RealLyre

Chicago 7 reviews are not as good as I hoped . should still get nominated across the board. but I doubt it'll be a frontrunner for anything.

not related to the Oscars but the BAFTAs are increasing the nominations for certain categories and bringing back longlists.

this new release date is good. I don't understand why people are angry over it. did they want it to be another Tenet/No Time to Die and flop?

it's more so the distributor's/producer's decision. they do that to try and replicate a real festival's capacity. although I think Nomadland initially started with only 2000 virtual tickets on TIFF but added more online tickets as the festival went on due to high demand so maybe NYFF would do the same.

Zendaya winning the Emmy when it wasn't even sure she'll get nominated is incredible . if anyone has HBO and can watch Euphoria, I think they should

but Soul is coming this year though. it premieres next month at London Film Festival. based on what we know so far and if Pete Docter delivers like he did with Inside Out. the win is locked for Soul imo.

also yeah the Father only had 3 hour window to screen online (while everything else was open for 24 hours) and had just 1 drive-in screening. Sony Pictures Classic sabotaging themselves I guess. I still think it will win lead actor but with more buzz it could have a shot at screenplay too

she's also a producer on Nomadland so she could win 2 Oscars this year

yeah if Nomadland is crowd-pleasing enough for TIFF audience award it will probably be crowd-pleasing enough for the voters, best picture win is back on the table

Wolfwalkers debuts with 94 on MC. could probably land a nomination for Apple TV+ if they campaign for it. it's from the same studio as Song of the Sea and the Breadwinner which both were nominated. https://www.metacritic.com/movie/wolfwalkers

wasn't Mulan unsuccessful on Disney+? doesn't make much sense to throw in two other high profile blockbusters to it if the first one didn't do well (if the estimates from 3rd party sites are to be believed).

I was skeptical about it and thought it would be close between him, lindo and Oldman but after watching The Father. Hopkin's performance is undeniable. it will be very hard for anyone else to beat him imo. also Hopkins hasn't won since The Silence of the Lambs in 1992 so he can have the comeback narrative for his 2nd Oscar (like Renee last year, although his performance is way better). The Father also might be the best film I've seen at TIFF overall and I would predict it to win the TIFF audience award if it wasn't only available for 3 hours to screen whereas everything else was open for the whole day so less people watched it.

unless News of the world disappoints. the lead actor race looks kinda finished to me 1. Anthony Hopkins - The Father 2. Gary Oldman - Mank 3. Daniel Kaluuya/Lakeith Stanfield - Judas and the Black Messiah (whoever goes lead, I heard it'll be Stanfield) 4. Delroy Lindo - Da 5 Bloods 5. Tom Hanks - News of the World edit: I forgot about Kingsley Ben-Adir in One Night In Miami. he'll def get nominated but I think they can put him in supporting.

lead actor is locked for Hopkins but it's a great sign that Netflix will not forget Da 5 Bloods. it's in dire need for more buzz

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Synonyms, The Souvenir and kinda Honeyland.

yeah Good Joe Bell sounds like the Green Book of LGBT Films . it doesn't have a distributor yet but if it wins or finishes in top 3 at TIFF audience award it could be a contender now. weird choice to cast Mark Wahlberg for such a role. the kid seem to be getting a lot of praise.

Pieces of a woman sounds too dark to even get noticed by the Academy. I might watch it later this week but it’s giving me Toni Collette/Hereditary vibes. but in a more average movie according to the reactions

speaking of the international category. Another Round by Thomas Vinterberg was among the best films I've seen so far at TIFF. great performance by mads mikkelsen. I think it would surely get in the international feature race if Denmark submits it. Vinterberg/Mikkelsen's previous collaboration was nominated back in 2012 for The Hunt so that should help.

yeah it was very noticeable how stage-y it felt. the whole scenes in the hotel rooms in the house where characters were coming in and out as if it was a play (which maybe makes sense cus its based on a play) , but that wasn't as distracting as I thought it was gonna be because King had great blocking and it flew by smoothly. I think this could get 2 acting nominations, the guy who plays Malcolm X in lead and the one who played Sam Cooke in supporting. or they can put them both in supporting cus it's an ensemble. also the dialogue was really good. solid debut from King.

Yeah the raw numbers domestically are low but the good drops indicate good word of mouth.

nvm seems like it's sub 30%. even better

so a 30%-33% drop for Tenet? that's pretty good no? where is the bad wom

after watching Nomadland (which I really liked) it feels like the type of film that would normally get ignored by major awards and fly under the radar for being a quiet heavy nature drama (think Leave No Trace or a Kelly Reichardt film). so I'm glad it's already getting insane traction & buzz by winning the golden lion. Those kinds of films don't get enough attention. I hope it does well in best picture but I wouldn't be shocked if the academy sleeps on it cus it's not a typical Oscar movie. Best Picture 1. Mank 2. Trial of the Chicago 7 3. Nomadland 4. One Night in Miami 5. News of the World 6. Ma Rainey's black bottom 7. Soul 8. Judas and the Black Messiah alt: 9. Da 5 Bloods/Respect/West Side Story best director 1. David Fincher - Mank 2. Chloe Zhao - Nomadland 3. Aaron Sorkin - Trial of the Chicago 7 4. Paul Greengrass - News of the World 5. Regina King or Spike Lee

absolutely loved this. my favorite non-docu(ish) film of the year