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Ms Lady Hawk

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Everything posted by Ms Lady Hawk

  1. Different release dates. Saturday may have a larger increase for SLOP2. SLOP was released during full on summer with no schools in. SLOP2 different story. Could be 55M with 16M true Friday in my opinion.
  2. 62% starting today. Meaning today is the last day of school for many. As of yesterday, the preview night, only about 50% were out. “On the other hand, the first film came out in the middle of the holidays, while only about 50% of schools are out right now, so it is not a huge surprise this film didn’t earn as much during previews, as many of its target audience had school the next day.” https://m.the-numbers.com/news/239520830-Thursday-Night-Previews-Dark-Phoenix-Sinks-Below-Apocalypse
  3. I completely agree. People are so anxious to call flops here, especially when its another studio not related to the mouse. Objectively speaking, it won’t take too much of a heavy lift to have Pets 2 turn a profit. Profitability is the main objective of a studio.
  4. I don’t know what Fox was thinking pumping in 200M into this movie. It has no chance of making a profit during its theatrical run. However, the X-Men are lucky to be out of Fox’s hands now. Disney will probably reboot the franchise and this movie will be forgotten faster than its theatrical run.
  5. WW got off to a slower start than it otherwise would have because the DCEU was in the midst of a bad run. Its momentum picked up based on its quality and people who saw it deemed it a worthy cinematic adaptation of the comic and/or tv show of their youth. I don’t think the momentum reached its crescendo, so that is why I do think this movie has a chance to surpass the first both domestically and overseas. Fact is CM did benefit greatly from Endgame and that is fine. The MCU earned that. The late legs on CM was built mostly on its tie in to Endgame. We will never know what the movie would have done without the looming release of the 22 movie culmination that Endgame was. I am sure that in their own way, the DCEU would love to build their brand to something close to what MCU has. Anyways, CM and WW are female superheroes. That is the only way that they are compatible. Don’t think we should turn this into a franchise war debate though. CM did great. Excited to see what WW84 does. Judging by the only metric we have, which is the poster, I would say it is off to a very good start. The buzz created was awesome. We’ll see if that and other promo translate into a great run.
  6. I don’t get the question. But I hope we’re still going by week 9. Sooooo... No
  7. I hope expectations stay modest. Part of the really special part of the first movie’s run was that it kept exceeding expectations. I think some here may be underestimating how much the character is loved. She is a symbol of femininity and female empowerment/strength. But hey, I could be wrong. We shall see.
  8. Once again, we run into the situation where people set themselves up for disappointment based on expectations. In Endgame’s case, I certainly understood the over predictions more than usual. I mean, the movie exceeded every lofty expectation from the moment tickets went on sale. There is nothing disappointing about its numbers. From what I gather, the disappointment is with Endgame not breaking TFA’s record and probably not Avatar’s record either. But make no mistake, Disney is over the moon with this juggernaut’s performance. It will gross more than certain studios do in a single year. Let’s celebrate the movie as much as we can, because what we witnessed was breath taking, exhilarating and just flat out crazy.
  9. The poster is still trending on Twitter. The reaction is phenomenal. Nice buzz building step. Now, over the next year, they need to cut a good trailer. Then, good to great reviews would seal a really good summer run.
  10. Thank you for this. Definitely sucks that it looks like we have to wait for December to see a trailer. With that said, this poster is 🔥
  11. Maybe you’re right, but the first WW wasn’t only successful because of the cultural aspects. That came into effect as her box office built up. A lot of the success of the first film was based more on women who watched the tv version going out to watch her. I think they will come out again. I know, I will multiple times.
  12. King Kong and Godzilla movies never seem to over perform. They either perform within expectations or more often than not underperform. Therefore, I don’t know whether there was ever an appetite for a universe based on these monsters. I am not surprised that KOTM under performed. Anecdotally, I have no desire to see it and neither do any of my friends, especially when the 2014 Godzilla was just flat out bad.
  13. Ah... No! We were speaking of domestic numbers, so chill. We have no idea what the international release dates will be and the conversation focused around release dates for which only domestic is known at this time. By the way, it would be nice to know context before butting into a conversation. Let me help you out, one poster was saying that Marvel shouldn’t be underestimated and that Black Widow would beat WW. He stated that each time MCU has gone against DCEU, they have won. I have no hate toward the MCU whatsoever. I happen to love WW though. So of course, it was right up my alley to dispute that. Outside of WW, I could care less who wins in MCU v DCEU battles. I am not that invested in either franchise. Fin
  14. Cuts both ways, as many predicted Mary Poppins would kill Aquaman. Although, Mary Poppins wasn’t MCU, it was still Disney. If we go MCU, many thought GOTG2 would crush WW. Narrator’s voice: It didn’t.
  15. Wonder Woman is fine where it is currently slated. It had great success in the same spot in 2017 and there doesn’t appear to be much that would block it from achieving success on par with 2017 in 2020. Why should WB bump it up to April 24th, when Black Widow is probably coming out the following week? Makes zero sense! Let Marvel have that slot. They’ve had success with it and Black Widow or whatever untitled Marvel project would have room to breathe before WW84.
  16. So happy for Octavia Spencer. Disappointing for Kong. Definitely an underperformance. It was tracking at 50-55 and will open ~5% under that. People throw the words “locked” and “flop” on here too much. At this point, as baumer said, legs are irrelevant in evaluating Endgame. It has made a boatload of cash and will end second domestically and probably WW too. I do think that its run should caution some who thought it was “locked” to gross 1B DOM a and 3B WW. There’s a reason why Avatar and Star Wars have had their records for years. It simply isn’t easy to reach those heights. I just hope that the fact that people set themselves up for disappointment by predicting such lofty numbers doesn’t diminish the absolute monster run we witnessed. Let’s see how it plays out. In my opinion, Endgame has about a 10% chance of passing Avatar. We are likely looking at 840 DOM, 630 China and 1.285 OS-C right now. Maybe late legs will kick in and boost it higher.
  17. Can we move all the Pattinson as Batman talk to another thread? This thread is about the movies currently out and how they are or will perform this weekend?
  18. Who knows what to believe on these projections? Variety can be conservative and Deadline is Deadline. Thing is, Deadline actually had Friday numbers. Variety did not. However, Deadline is often off with their numbers. Did I say that it’s hard to gauge these projections?
  19. 1.136 for Endgame. 6.42 for Aladdin. Daily Domestic Chart for Thursday May 30, 2019 ← Previous Chart Chart Index Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Aladdin Walt Disney $6,420,525 -14% 4,476 $1,434 $142,697,174 7 Previews Godzilla: King of the Monsters Warner Bros. $6,300,000 $6,300,000 Previews Rocketman Paramount Pictures $1,750,000 $1,750,000 Previews MA Universal $1,400,000 2,400 $583 $1,400,000 - (3) Avengers: Endgame Walt Disney $1,136,901 -12% 3,810 $298 $807,688,784 35 - (4) Pokémon: Detective Pikachu Warner Bros. $1,009,481 -10% 3,824 $264 $123,936,211 21 - (6) BrightBurn Sony Pictures $491,156 -29% 2,607 $188 $11,897,552 7 - (7) A Dog’s Journey Universal $352,150 -19% 3,279 $107 $17,724,470 14 - (9) The Intruder Sony Pictures $163,049 -36% 1,612 $101 $33,397,166 28 - (11) Poms STX Entertainment $108,128
  20. Thank you, Charlie. Looks like average 30% drops for top three. With Endgame, it would have been nice to see it drop in the 20s considering it had the heaviest drop on Tuesday.
  21. Thank you! Wonder why the drops were so good compared to last year. 🙁about Endgame
  22. Really good holds all around. Looks like everything dropped less than 60%.
  23. Endgame’s number looks good too. Better than the ~62% drop of IW.
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