were claiming that Logan was going to have really long legs because it had great reviews.