Cooper Legion

TROS opening above TFA would shock me. The reception to TLJ was mixed, whatever you may think of the movie personally. Not awful, not bad in opinion of median moviegoing, but the legs bore out a substantial contingent of dissatisfied frequent customers of SW movies. Now there’s a perfectly good chance that IX will be loved, and all the “never seeing another SW movie” people go see it (as is often the outcome of such statements). But I don’t honk they’ll be doing it en masse on OW, I think in such a scenario they show up in days 5-50 as WOM spreads. With the finale factor and Mandalorian generating franchise goodwill I can see opening above TLJ (pretty big!). With the “sequel to divisive entry” factor and other currently available info just can’t see my way to opening above TFA.

I should clarify. I do not believe that it will be under 130. If it was, that would be a bummer OW for me though. Yes perhaps let myself get hyped too much, but I always knew that e.g. 140 was a realistic possibility. Something like 128 would not be a disaster, or a flop, or even weak per se, but it would be slightly under the cooler headed expectations as well as the excited ones. I think it’s entirely reasonable to be disappointed by it while also keeping in mind that it’s likely deflated by the calendar, which will give a boost to legs.

Under 130 would be a bummer. Would probably be un-bummed about it by next Sun though. Also the OS results are glorious, so there’s that 😍

Good, imo. Bit premature though, we’re in uncharted territory.

Will post-council but pre-weekend expense tuck shop totals be posted? M edit: Upon reading more closely it’s all pretty obvious, no real need.

[Gasps in English]

Ladies and gentlemen, the rebirth of cinema.

Ladies and gentlemen, the death of cinema. But I totally agree.

Wow, Maleficent got savaged. Was wondering if it would be too cold for a DF boost. Evidently yes.

F2 is passing like I called at noon. 1.661 after 1AM update, should display over on 2AM update. Did some further research after tagging you guys. Looks like single day record before Endgame Sat was Along with the gods 2 Sat, 1.47. With CGV PS 409, think more likely than not F2 Sun will also beat AWTG2, making top single day admits: 1) F2 Sat 2) AEG Sat 3) F2 Sun Endgame was already bananas this year, this is just melting my mind.

With that initial number AEG is toast. Not quite 1.7 though

Over 150M is LOCKED

It will last another decade as long as you mean it in the “another 38 days” sense. Otherwise Thorly not.

OD less than 20% OW, nice. Hoping a nice Sun PSm boost to make the drop as small as possible since each % today will have an outsized impact on final in terms of expected legs.

When will we know for sure if it beat HP2 for single day? Assuming 2nd highest single day if not?

Beating Ultron looks good from here for now. High end beat TA and F7. TLK seems quite safe.

AEG final (23:20) CGV of 736 F2 22:20 741. Will be essentially 750 final, basically as seemed at noon, around 1.5-2% ahead of AEG final. Should beat Endgame Sat for biggest single day with just a 45% CGV ratio, which is conservative with such large total sales. 44% for 1.7M is maybe slightly aggressive, but quite possible, and I’m fine to call 1.685 or something as close enough Thinking initial Kobiz number will be just under AEG Sat though, so must be patient. OD rose 1% from initial, Friday about 3%. Also KOBIS presales are about to tick back to 900k, so thinking Sunday CGV PS may be near 400. PSm should be similar to today looking at Endgame, maybe drop a bit since schoolnight. That’s where the possibility of being 3rd biggest single day comes from, though for now let’s aim for 4th biggest (over Endgame Sun, below AWTG2 Sat). edit: F2 Final 749, which is what I used for calcs above

Hmm, odd reacts on this post. It is definitely not impossible. In fact, looking pretty likely from this vantage. Will have more to say in 3 hours.

Lag double post

It’s hard to say. Gargantuan family animation 4-day has no precedent. Atm I’d guess between IW and Endgame. Probebly have to sleep before 17:20 comes in. 16:20 is 637 for F2 (+24) vs 653 AEG (+15). For now I’d guess 1.7M Sat (single day record), 1.5M Sun (3rd largest single day behind F2 and AEG Sat, beating AWTG2 Sat) for 4.44M 4 day open. Anything close is certifiably nutso off “just” 610k OD.

The day updates continuously after the first numbers come up at midnight. I think by 3AM a lot of the movement has been done, and by like 10 the next day it’s basically locked.

At 10:20 — 488 F2 vs 564 AEG (-76k) 15:20 — 613 vs 638 (-25k) F2 added 125 in those 5 hours, +69% from AEG’s 74. Next update will bring the gap into teens. I am currently expecting the 23:20 CGV will be too close to call, so we have to wait til 00:00 for daily chart... which might still be too close to call, and have to wait til tomorrow (that is, SK Sunday) morning XD

A+

Good thing nobody is freaking out then...

This is kind of thin on details. What about that did you find amusing?