Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Well if this keeps up we’ll have a really exciting Tuesday, just like the olden days. I think it was @narniadis feeling wistful for an opening with more sense of surprise sometime earlier this year? -
Yes. What are you confused about? Well I’d say that you’re off by going too high with true Wed, and accounting for that it will be sub 30M.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Maybe we’ve been locked out for being too accurate -
Hong Kong Hong Kong Box Office
Cooper Legion replied to Bluebomb's topic in International Box Office
Wow, just taking ALL the top 5 single day slots. Absolutely savage. How does it looks like FFH’s opening will compare to CM’s?- 3,568 replies
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
They were stuck in USD from 2013-2018, but 2019 solos 150+ and 200+. IW/Endgame May have changed the game a bit, we’ll know by end of 2020. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Some surprises for me as well when looking it up. It’s a pretty good ranking honestly, TWS and GotG1 are both really top tier. IM3 made the yearly top 2, and top HW. From Phase 2 and 3 only Thanos movies have done better imo. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
TWS 9.2 GotG 9.2 Endgame 9.0 IM3 9.0 GOTG2 9.0 IW 8.9 Ragnarok 8.9 DS 8.9 AM 8.8 Avengers 8.8 AM&TW 8.7 CM 8.7 Thor2 8.7 CW 8.6 Ultron 8.6 BP 8.3 SMH 8.1 all ratings current, I don’t have or know how to retrieve e.g. one week after release -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Does it really make sense to post hourly updates here? People can easily look at it themself, and very few hours actually contain much in the way of new information. Also, Deadline: https://deadline.com/2019/06/the-lion-king-opening-projection-1202638783/ -
D-6? Releasing Tuesday, right?
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Things ending pretty strongly. As long as they don’t dislike it I see ¥1.5B+ with the newly cleared up summer schedule. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
You realized that Disney+ is the MCU, right? Fully integrated. Sam Wilson is Captain America. He’ll show up in a bunch of movies. -
Tuesday: “Wow, so good” Wednesday: “Wow, so bad” This is like the 26th Wednesday of 2019, we seriously haven’t learned yet?
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And still 8 hours to go. Seems pretty good compared to the presales for 2017 and 2018 July MCU.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
It also took it as a joke prediction. 14:00 was 40.15, but 14:03 it unfroze up to 40.40. Pretty common to have big movement 1-4 minutes after the o’clock, bit of a hassle from data recording perspective. Anyway, still looking a few mn short of 60 to me atm. 15:00 41.7, 15:03 42.28. Day proceeding very normally, still seeing O/U Venom. 16:00 up to 43.54 at 16:03. Run rate for last 3 hours roughly 1.5. Still forecasting 57-58ish. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
At 12 we’ve got 37.87. Projecting 57, but it’s pretty rough this early. 13:00 Was stick at 39.06 for a bit. Interpolating between there and the 39.34 a few mins after, maybe say 58. Just a bit slower than CM’s final day, but needs almost an equal gain to hit 60. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
I’ll probably make a projection at 12 and update it every hour til 5. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
It’s currently just before 9AM in China. Midnight showings start in 15 hours. If enough people show up there will be a rating a couple hours after that, but I’m remembering correctly past midnights of this size we might have Douban and Taopiaopiao but wait for Friday in China before Maoyan displays a score. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
If I summed correctly this is the first hour where FSS sales lead Yesterday, 3625 vs 3613. Still thinking Endgame’s walkup share this weekend will be abnormally low, but it’s definitely trending well with online sales. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Endgame sales pickup is sustaining more than I thought it might. Could be an exciting weekend if this continues into Thurs and same day sales. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Woot Midnight+OD will be very solid. Some minor signs frontloading but nothing too crazy. Everything rides on reception now. -
Huge jump, much better than I expected. I think this forgives the Monday.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Very happy with yesterday. Was thinking high 14s first and 2nd update, and voila. Today 13:30 is 27.52, +.8 from 12. Compared to yesterday would be a +8.85 day for 33.6. Looking at % of daily gain by 13:30: CM Wed — 35.4%, 32.6mn FFH Tues — 29.9%, 34mn FFH Mon — 25.5%, 35.65mn FFH Sun — 29.4, 34.2mn FFH Sat — 31%, 33.7mn Overall pacing as expected so far today. Seems to be headed for low 34s as an early guess, continuing to mimic Venom’s PS run very closely. 16:00 update: At 28.75, +2.03 from 12. 35% faster rate than yesterday, would be +9.3 for the day for 34.05. % of daily gain by 16:00, corresponding number for today: CM Wed — 48.4%, 33mn FFH Tues — 42.7%, 34.1mn FFH Mon — 40%, 34.75mn FFH Sun — 41.9%, 34.3mn FFH Sat — 42.4%, 34.2mn So at this point I’d be pretty surprised if it didn't land 34.25+-.3 or so. If I happen to be awake might do a very brief call at 17:30, but today basically looking exactly as expected. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Well, literally, all it means is that of the random subset of fandango purchases that got sent to Pulse, slightly more have been purchases for Endga,e this Friday, Saturday, or Sunday than have been for Annabelle3 this Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. As for what we should take away from that in terms of daily grosses... well, in my opinion, very little. This is a pretty unusual situation. Annabelle’s FSS presales are significantly deflated by it’s Wednesday opening, whereas Endgame’s FSS presales are significantly inflated by it being a sort of OD for the extra post-credits content. I suspect that most Endgame sales this will be from hardcore fans rewatching, which is exactly the sort of people to prebuy by Tuesday. So it may well be that the FSS presales don’t increase that much in the next 2 days and there’s a very low proportion of walkup business for it. Or maybe not 🤷♂️ Just have to see how it develops in due time. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I was going to say "check the first page." Then I checked the first page briefly as a precaution, and was surprised to find this one wasn't included. This "report" page has a simple breakdown of sales by day up through the upcoming Sunday (and farther for upcoming releases) http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/fandango_report.txt