Ms Lady Hawk

Of course, Diana doesn’t need Steve and Clark doesn’t need Lois. However, the best movies/artistic pieces are the ones where human beings (general audience) can relate to the character- whether that be through love or some other emotional connective tissue. Steve and Lois are conduits that allow us to connect to the super beings on screen. When Superman turns back time in defiance of Jor-El to bring Lois back, who didn’t feel his anguish? Emotions elevate art and movie making. You bring up Captain Marvel and I am not taking anything from it, as it is a good movie, but I just do not put it in league with: Superman the movie, Wonder Woman, Black Panther, The Dark Knight, Spider-man and Spider-man 2. In the first Spider-man movie, the connection was to Uncle Ben. In the second, it was to MJ. But unlike WW and Superman, Spider-Man and Batman are already human. They just experienced either a trauma or an extraordinary event that led them to become super heroes. That in and of itself can make the audience take the journey with them.

Exactly! Not only was he smoking, but he was tough, sensitive and principled. And he fell in love with her, but wasn’t dominated by her. Remember the scene when she knocks out the bell tower? When she doesn’t emerge quickly, he falls to his knees in what appears to be agony and the chief pats him on the shoulder. Diana, then appears and everyone claps. Little scenes like that show so much about their relationship. He was definitely WW’s Lois Lane. So whoever made that analogy was spot on. Superman doesn’t need Lois Lane, he is an all powerful godlike entity; but she helps to humanize him. Likewise, WW doesn’t need Steve Trevor, she is an immortal Demi-goddess, but he anchors her to mankind and its struggles. Through him, she saw the dichotomy of mankind- capable of good and evil. That is why she was able to more easily reject Ares’ philosophy when she was tempted by her anger to destroy the woman she saw as being responsible for Steve’s death. Now, that clip of Chris Hemsworth was really nice to see. There are many little girls like his daughters. WW has mesmerized and influenced another generation. Captain Marvel will be around for a long time too now. She will soon have the crown for highest grossing female superhero film, but I would be surprised if WW didn’t reclaim that crown in 2020.

When do we get RT rating for Endgame? This movie will be ratings proof though. It is destined for historical proportions. The hype is real. I snagged tix for 11AM on Friday.

Everything except CM will probably drop at least 60% next weekend, but they should rebound. I think Endgame hype will end up adding an extra ~20 million to CM’s gross, which it may otherwise not have earned. For all the angst some purported to have about Shazam, it is doing just fine. It should get to ~150 million.

Good for COL. Shazam is going to be at around 125 million by the time Endgame comes out. It should end its run at around 150, if it stabilizes after next weekend. Pretty good. Captain Marvel is rolling along like a juggernaut- fueled by Endgame, of course. Wouldn’t be shocked to see it higher than 7 million. Little dropped harder than I thought it would.

Diana is every woman. You can see in her what you want. I have a feeling that WW84 is going to be massive. People fell in love with Diana and Steve’s story. The WW television series also showed Steve as her love interest. Moreover, Diana was the youngest Amazon on the island. She could have presumably been involved with a much older Amazon or maybe she wasn’t. Even if she were, women would have been all she was exposed to. Once she arrived in the “world of men”, she apparently was attracted to a man, who became the love of her life.. There were no relationships with women, even as shown in JL. Therefore, maybe she discovered her sexuality and prefers being a straight woman.

You might be correct, but judging off historical data for this week, 14-15 million is not happening with a 2 million Thursday. It needs about a 5 million Friday, and Fridays look to be around 80-110% jump from Thursday. Moreover, the jump on Saturday will likely be muted. So maybe 5 + 6 + 4 for 15. Maybe last year was an anomaly, but last year the box office was good for Easter week, but not as weekend loaded as usual for this time of the year.

Looks like CM will finish with a very respectable 2.7- 2.8 multiplier.

I don’t think it will do as low as 800K and definitely not 700K. It has a chance to be higher than last week due to the fact that this Monday’s drop will be a lot softer coming off a great weekend. We shall see!

Definitely possible. It had a great weekend. That’s what a 31% drop will do to the trajectory.

Yeah, this week is good for 60/70 Monday drops. If it follows BP, then it will drop about 64% which would be about 915K from 2.53 Sunday.

Good holds so far across the board. CM should be over/under 900K. It is Spring Break week for a lot of schools.

I think one of Deadline’s articles said that 24% of K-12 will be off this coming week, as opposed to almost zero last week. On a Thursday, that number balloons to about 79%.

So what kind of Monday drops are we looking at now that there will be some kids out of school?

Friday increase was also better for Shazam! +167 v +149.

That could be because of the huge jumps on prior two days. Maybe law of gravity applies. The bigger the jump, the harder the drop?

Good for Shazam! Great for CM. Us dropped slightly below 50%. @baumer 😜😜 Hope actuals bear that out as well.

Thank you, Elsa Roc! By April 18th, isn’t it likely CM would be at 389.5, rather than 387 based on this weekend? That would shift the numbers upward.

Thanks for the analysis. Are you accounting for Spring break week? CM should benefit from the week of almost summer like weekdays. It may have enough to catch JW: Fallen Kingdom at 417.

Someone will come in and say CM2 will outgross WW84. I don’t think CM2 will have a 50 million head start on WW84 though. And I don’t think WW84 will be as leggy as WW. I think that is what made the run so memorable and fun. Anyway, the fact that we can have a discussion about two female superheroes and their movies at this level is really great. CM is showing some really nice late legs and I think that is exciting her fans on a weekly basis as well. I remember WW fans were so excited as it approached Spider-Man’s box office. If WW84 is well reviewed and marketed properly, it will have a very nice run. I won’t attempt to make any preliminary predictions until I can get a feel for the movie. Maybe when we see a trailer.

CM will outgross WW, but with a lot of help from Endgame. Wonder Woman did it unassisted and with the weight of the DC brand at the time. It served as a turning point for DC. Box office grosses are meant to be surpassed. Even the great Raimi Spider-Man movie was eclipsed by BP and WW. Some day, a movie will come along and outgross BP, Infinity War, Avatar, The Force Awakens, etc. That is how things work. Box office runs are entertaining to watch because of benchmarks. No one should lose any sleep over what a movie grosses. With that said, Shazam! hold is okay. I wish it were better. Very good for CM. Perhaps a good hold for Us too, it it can get to 7 million for the weekend. I think that would be less than 50% drop.

Yeah, I was hoping the 25 million would stick. Maybe it will surprise us on Saturday like it did last week. 56% second weekend drop is about the same as CM in its second weekend. It’s a normal drop.

Game of Thrones is starting this Sunday and it may throw the box office a little bit off.

Okay. No need to go back and forth on this point but you wrote that in order for Shazam! to show it is a family movie, it has to do 180-200% Friday; 70-100% Saturday AND under 30% drop from Saturday to Sunday. Apart from one weekend in Beauty and The Beast’s run, I didn’t see that breakdown as being prevalent. Perhaps it happens here and there during a movie’s run, but it is far from the norm. Doesn’t happen consistently in this day and age. At least not often enough to be any sort of defining criteria.

Exactly, but respectfully that is not what you wrote. You said UNDER 30% Sunday.