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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. not really surprising. MCU has grown from what it was before IW. Biggest OS downer for this and L&T was Korea. MCU need to get back Korea.
  2. I think it could keep having a show at them as long as it keep running. Avatar 1 had a 7 months+ run at an IMAX in India. Had 200k+ admits. Similar case in Sydney I think.
  3. on serious note, yeah German BO has been depressing and yeah this could be last 100M unless AVATAR sequels manage the event status.
  4. We now have multiple daily bo reporting sources. So that's one problem solved. We still have no pre-sales tracking whatsoever, so box office openings remains unpredictable.
  5. So it indeed is THU. I just searched WC Semis and that came THU, didn't go in much detail.
  6. Oh, I was confused with TUE and THU then. Anyways, that means WED OD will be impacted in some markets. The first projection for OS weekend, I would go for $300M + China.
  7. that's what happen when you are fan of lizard films. you turn pessimistic. EUR125M+ FTW.
  8. During XMAS, I mostly stop caring about day and more focus on date
  9. OW will be hurt due to World Cup Semis on THU and Final on SUN. Ranging for 0-20% impact over weekend in diff markets. Overall impact need to figure.
  10. yeah audience score went too high, but I think minority led films tend to have better scores than actual reception. Also Posttrak was polling 40%+ from African-American community, so that further increased the scores. @Legion By Night
  11. Re BPWF, I always thought a BP2 should be lower/par than Thor 4 outside African-American demo. BP1 was essential viewing for IW, that obviously boosted it overseas, but certainly helped in US as well. THOR 4 was terribly received, so that made it tough, while BPWF had solid scores in US but trending hasn't been that good, instead more like the average/mid reception outside US. THOR folded inside $350M but low competition across holiday periods of Thanksgiving and XMAS-NY will boost BPWF to $450M+, otherwise should have ideally ended around $420M or so. Both films would be similar in non-AfroAm demo, may be Thor a bit ahead, despite having much worse reception.
  12. Last WC final had quite bit impact on Sunday. So yeah can miss A$20M due to Sunday. WC Final weekend Next Weekend
  13. Yeah and quite a lot. Around 6 per show. Avatar numbers @Inceptionzq is posting are pre-adj.
  14. at similar time Wed is around 2.5x of Batman, need to see the pace. Possibly A$2.25M+ WED previews. THU perhaps A$4M+. A$20M weekend. World Cup final on Sunday may impact things.
  15. Avatar 2 HOYTS T-10.75 days (SUN before noon) - WED Broadmeadows - 72 (A$1.7k) on 6 shows Carousel - 456 (A$13K) on 9 shows Chadstone - 554 (A$19K) on 12 shows Total - 1082 (A$34K) on 27 shows Total 326 shows on WED so far Overall chain can be around 10K or so.
  16. One basic error here would be the comps you using are all admits. Gross wise A2 will be 10-15%, except Alpha.
  17. My apologies. I got myself listening to some projections from trade guy, looked closely to numbers myself today. More probable projections would be. A:EG NWH A:IW A2 MUM 14.50 7.50 8.61 DUP 9.10 5.30 5.96 EP 4.00 2.10 2.70 Rest 10.00 5.30 5.50 TN 5.20 3.50 3.00 5.50 APTS 4.60 5.00 2.20 8.00 Kerala 1.30 1.30 0.88 2.50 Mysore 4.80 2.70 2.48 5.00 53.50 32.70 31.33 21.00 EG did 37cr in North India while NWH did 20.5cr. A2 can do 30-35cr I feel. That will give 50-60cr NETT opening day aka ₹60-75cr GROSS.
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