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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. House Party too, probbaly ditching Violent Night.
  2. Couldn't even win by 2 percentage points, gotta quit now
  3. Jan 21-24ish this year with the lunar calendar
  4. No longer entirely confident in 10M with what looks like pretty substantial competition in 9 days. Holiday period may get it over regardless.
  5. I mean, this was probably better for total (vet helps a bigger day, higher grosses for Thanksgiving and Xmas since a week closer). Studios don't have any real reason to care about our hobbyist total/ow stat
  6. The legs are dragged down by the holiday opening too. Vet did more harm to total/OW than Xmas did help. Thanksgiving does make holidays a net help relative to a totally vanilla all school weeks date.
  7. Lol @ that warning. anyway I'll whip up some graphs for you guys in a bit since it seems like you aren't quite grasping the relevant historical facts.
  8. You're being dumb. It happened to fall in a nominal OW range where the sample size is extremely low, being exceptional in a statistical trivial sense doesn't mean being exceptional in a plain English sense.
  9. I mean it’s headed toward 2.5 which is exactly what should have been expected before it even opened imo but is hardly great legs either. CapitalizIng on a low competition xmas period should have been baked into everyone’s late run expectations but for some reason mostly wasn’t, and on the other hand great late legs just don’t matter much to total legs which are largely set by wk2 2-4.
  10. First paragraph doesn’t really refute Schu’s point though. I personally think that SK is substantially below normal in terms of what same movie would do vs pre-pandemic (with big variation over movie) but citing market sum doesn’t do anything to prove that angle over the “problem is less moves/less appealing movies” angle. If a market was equally healthy in terms of what a movie would gross vs 2019, and movies released are only worth 50% of movies released in 2019, then market will be 50% despite being 100% recovered in potential.
  11. Right here? 5x is in the normal range for xmas blockbusters, it just succeeded in escaping low end of normal
  12. It’s a large subreddit so you can find a large group of people who hate anything. Even opposite things. Mostly what turns me off about it recently is just the lack of people capable of basic math.
  13. When the #2 movie of this holiday season opened at 12.43M, it was 2nd for the weekend. When RIPD opened with 12.69M it was 7th for the weekend. The 6th place movie was ~22M adjusted.
  14. Based on more recent data I think XXR’s 19-20 looks good. Should have another check in a little over an hour.
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