Ms Lady Hawk

Found this on Twitter from an account named 143 Cinema. Anyone know anything about this person? Anyways, they have this as the actuals. #AvengersEndgame Friday (incl premiers) $156,065,580 Saturday $108,514,994 Sunday $88,436,640 Total domestic gross $353,017,214 and beat the analyst estimates.

Just to put things into perspective about how bonkers this movie is doing. WW and CM fans will understand. Both fan groups root(ed)so hard for their movie to reach and surpass 400+. Every week, we hope for good drops, survey the competition and pull up comparable to gauge trends. Here, you have this beast who will pass 400 million by the end of the week. Simply incredible. We must realize that this kind of thing doesn’t happen very often. Maybe once a decade, if that. I cannot get enough of it. I am astonished. All of us movie fans are lucky to be here to witness this.

Sometimes the numbers pre release really do tell the story. Some members did great work on the forecasting thread. As the numbers came in, they showed us an OW pointing to 315M, 330M, 350M, yet because these were numbers so hard to conceive, many of us understandably doubted. Kudos to those who didn’t. Lo and behold, it really is happening. OMG, this is a box office run for the ages. One to which we will compare other movies who endeavor reaching lofty heights from here on out. Absolutely unreal. There are no superlatives left!

Awesome! Congratulations to Endgame on the previews record. I think it will stand for a while. Just want to pay some respect to The Force Awakens. It took a behemoth to take it down. But much respect for achieving 57 million before the exponential rise of presales and premium seating. Disney is home to the two most successful movie franchises in history. Now, let’s see if more history can be made with 300M. It is definitely getting the OW record.

Rth, you are invaluable to this forum. Thank you for adding some understanding to how the data works. Basically, Deadline saw an early number based on their access and it was not necessarily accurate. Now, I understand why you do not like to report preview estimates. 👍

Right now we don’t know anything. It would have probably been better if Deadline offered nothing until they had a clearer picture after midnight. They did mention schools being out, so that is why I think their estimate is leaving room open for more walk ups as the night plays out. As I said, who knows though?

Maybe it’s because this movie is unique in that it had the biggest presales of all time AND it is playing around the clock at some theaters. I know that Empire in NY is playing it all night. That is why they are leaving room to grow. They may know the presales but have no idea about walk ups for so many show times. I am not defending Deadline. They are a hot mess some times.

The number will be much higher. Deadline usually comes in low on preview numbers. I remember their estimate for Shazam! a few week ago was way low. Same thing here. Deadline gonna Deadline. Let’s just wait and see.

I actually think it will be more dependent on the reviews than those two movies that precede it. If it is well reviewed and marketed, I too think it will reach 180-200M. Why wouldn’t it, if those factors play out? She has a chance to own the summer.

Oh, I really appreciate that. I am competitive, but will take this as a learning experience. By the time a derby roles around again, I will be more solid. I did complete my predictions last night. It took me a while. Overall, I think I may be on the high side of things. We’ll see though. Lol. But hey, I really really do appreciate the words of advice and the guidance. You’re awesome! 👍

Thank you! I am looking forward to it! Should be fun. Thanks again for taking the time to welcome me and to advise me on how to get started.

 A: Domestic top 15:  1) Avengers- Endgame - 757M 2) The Lion King - 724M 3) Toy Story - 480M 4) Spider-Man: Far From Home - 365 5) Secret Life of Pets- 320M 6) Detective Pikachu- 302M 7) Aladdin- 292M 😎 Godzilla- 287M 9) Men In Black - 275M 10) Fast & The Furious- Hobbs & Shaw- 270M  11) Rocket Man- 240M 12) Dark Phoenix - 235M 13) Dora and The Lost City- 220M 14) New Mutants- 210M 15) Annabelle Comes Home- 147M Backup 16*) It- Chapter 2- 125M *Only used if a film above exits the game  B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Avengers Endgame- 279.8M 2) The Lion King- 217M 3) Toy Story 4- 185M 4) Spider-Man: Far From Home - 145M 5) Detectice Pikachu- 85M 6) Secret Life of Pets- 72M 7) Godzilla- 67M Backup 8*) Hobbs & Shaw- 63.3M *Only used if a film above exits the game  😄 Worldwide top 12:  1) Avengers Endgame 2.35B 2) The Lion King- 1.57B 3) Toy Story - 1.2B 4) Spider-Man: Far From Home- 950M 5) Godzilla - 877M 6) Fast & Furious- Hobbs and Shaw- 850M 7) Secret Life of Pets- 820M 😎 9) Aladdin - 750M 10) Rocket Man- 735M 11) Men In Black - 720M 12) Dark Phoenix- 470M Backup 13*) New Mutants- 375M *Only used if a film above exits the game 😧 TOP 5 Weekends  1) April 26–April 28- 370M 2) July 19- July 31- 320M 3) June 21- June 23- 295M 4) July 13- July 15- 250M 5) June 4- June 6- 230M 6) May 10- May 12- 225M *Only used if a film above exits the game E: Multipliers 1) Rocket Man- 5.5 2) Toy Story 4- 4.0 3) The Lion King- 3.8 4) Secret Life of Pets- 3.5 5) Detective Pikachu- 3.35 backup 6*) Dora The Lost City - 3.0 *Only used if a film above exits the game  F: Total Grosses Top 15 DOM) 5.124B Top7 OW) 1.263B Top 12 WW) 11.292B Top 5 W/E) 919.9M Average Multi). 4.03 

Week 1- Yes

This will be my first time playing any sort of game. When and where do we put our predictions?

Seeing all this fantastic buzz and the out of this world numbers for Endgame, I am wondering whether this movie can do 500 million, if it is well reviewed. I would love to see it own the summer. I think it can increase 25% over the first one. But it needs to be well reviewed to really blow up. DC/Warner has been uneven with critics, but recently the trend has been heading in the right direction. I really think if DC/Warner play their cards right, this can be huge. 450-500 million kind of huge. It won’t have the low end opening week as the first movie had and should have a decent multiplier since it has a summer release (maybe 2.6 - 3.0). Super hero movies are here to stay!

I’m really not making it deep. You have just mentioned it several times. It seems really important to you. So congratulations. CM will do it!

Why is passing WW a milestone as opposed to the other films it will pass? CM did open 50 million higher than WW, it was expected to pass it since the opening weekend. Many people were predicting at least 450 for a finish due to its tie ins with Endgame. Would have been somewhat disappointing for it not to make it to at least a 2.7-2.8 multiplier with all the advantages it had. By advantages, I mean being a good film, being tied to Endgame marketing and releasing just weeks before Endgame.

DOM: $278,500,000 OS-China: $453,800,000 China- $271,000,000 Global Total: $1,003,300,000

True. But it has to cut both ways. A few people thought that Shazam would be disappointing if it grossed less than 400 million, but that Thor was a success due to its 450 million gross. Many of those people didn’t take into account that Thor had a budget ~50% higher than Shazam. Just would like to see folks make an attempt at objectivity some times. But what fun is that? 😛😛😛

Congrats to CM on crossing 400 million! Shazam has a good shot at 400 million final global gross. It probably can do an additional 35 million domestically and 40 million overseas. Plus add about another 10 from Japan.

My son isn’t really into superheroes yet. He likes them, but he is more into cartoon characters. He is still young, so he has time.

So his two sons made him watch the movie “100x”? 😂 I’m sure the number is hyperbole, but conveys that he(they) have watched it a lot. OMG! That is even more great. He is as awesome a dad as he is gorgeous. WW broadening her fan base.

I enjoyed both CM and Aquaman, but I enjoyed CM more out of the two. The acting in Aquaman was bad at times. The visuals were fantastic though. Whereas, I went into CM expecting a pretty dry Brie Larson. But she surprised me. I thought she was charming and even funny at times. And I loved Nick Fury and that cat.

In.

I think they could have explored what she left behind on earth more. I know they tried with her best friend and her best friend’s daughter, but it was more to connect her to her past (who she was) rather than for an emotional connection. I do think there are opportunities for CM2. The movie was a crowd pleaser and a lot of times, that is all a movie needs to be to be successful. Not every movie has to be a critical darling. The ones that are usually have that emotional punch also. Superman Returns has great emotion but was not a crowd pleaser, so it under-performed. Just the right mix is what makes a movie timeless. That’s what I wanted to convey. No digs at CM. I enjoyed it. I can’t wait to see more of her story on screen.