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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Superb. Third Avatar series when. Gimme gimme gimme
  2. Cooper Legion
    In theory if everything goes wrong I guess you’ve got like, 34*4.4? Doesn’t seem very realistic.
  3. Cooper Legion
    Pretty great! Wonder how much it will drop.
  4. Cooper Legion
    No way. With 39 it’s gotta be less than 50% to hit 200M. I’d say like 44M or so, since 43M needs a 4.65 IM and it’s not too hard to imagine missing that on a poorly reviewed finale.
  5. Cooper Legion
    ... or 200/700?
  6. Cooper Legion
    I have a bit of a young perspective, and I am open to learning more on this topic, but is he not already top 3? At least, if producers are being evaluated relative to the amount of power the role has in their respective eras? It seems like Feige is squarely behind THE biggest phenomenon shaping 21st century Hollywood. What are the other top 3 contenders?
  7. Cooper Legion
    I feel finale will lead to lower IMs/OWs, but that seems some relatively good news considering market similarity to DOM/UK. Unless there is some kind of release schedule diff that confounds the comparison.
  8. Cooper Legion
    It’s not an exact science, but just look at the OW charts at the time: Comparing to Endgame and saying the equivalent would be like 400M is obviously absurd, but even removing Endgame and comparing to #2,#3, #5, #10, some kind of weighted average, etc I think you’ll consistently end up over 240M. OWs just can’t be adjusted via yearly ATP average, otherwise HP1’s OW record goes to less than CM and other such nonsense.
  9. Cooper Legion
    “I love you 3,000,000,000” does have a nice ring to it, doesn’t it?
  10. Cooper Legion
    OW increases faster than general gross. DH2 equivalent is an easy 260M+ in today’s market imo.
  11. Cooper Legion
    IF things go on the lower end that many are seeing right now (Thursday midday is a bit too early for WWW-ing, to put it mildly) one of the biggest questions for me in retrospect will be how the entire BO community, on this site and others, essentially managed to convince itself that a big budget Star Wars movie doing less than 400M globally actually wasn’t a big deal and could be almost ignored in forecasting future performance.
  12. Cooper Legion
    Eeeeyy Mekanos. Long time no see. Sub 1B is possible but still unlikely. Sub RO or Joker could be pretty real, we’ll see. Yeah, the “1>3>2 for sure because that’s how it was with an N of 2 one of which was over 3 decades ago” brigade was always highly suspect.
  13. Cooper Legion
    How to read Douban anticipated: 1) wins year for HW 2) is big 3+) anything goes
  14. Cooper Legion
    TROS will make less total than Frozen’s 5th week. Disney maybe delayed it so that local competition didn’t squish it like a bug, but on the other hand that didn’t stop them in the equally hopeless China market, so 🤷‍♂️
  15. Cooper Legion
    Not going publicly insane til Sat
  16. Cooper Legion
    You should ask how much $$$ are in my mind before “not a miracle.”
  17. Cooper Legion
    Clear bias toward closer movies makes BW over Mulan that much crazier. Most anticipated lists need to be taken with a huge grain of salt, but I’ve got a good feeling about this.
  18. Cooper Legion
    Yeah, no I get the idea. I’m just saying that the ridiculous PS numbers for EG may have kept the PSm depressed below normal behavior on both days, causing less day to day PSm movement than a more reasonably sized Wed open would see. It also didn’t have a much bigger movie open on Friday.
  19. Cooper Legion
    Jumanji will be eaten by the Frozen resurgence miracle and add just 5.5x the 2nd weekend
  20. Cooper Legion
    I guess that’s an interesting recent data point for a non-holiday Thursday... but 6m PS vs 176m PS, how similar can the dynamic possible be? If PSm ratio is the same I feel like it will be mostly coincidence.
  21. Cooper Legion
    The 4th item in that grouping is pulling a lot of the weight 😂
  22. Cooper Legion
    Rogue One opened at 12th on OW charts. Modern equivalent is to beat BATB at 174.75. That will be my bar for utter disaster, and it looks like it could be a close call.
  23. Cooper Legion
    BOP F2 number is straight nonsense. Will clear 13M with ease going by daily trends.
  24. Cooper Legion
    Start-up Friday doesn’t look very good to me, or PS for Sat and beyond. Its reviews aren’t great either, just okay. If Cats scores 80s or below as seems likely, Frozen will reap the holiday bounty in my estimation. F2 was 8.4% of F2+Start-up+Ashfall gross today (Start-up D2/Ashfall D1/ F2 D 29). My hunch is that that will rise to 33% shockingly fast.
  25. Cooper Legion
    Late legs arriving, competition teetering, perfect fit for families over holidays. Dreams of over TA run through my head anew.
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